NextPlat Corp (NXPL) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: NXPLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

NXPL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

NextPlat Corp is a technology provider delivering mobile satellite services solutions globally, spanning voice, tracking, and IoT connectivity. In FY2025, the company generated $54.3M in revenue, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 57.0%. Despite trailing twelve months net losses with an EPS of -$3.67, NXPL maintained net cash of $10.4M as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$25.8M
Revenue (TTM)
$48.9M
P/E
—
fwd 14.8x
1Y return
30.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$12.00
26.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • NextPlat achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 57.0% from FY2020 to FY2025, showcasing significant top-line business expansion.
  • The balance sheet reflects net cash of $10.4M and a current ratio of 2.29 as of June 30, 2026, with minimal debt of $1.6M.
  • Analyst estimates for the next fiscal year project revenue growth of 46.8% to $73.0M alongside an expected positive EPS of $0.61.

Bear case

  • Revenue fell 17.0% in FY2025 to $54.3M, and latest quarterly revenue growth dropped 10.3% year-over-year.
  • The business continues to burn cash, posting free cash flow of -$6.2M in FY2025 and a trailing twelve month profit margin of -16.4%.
  • Shareholders have experienced substantial dilution, with the 5-year share count increasing by 330.5%.

What NextPlat does

NextPlat Corp, along with its subsidiaries, specializes in delivering mobile satellite services solutions globally. Its offerings encompass voice communication, data transmission, personnel and asset tracking, machine-to-machine connectivity, and Internet of Things applications for businesses, governments, military entities, and humanitarian organizations. Key products include satellite communication devices for voice, text, email, and GPS coordinates, as well as GPS-enabled emergency locator distress beacons. The company also provides SolarTrack, a solar-powered IoT tracking device for remote assets, and GTCTrack, a subscription-based mapping and tracking portal. Products are distributed directly and through a network of resellers and third-party e-commerce platforms.

Growth and profitability

NextPlat expanded annual revenue from $7.7M in FY2021 to $11.7M in FY2022, $37.8M in FY2023, and $65.5M in FY2024, before revenue fell 17.0% to $54.3M in FY2025. Gross margin stood at 20.1% in FY2025, down from 24.8% in FY2024 and 30.0% in FY2023. Operating margin improved from -85.6% in FY2021 to -16.1% in FY2025, while net income was -$11.7M with an EPS of -$0.20. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $48.9M, with quarterly revenue growth falling 10.3% year-over-year. Operating margin TTM was -1.1% and profit margin TTM was -16.4%, resulting in an EPS of -$3.67.

NXPL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, NextPlat held $11.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.6M, resulting in net cash of $10.4M. Shareholders' equity stood at $16.4M with total assets of $28.7M. The company maintains a current ratio of 2.29 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$6.1M and free cash flow was -$6.2M. Capital expenditures were $71,000, while share buybacks totaled $100,000 for FY2025.

NXPL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

NextPlat trades at a market cap of $25.8M and an enterprise value of $14.2M. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.5x and a forward P/E of 14.8x, both below the median of its US-listed Technology peers at 2.8x and 18.8x, respectively. Its price-to-book ratio is 1.5x and EV to revenue is 0.3x. Over the past year, NXPL shares returned 30.1%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, although its 5-year return fell 80.0% compared to an 83.0% gain for SPY.

NXPL key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analyst coverage shows 1 Strong Buy rating, 0 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $12.00, representing a 26.3% upside from the last close of $9.50 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, estimates project revenue of $49.7M and an EPS of -$0.85. For the next fiscal year, 1 analyst estimates revenue of $73.0M and EPS of $0.61. NextPlat beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 11, 2026.

NXPL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Cash burn remains an ongoing concern, given FY2025 operating cash flow of -$6.1M against cash and short-term investments of $11.9M.
  • The stock demonstrates elevated market volatility, reflected by a beta of 1.91 and a 52-week range between $3.40 and $11.10.
  • Ownership concentration is weighted toward insiders at 44.8%, while institutional ownership stands at 4.9%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this NXPL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of NextPlat Corp (NXPL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: NXPL income statement, NXPL balance sheet, NXPL key metrics, NXPL analyst forecast, NXPL chart. See the NXPL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

NXPL AI stock analysis FAQ

What does NextPlat Corp do?

NextPlat Corp delivers mobile satellite services solutions globally, providing voice communication, data transmission, emergency distress beacons, and IoT tracking products such as SolarTrack and GTCTrack.

Does NextPlat Corp pay a dividend?

NextPlat Corp does not pay a dividend, directing capital toward operations while executing $100,000 in share buybacks in FY2025.

What is the analyst price target for NXPL?

The stock has a mean price target of $12.00 from 1 Strong Buy rating, indicating a 26.3% upside compared to the last close of $9.50 on October 16, 2026.

What does NextPlat's balance sheet look like?

As of June 30, 2026, NextPlat held $11.9M in cash and short-term investments, $1.6M in total debt, and a current ratio of 2.29.

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