NeuroPace, Inc. (NPCE) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: NPCEAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

NPCE AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

NeuroPace, Inc. (NPCE) is a medical device company known for its Responsive Neurostimulation (RNS) system for focal epilepsy. Annual revenue increased to $100.0M in FY2025, although the company generated a net loss of -$21.5M. Trailing twelve months revenue stands at $107.0M with a profit margin of -17.9%.

Market cap
$420.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$107.0M
P/E
—
fwd 158.7x
1Y return
15.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$20.00
63.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Gross margin widened to 77.2% in FY2025, up from 71.4% in FY2022.
  • Quarterly revenue grew 17.1% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • Analysts have an average price target of $20.00, representing a 63.4% upside to the last close of $12.24.

Bear case

  • NeuroPace remains unprofitable, with a trailing twelve months net profit margin of -17.9% and FY2025 net income of -$21.5M.
  • Free cash flow has stayed negative, coming in at -$11.3M for FY2025.
  • The company carries total debt of $69.9M against shareholders' equity of $11.9M, producing a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.88.

What NeuroPace does

NeuroPace, Inc. is a medical device company focused on treatments for medically refractory focal epilepsy. Its primary offering is the RNS system (Responsive Neurostimulation system), which delivers personalized neuromodulation therapy directly at the seizure source based on real-time needs. The system continuously records brain activity data to help clinicians monitor patients in person and remotely. NeuroPace works with hospital facilities for initial implantations and subsequent replacement procedures. Founded in 1997 and based in Mountain View, California, the company is also working to expand RNS applications to address a broader range of neurological disorders.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue grew from $45.2M in FY2021 to $100.0M in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 19.4%. Gross margin improved from 74.0% in FY2021 to 77.2% in FY2025. Over the same period, operating margin narrowed from -52.5% to -16.3%, and net loss narrowed from -$36.1M to -$21.5M. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 17.1% year-over-year. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $107.0M, operating margin was -22.5%, and EPS was -$0.57.

NPCE income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, NeuroPace held $51.7M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $69.9M, resulting in net debt of $18.2M. The company had a current ratio of 4.94 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.88 on shareholders' equity of $11.9M. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$11.0M and free cash flow was -$11.3M. Capital expenditures were $332,000, while share buybacks totaled $49.5M.

NPCE balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

NeuroPace trades at a market capitalization of $420.1M and an enterprise value of $507.4M. Its price-to-sales ratio is 3.9x, compared to 4.1x for the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers. The company has a forward P/E of 158.7x, above the peer group median of 17.3x, and an EV-to-revenue multiple of 4.7x. Over the past year, the stock returned 15.0%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%.

NPCE key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 9 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Buy rating. The mean price target is $20.00, which is 63.4% above the last close of $12.24. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $100.3M and an EPS of -$0.43. For the following fiscal year, 9 analysts project revenue of $122.4M and EPS of -$0.22. The company beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 3, 2026.

NPCE forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The stock has a beta of 1.87 and trades 19.2% below its 200-day average.
  • Net debt stands at $18.2M with cash reserves of $51.7M as cash outflows persist.
  • The company posted a negative return on equity of -103.3% over the trailing twelve months.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this NPCE AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of NeuroPace, Inc. (NPCE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: NPCE income statement, NPCE balance sheet, NPCE key metrics, NPCE analyst forecast, NPCE chart. See the NPCE stock overview for the latest quote and news.

NPCE AI stock analysis FAQ

What is NeuroPace's primary product?

NeuroPace develops and sells the RNS system (Responsive Neurostimulation system). It treats medically refractory focal epilepsy by delivering real-time stimulation at the seizure source while recording brain activity.

Is NeuroPace profitable?

No, NeuroPace is not profitable. In FY2025, it reported a net loss of -$21.5M, and its trailing twelve months EPS stands at -$0.57.

What is the consensus analyst target price for NPCE?

The mean analyst price target is $20.00, which sits 63.4% above the last closing price of $12.24. All 10 analyst ratings are either Strong Buy (9) or Buy (1).

How much cash and debt does NeuroPace have?

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $51.7M in cash and short-term investments and $69.9M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $18.2M.

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