Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) AI Stock Analysis
ONTO AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchOnto Innovation Inc. provides advanced process control and metrology tools for the semiconductor manufacturing industry. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, the company posted quarterly revenue growth of 35.3% and quarterly earnings growth of 75.4%. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $1.12B with an operating margin of 23.0% and a net profit margin of 11.8%.
- Market cap
- $10.83B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.12B
- P/E
- 83.0x fwd 22.8x
- 1Y return
- 62.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $387.50 75.6% vs last close
Bull case
- For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 75.4% year-over-year while revenue expanded 35.3%.
- The balance sheet maintains substantial liquidity, holding $410.4M in net cash and a current ratio of 9.73 as of June 30, 2026.
- Analyst consensus expects full-year FY2026 EPS of $8.11, representing projected growth of 64.1% over the prior year.
Bear case
- The stock trades at a trailing P/E multiple of 83.0x, well above the US-listed Technology peer median of 28.1x.
- Annual gross margin contracted steadily from 54.4% in FY2021 to 49.7% in FY2025.
- At the last close of $220.70 on October 16, 2026, shares traded 15.0% below their 200-day moving average and down from a 52-week high of $386.46.
What Onto Innovation does
Onto Innovation Inc. specializes in advanced process control tools, including macro defect inspection, 2D/3D optical metrology, packaging lithography systems, and process control software across global markets. The company provides standalone systems for macro-defect inspection, packaging lithography, probe card testing and analysis, and transparent and opaque thin film measurements. These tools support manufacturing quality and yield in the semiconductor and advanced packaging sectors. In addition, Onto Innovation offers process control software suites for standalone tools and enterprise-wide deployments to optimize operational efficiencies. Its customers include semiconductor manufacturers, silicon wafer producers, LED and laser device makers, CMOS image sensor developers, power device manufacturers, and RF filter producers.
Growth and profitability
Onto Innovation expanded revenue from $788.9M in FY2021 to $1.01B in FY2022, before revenue fell 18.8% to $815.9M in FY2023. Revenue recovered to $987.3M in FY2024 and reached $1.01B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 12.6% from FY2020 to FY2025. Gross margin contracted from 54.4% in FY2021 to 49.7% in FY2025, while operating margin decreased from 19.8% to 13.2%. Net income was $136.8M in FY2025, down from $201.7M in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, performance accelerated with year-over-year revenue growth of 35.3% and earnings growth of 75.4%, lifting trailing twelve-month revenue to $1.12B.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Onto Innovation held $1.88B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.47B, resulting in net cash of $410.4M. Shareholders' equity stood at $1.92B across $3.70B in total assets. The company reported a current ratio of 9.73 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $328.3M and free cash flow was $299.8M, supporting $28.5M in capital expenditures and $75.0M in share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $220.70 on October 16, 2026, Onto Innovation trades at a trailing P/E of 83.0x and a forward P/E of 22.8x, compared to medians of 28.1x and 18.8x for its US-listed Technology peers. Its EV to EBITDA ratio of 23.5x trades above the peer median of 16.6x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 9.7x versus the peer median of 2.8x. Over the past year, the stock returned 62.7%, outperforming the S&P 500 SPY return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of 205.7% outpaced the benchmark's 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts hold 9 Strong Buy and 3 Buy ratings on Onto Innovation, with zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $387.50, representing an upside of 75.6% from the last close of $220.70. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.44B and EPS of $8.11, representing EPS growth of 64.1%. The company beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings release is scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A beta of 1.58 signals elevated price volatility relative to the broader market.
- Short interest accounts for 7.7% of the float, indicating meaningful negative sentiment among traders.
- Historical results show cyclicality, including an 18.8% drop in annual revenue during FY2023.
- The company demonstrated an uneven earnings track record, beating EPS consensus in only 2 of the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this ONTO AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: ONTO income statement, ONTO balance sheet, ONTO key metrics, ONTO analyst forecast, ONTO chart. See the ONTO stock overview for the latest quote and news.
ONTO AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Onto Innovation pay a dividend?
Onto Innovation does not pay a dividend. In FY2025, the company deployed capital toward $28.5M in capital expenditures and $75.0M in share buybacks.
What are analysts forecasting for ONTO's earnings?
Analysts estimate EPS of $8.11 for FY2026, representing 64.1% growth, followed by an estimate of $11.70 for FY2027, representing 44.3% growth.
How does Onto Innovation's valuation compare to its peers?
Onto Innovation trades at a forward P/E of 22.8x and an EV to EBITDA ratio of 23.5x, compared to medians of 18.8x and 16.6x, respectively, for its US-listed Technology peers.
What is Onto Innovation's debt and cash position?
As of June 30, 2026, Onto Innovation held $1.88B in cash and short-term investments against $1.47B in total debt, giving it net cash of $410.4M and a current ratio of 9.73.