Patria Investments Limited (PAX) AI Stock Analysis
PAX AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchPatria Investments Limited is a private market investment firm focused on asset management across Latin America. Over the trailing twelve months, the firm generated $428.0M in revenue with an operating margin of 28.6%, supported by a 5-year revenue CAGR of 27.3% through FY2025. PAX also offers a forward dividend yield of 5.55% and holds an enterprise value of $1.84B.
- Market cap
- $1.92B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $428.0M
- P/E
- 27.2x fwd 8.1x
- 1Y return
- -14.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $15.00 28.2% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 34.9% year-over-year in the quarter ended September 30, 2026, lifting trailing twelve-month revenue to $428.0M.
- The stock offers a forward dividend yield of 5.55% backed by a 45.0% payout ratio and $258.3M in FY2025 free cash flow.
- Analysts maintain a mean price target of $15.00, representing a 28.2% premium over the last close of $11.70.
Bear case
- Quarterly earnings fell 18.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending September 30, 2026.
- Operating margin narrowed steadily from 58.3% in FY2021 to 34.2% in FY2025 and 28.6% over the trailing twelve months.
- Total debt stood at $445.2M against $113.5M in cash as of September 30, 2026, leaving net debt at $331.8M.
What Patria Investments does
Patria Investments Limited stands as a prominent private market investment firm specializing in opportunities across Latin America. Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Grand Cayman, the firm focuses on providing asset management services to institutional and individual clients. Its portfolio includes private equity funds, infrastructure development funds, co-investment funds, constructivist equity funds, as well as real estate and credit funds. Patria Investments leverages local knowledge and regional networks to identify opportunities aligned with evolving economic trends in Latin America, while also evaluating emerging technologies like cryptocurrencies.
Growth and profitability
Patria Investments expanded annual revenue from $235.5M in FY2021 to $383.8M in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 27.3%. Annual revenue growth moderated to 2.6% in FY2025 from 14.2% in FY2024, while net income rose to $85.6M with a net margin of 22.3%. Operating margin narrowed from 58.3% in FY2021 to 34.2% in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months ending September 30, 2026, revenue reached $428.0M with a profit margin of 16.4% and an operating margin of 28.6%. In the latest quarter, quarterly revenue grew 34.9% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 18.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of September 30, 2026, Patria Investments held $113.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $445.2M, resulting in net debt of $331.8M. The company reported shareholders' equity of $563.6M, a current ratio of 1.04, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $268.9M and free cash flow was $258.3M. Capital deployment in FY2025 included $10.6M in capital expenditures, $56.2M in share buybacks, and $95.1M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $11.70, Patria Investments has a market cap of $1.92B and an enterprise value of $1.84B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 27.2x, which is above the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers, but its forward P/E of 8.1x sits below the peer median of 10.8x. Its price-to-sales ratio is 4.5x compared to the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, PAX fell 14.3%, trailing the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, and its 5-year return of -10.2% lagged the index return of 83.0%.
PAX dividend
Patria Investments pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $0.65, representing a yield of 5.55%. The company has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years, supported by a payout ratio of 45.0%. Total dividends paid in FY2025 reached $95.1M, and the firm's most recent ex-dividend date was August 10, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts track Patria Investments with 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 2 Hold, and 1 Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $15.00, representing a 28.2% upside from the last close of $11.70. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts project revenue of $434.8M and EPS of $1.35. For the following fiscal year, 5 analysts project revenue of $477.3M and EPS of $1.45. Patria beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Quarterly earnings fell 18.5% despite revenue growth, indicating profitability pressure.
- Net debt of $331.8M and a current ratio of 1.04 reflect tighter balance sheet liquidity.
- The trailing P/E of 27.2x sits well above the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 12.1x.
- Share count expanded 14.1% over 5 years, diluting shareholder equity.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this PAX AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Patria Investments Limited (PAX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: PAX income statement, PAX balance sheet, PAX key metrics, PAX analyst forecast, PAX chart. See the PAX stock overview for the latest quote and news.
PAX AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Patria Investments do?
Patria Investments Limited is an alternative asset manager specializing in private markets across Latin America. Its fund offerings cover private equity, infrastructure, real estate, credit, constructivist equity, and co-investments.
What is Patria Investments' dividend yield?
PAX offers an annual forward dividend of $0.65, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 5.55%. The company distributes dividends quarterly and has paid them for 6 consecutive years with a 45.0% payout ratio.
How is PAX valued relative to its sector peers?
Patria Investments trades at a trailing P/E of 27.2x and a forward P/E of 8.1x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x for US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 4.5x versus the peer median of 3.2x.
When does Patria Investments report earnings next?
Patria Investments is scheduled to report earnings on November 3, 2026. For FY2026, analysts estimate full-year revenue of $434.8M and EPS of $1.35.