Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: LDOSAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LDOS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Leidos Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: LDOS) provides critical services and technology solutions across defense, intelligence, civil, and health markets. In FY2025, the company generated $17.17B in revenue and record net income of $1.46B, supported by an operating margin of 12.3%. However, the stock has dropped 31.5% over the past year, leaving it trading at a trailing P/E of 11.7x.

Market cap
$15.67B
Revenue (TTM)
$17.63B
P/E
11.7x
fwd 9.6x
1Y return
-31.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$151.73
21.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Operating margins expanded to 12.3% in FY2025 from 4.0% in FY2023, supporting strong net income of $1.46B.
  • Free cash flow conversion was robust in FY2025 at $1.62B, facilitating $944.0M in share buybacks and a 10.6% reduction in shares over 5 years.
  • Valuation multiples remain discounted relative to peers, with a forward P/E of 9.6x and EV/EBITDA of 9.3x compared to the S&P 500 Technology peer medians of 20.9x and 19.9x.

Bear case

  • Quarterly earnings fell 6.7% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Stock price momentum is weak, with a 1-year return of -31.5% trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8% and trading 12.8% below its 200-day average.
  • Top-line growth has moderated to 3.1% in FY2025, and analysts forecast EPS growth of just 1.1% for the next fiscal year.

What Leidos does

Leidos Holdings delivers services and solutions across defense, intelligence, civil, and health sectors. The company operates through three segments: Defense Solutions, Civil, and Health. Defense Solutions delivers national security capabilities across air, land, sea, space, and cyberspace, including command and control platforms, cybersecurity, data analytics, and logistics. The Civil segment offers air navigation system integration, advanced security detection, automation services, and environmental and infrastructure solutions. It also provides enterprise IT solutions, including cloud computing, mobility, application modernization, and digital workplace enablement. Clients include the U.S. Intelligence Community, Department of Defense, NASA, and commercial national security entities.

Growth and profitability

Revenue expanded from $13.74B in FY2021 to $17.17B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year CAGR of 6.9%. Over that period, gross margin improved from 14.7% to 17.7%, while operating margin rose from 8.4% to 12.3%. Net income increased from $753.0M in FY2021 to $1.46B in FY2025, with EPS climbing from $6.61 to $11.99. In the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $17.63B with an operating margin of 11.7% and EPS of $10.71. During the latest quarter, revenue grew 7.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 6.7%.

LDOS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Leidos held $748.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $6.58B, resulting in net debt of $5.83B. Shareholders' equity was $5.28B, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24 and a current ratio of 1.63. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $1.75B and free cash flow was $1.62B. Capital expenditures were $125.0M. The company allocated $944.0M to share buybacks and paid $211.0M in dividends during FY2025, contributing to a 5-year share count reduction of 10.6%.

LDOS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Leidos trades at a trailing P/E of 11.7x and a forward P/E of 9.6x, compared to the median of its S&P 500 Technology peers of 31.5x and 20.9x, respectively. Its enterprise value stands at $21.48B, with an EV/EBITDA of 9.3x versus the peer median of 19.9x, and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.9x versus 6.3x. The stock has dropped 31.5% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, the stock gained 32.7% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

LDOS key metrics →

LDOS dividend

Leidos offers a forward annual dividend of $1.72 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.38% as of October 16, 2026. Dividends are distributed quarterly and backed by a payout ratio of 14.1%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 15 years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 3.7%. The last ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.

LDOS dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 11 Hold ratings, with zero Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $151.73 implies an upside of 21.5% from the last close of $124.85. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $18.31B and EPS of $12.41, up 3.5%. For the next fiscal year, 17 analysts project revenue of $19.05B and EPS of $12.55. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 3, 2026.

LDOS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $5.83B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24 leave the balance sheet leveraged relative to its $748.0M cash position.
  • Year-over-year revenue growth of 7.2% in the latest quarter sits well below the S&P 500 Technology peer median quarterly growth rate of 20.5%.
  • Analyst consensus expects revenue growth to remain modest at 4.0% in the next fiscal year, potentially limiting near-term earnings expansion.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LDOS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LDOS income statement, LDOS balance sheet, LDOS key metrics, LDOS analyst forecast, LDOS chart. See the LDOS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LDOS AI stock analysis FAQ

What was Leidos Holdings' revenue and net income in FY2025?

In FY2025, Leidos reported total revenue of $17.17B, which grew 3.1% year-over-year. Net income for the year reached $1.46B, generating diluted earnings per share of $11.99.

Does Leidos pay a dividend?

Yes, Leidos pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.72 per share annualized, which corresponds to a 1.38% dividend yield. The company maintains a 14.1% payout ratio and has paid dividends for 15 consecutive years.

What are analysts' price targets and ratings for LDOS?

Wall Street analysts hold 4 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 11 Hold ratings on LDOS. The consensus mean price target is $151.73, representing 21.5% upside above the closing price of $124.85 as of October 16, 2026.

How does Leidos compare to its sector peers on valuation?

Leidos trades at a forward P/E of 9.6x and an EV/EBITDA of 9.3x. Both multiples trade at a discount to the S&P 500 Technology peer median forward P/E of 20.9x and EV/EBITDA of 19.9x.

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