AdaptHealth Corp. (AHCO) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: AHCOAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

AHCO AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

AdaptHealth Corp. provides home medical equipment and chronic care management across the United States. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated $3.36B in revenue but posted a net profit margin of -6.8%. The business carries $2.07B in total debt alongside an enterprise value of $2.78B.

Market cap
$803.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$3.36B
P/E
—
fwd 7.8x
1Y return
-34.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$8.86
47.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • AdaptHealth generated $219.4M in free cash flow and $601.8M in operating cash flow during FY2025.
  • The latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, demonstrated a 12.7% year-over-year increase in quarterly revenue and a 6.7% rise in quarterly earnings.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 7.8x and EV-to-EBITDA of 9.6x, below the US-listed Healthcare peer medians of 17.3x and 12.0x.

Bear case

  • The company holds $2.07B in total debt with only $43.3M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • AdaptHealth posted an EPS of -$1.82 and a net profit margin of -6.8% over the trailing twelve months.
  • Analysts project an EPS estimate of -$0.45 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, reflecting an EPS growth decline of 183.6%.

What AdaptHealth does

Headquartered in Plymouth Meeting, Pennsylvania, AdaptHealth Corp. is a provider of home medical equipment, medical supplies, and related services across the United States. The company specializes in sleep therapy offerings, including CPAP and bi-PAP equipment and services for obstructive sleep apnea. It also supplies diabetes management devices such as continuous glucose monitors and insulin pumps. In addition, AdaptHealth provides home medical equipment solutions for patients transitioning from acute care facilities, including oxygen therapy, chronic care management, wound care, urological supplies, incontinence products, ostomy care, and nutritional support. It serves beneficiaries of Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial insurance payors.

Growth and profitability

From FY2020 to FY2025, AdaptHealth achieved a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 25.2%, with annual revenue moving from $2.45B in FY2021 to $3.24B in FY2025. In FY2025, revenue fell 0.5%, gross margin was 17.5%, and operating margin finished at 5.7%, yielding net income of -$70.8M. This followed net income of $90.4M in FY2024 and -$678.9M in FY2023. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $3.36B with an operating margin of 0.8% and EPS of -$1.82. However, the quarter ended June 30, 2026, registered quarterly revenue growth of 12.7% and quarterly earnings growth of 6.7%.

AHCO income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, AdaptHealth held $43.3M in cash and short-term investments against $2.07B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $2.02B. Shareholders' equity was $1.38B against total assets of $4.34B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.50 and a current ratio of 1.12. In FY2025, the company generated $601.8M in operating cash flow and $219.4M in free cash flow, while directing $382.4M toward capital expenditures. Over 5 years, the company's share count change was -0.2%.

AHCO balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $6.02 on October 16, 2026, AdaptHealth carries a market capitalization of $803.1M and an enterprise value of $2.78B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 7.8x, compared to the median of 17.3x for its US-listed Healthcare peers. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.2x and EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 9.6x also sit below the peer medians of 4.1x and 12.0x, respectively. Over the trailing 1-year period, AHCO shares declined 34.1%, while the SPY S&P 500 benchmark gained 16.8%. Over 5 years, the shares dropped 76.2% versus an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.

AHCO key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts maintain 6 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy rating, and zero Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings on the stock. The mean price target is $8.86, representing a 47.1% upside compared to the last close of $6.02. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts forecast revenue of $2.88B and an EPS estimate of -$0.45. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 3, 2026.

AHCO forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $2.02B relative to shareholders' equity of $1.38B presents elevated leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.50.
  • The stock has underperformed broader markets with a 1-year return of -34.1% and trades 36.0% below its 200-day average.
  • Execution volatility remains present as the company beat consensus EPS targets in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
  • Annual profitability has fluctuated significantly, swinging from net income of $90.4M in FY2024 to -$70.8M in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this AHCO AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of AdaptHealth Corp. (AHCO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: AHCO income statement, AHCO balance sheet, AHCO key metrics, AHCO analyst forecast, AHCO chart. See the AHCO stock overview for the latest quote and news.

AHCO AI stock analysis FAQ

Does AdaptHealth Corp. pay a dividend?

AdaptHealth Corp. does not pay a dividend based on current company data.

What is AdaptHealth's debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, AdaptHealth had $2.07B in total debt and $43.3M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $2.02B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.50.

What are analysts forecasting for AHCO's earnings and revenue?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $2.88B and an EPS of -$0.45. For the following fiscal year, 5 analysts project revenue of $2.99B and an EPS of -$0.13.

How has AHCO stock performed compared to the S&P 500?

AHCO stock fell 34.1% over the past year and dropped 76.2% over 5 years, compared to gains of 16.8% and 83.0% for the S&P 500 benchmark over the same periods.

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