Medtronic plc (MDT) AI Stock Analysis
MDT AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMedtronic plc (MDT) is a global medical technology company developing device-based therapies across cardiovascular, medical surgical, and neuroscience specialties. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $37.54B with an operating margin of 19.3%, while quarterly earnings rose 40.7% year-over-year. The company trades at a forward P/E of 14.9x and maintains a 3.04% dividend yield.
- Market cap
- $121.20B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $37.54B
- P/E
- 23.3x fwd 14.9x
- 1Y return
- 3.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $104.62 10.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly earnings jumped 40.7% year-over-year in the period ended July 31, 2026, alongside 13.7% quarterly revenue expansion.
- Medtronic trades at a forward P/E of 14.9x, below the median of its S&P 500 Healthcare peers at 16.6x.
- The business generated $5.43B in free cash flow in FY2026, supporting a 45-year continuous dividend track record.
Bear case
- MDT stock declined 13.0% over the past 5 years while the S&P 500 returned 83.0%.
- Net debt remains substantial at $19.33B as of July 31, 2026, with total debt at $28.15B.
- Gross margins narrowed from 68.0% in FY2022 to 65.0% in FY2026.
What Medtronic does
Medtronic plc develops, manufactures, and distributes device-based therapies for healthcare systems, physicians, clinicians, and patients globally. The Cardiovascular Portfolio offers pacemakers, defibrillators, cardiac ablation devices, valve replacements, and endovascular stent grafts. The Medical Surgical Portfolio provides stapling instruments, vessel sealing tools, robotic-assisted surgery systems, hernia repair solutions, and patient monitoring and ventilation equipment. The Neuroscience Portfolio develops therapies for spinal, neurological, and pain management specialists, including image-guided surgical tools and robotic guidance systems.
Growth and profitability
Annual revenue grew from $31.69B in FY2022 to $36.36B in FY2026, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 3.8%. Revenue growth accelerated to 8.4% in FY2026, up from 3.6% in FY2025 and a 1.4% decline in FY2023. Gross margin stood at 65.0% in FY2026 compared to 68.0% in FY2022, while operating margin was 17.8%. Net income reached $4.80B in FY2026, yielding an EPS of $5.53. In the latest quarter ended July 31, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 13.7% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 40.7% year-over-year, supporting TTM revenue of $37.54B and TTM EPS of $4.07.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of July 31, 2026, Medtronic held $8.82B in cash and short-term investments alongside $28.15B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $19.33B. The current ratio was 2.07, and the debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.56 on shareholders' equity of $50.23B. In FY2026, operating cash flow was $7.33B and free cash flow was $5.43B. Capital expenditures totaled $1.90B, while the company returned capital through $1.03B in share buybacks and $3.64B in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
Medtronic trades at a trailing P/E of 23.3x and a forward P/E of 14.9x, which are both lower than the median of its S&P 500 Healthcare peers at 28.9x and 16.6x, respectively. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 13.1x versus the peer median of 15.7x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 3.2x compared to the peer median of 3.4x. MDT stock gained 3.0% over the trailing 12 months and fell 13.0% over five years, lagging the S&P 500 ETF returns of 16.8% and 83.0% over the same periods.
MDT dividend
Medtronic pays a forward annual dividend of $2.88 per share, which reflects a 3.04% dividend yield based on its last close of $94.75. The company has paid dividends for 45 consecutive years, with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 4.4%. Its payout ratio is 50.0%, and the last ex-dividend date was September 25, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 16 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 10 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $104.62 implies a 10.4% premium over the last close of $94.75. Medtronic beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters. For the current fiscal year ending April 30, 2027, consensus estimates project EPS of $5.98 on revenue of $38.97B. The next earnings date is November 17, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Total debt of $28.15B requires consistent cash generation to manage obligations alongside $3.64B in annual dividend commitments.
- Five-year revenue CAGR of 3.8% indicates moderate top-line expansion across recent business cycles.
- Net profit margin contracted from 15.9% in FY2022 to 13.2% in FY2026, reflecting margin compression over time.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MDT AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Medtronic plc (MDT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MDT income statement, MDT balance sheet, MDT key metrics, MDT analyst forecast, MDT chart. See the MDT stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MDT AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Medtronic's dividend yield and payout ratio?
Medtronic offers a dividend yield of 3.04% based on an annual forward dividend of $2.88. The company has a payout ratio of 50.0% and has paid dividends for 45 consecutive years.
How much debt does Medtronic have?
As of July 31, 2026, Medtronic held $28.15B in total debt and $8.82B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $19.33B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.56.
What are analysts forecasting for Medtronic's earnings?
For the fiscal year ending April 30, 2027, analysts project EPS of $5.98, representing 8.1% growth, on revenue of $38.97B. For the following fiscal year, 30 analysts project EPS of $6.41 on revenue of $40.40B.
When does Medtronic report its next quarterly earnings?
Medtronic's next earnings report date is scheduled for November 17, 2026.