NI Holdings, Inc. (NODK) AI Stock Analysis
NODK AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchNI Holdings, Inc. (NODK) is a Fargo-based property and casualty insurance company serving personal and commercial policyholders across the United States. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated revenue of $267.4M with an operating margin of 0.3% and diluted earnings per share of $0.38. As of June 30, 2026, NI Holdings held $51.6M in cash and short-term investments against $1.2M in total debt.
- Market cap
- $302.2M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $267.4M
- P/E
- 39.0x
- 1Y return
- 9.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- —
Bull case
- NI Holdings maintained net cash of $50.5M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 as of June 30, 2026.
- Quarterly earnings grew 94.9% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, helping lift trailing twelve-month EPS to $0.38.
- The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 1.1x, below the 3.2x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers.
Bear case
- The company recorded a 5-year revenue CAGR of -1.4%, with annual revenue falling 12.3% in FY2025 to $285.1M.
- NI Holdings reported net income of -$10.4M in FY2025, marking its fourth consecutive year of annual net losses.
- Free cash flow was negative at -$15.5M in FY2025, alongside operating cash flow of -$15.3M.
What NI does
Established in 1946 and headquartered in Fargo, North Dakota, NI Holdings, Inc. operates as an underwriter in the property and casualty insurance sector across the United States. A subsidiary of Nodak Mutual Group, Inc., the company offers private passenger auto, non-standard automobile, homeowners', farm owners', crop hail, multi-peril crop, and liability insurance policies. NI Holdings delivers personal and commercial insurance products focused on risk management, customer satisfaction, and responsiveness to evolving regulatory and industry trends.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2020 and FY2025, NI Holdings recorded a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of -1.4%. Annual revenue declined 12.3% in FY2025 to $285.1M, following $325.2M in FY2024 and $304.0M in FY2023. Gross margin was 29.6% in FY2025 compared to 14.3% in FY2024, while operating margin was -4.3% versus 3.1% in FY2024. The company reported net income of -$10.4M in FY2025, compared to -$6.1M in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $267.4M with a profit margin of 2.9% and diluted EPS of $0.38. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 7.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 94.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, NI Holdings held $51.6M in cash and short-term investments and $1.2M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $50.5M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00. Total assets reached $543.1M against shareholders' equity of $249.4M, with a current ratio of 14.18. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$15.3M and free cash flow was -$15.5M. Capital expenditures totaled $217,000, while share buybacks totaled $2.7M, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -2.5%.
Valuation and performance
At a closing price of $14.81 on October 16, 2026, NI Holdings had a market capitalization of $302.2M and an enterprise value of $249.6M. The stock traded at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 39.0x, above the 12.1x median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales multiple was 1.1x and its price-to-book multiple was 1.2x, compared to the peer median price-to-sales ratio of 3.2x. Over the prior year, NODK returned 9.3%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and recorded a 5-year return of -25.6% versus 83.0% for the index.
What analysts expect
There are no consensus price targets or rating counts available for NI Holdings. The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 6, 2026. At its last close of $14.81 on October 16, 2026, the stock traded 3.9% above its 200-day moving average, within a 52-week range of $12.37 to $16.70. With a beta of 0.31, the stock has exhibited lower price volatility than the broader market.
Key risks and what to watch
- Quarterly revenue fell 7.7% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- The company's trailing P/E ratio of 39.0x trades at a premium to the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 12.1x.
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin was 0.3%, compared to the peer group median of 37.7%.
- The stock's 5-year return of -25.6% has substantially lagged the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this NODK AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of NI Holdings, Inc. (NODK). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: NODK income statement, NODK balance sheet, NODK key metrics, NODK chart. See the NODK stock overview for the latest quote and news.
NODK AI stock analysis FAQ
Does NI Holdings pay a dividend?
NI Holdings does not have an active dividend yield reported. In FY2025, the company allocated capital toward $2.7M in share buybacks rather than dividends.
When is NI Holdings' next earnings report?
NI Holdings is scheduled to report its next financial results on November 6, 2026.
What is NI Holdings' debt-to-equity level?
As of June 30, 2026, NI Holdings had a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00, supported by $1.2M in total debt against $51.6M in cash and short-term investments.
Who owns the shares of NI Holdings?
Insiders hold 63.6% of NI Holdings, while institutional investors own 25.0% of the company's shares.