Nelnet, Inc. (NNI) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: NNIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

NNI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Nelnet, Inc. (NNI) is a diversified financial services company operating across loan servicing, education technology, payment processing, and communications. In FY2025, revenue grew 22.6% to $2.26B, driving net income to $428.5M. However, recent performance has slowed, with quarterly revenue falling 30.5% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$4.56B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.49B
P/E
15.2x
fwd 13.1x
1Y return
0.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$125.00
-1.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Annual revenue expanded by 22.6% in FY2025 to reach $2.26B, driving diluted EPS to $11.95.
  • Nelnet maintains shareholder returns with 20 consecutive years of dividend payments and a 7.7% 5-year annualized dividend growth rate.
  • High insider alignment is evidenced by insiders holding a 30.9% ownership stake in the company.

Bear case

  • Nelnet carries $7.04B in total debt and $5.49B in net debt, leaving a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.87 and a current ratio of 0.74.
  • For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue dropped 30.5% and quarterly earnings declined 62.8% year-over-year.
  • Analyst expectations point to a 38.1% decline in EPS for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, reaching $7.42.

What Nelnet does

Nelnet, Inc. is a Lincoln, Nebraska-based corporation operating across loan servicing, education technology, communications, and asset generation and management. Its Loan Servicing and Systems division provides loan application processing, borrower updates, payment processing, funds management reconciliation, and business process outsourcing. The Education Technology, Services, and Payment Processing unit offers financial management services, school information system software, tuition payment plans, and campus payment experiences. Nelnet's Communications business provides fiber optic internet, television, and telephone services to residential and commercial properties.

Growth and profitability

Nelnet's revenue expanded from $1.42B in FY2021 to $2.26B in FY2025, generating a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.5%. Annual net income peaked in FY2025 at $428.5M, supported by an operating margin of 50.6% and diluted EPS of $11.95. This marked a rebound from FY2023, when net income dropped to $89.8M and operating margin fell to 3.8%. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $1.49B with a profit margin of 20.3%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 30.5% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 62.8%.

NNI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Nelnet held $1.56B in cash and short-term investments against $7.04B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $5.49B. Shareholders' equity stood at $3.77B, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.87 and a current ratio of 0.74. In FY2025, the company generated $423.0M in operating cash flow and $396.7M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures were $26.2M, while capital return to shareholders included $69.3M in share buybacks and $43.0M in dividends paid.

NNI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $127.42, Nelnet carries a market capitalization of $4.56B and an enterprise value of $11.29B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 15.2x and a forward P/E of 13.1x, both higher than the US-listed Financial Services median of 12.1x trailing and 10.8x forward. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.1x sits slightly below the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past year, NNI generated a 0.3% return, lagging behind the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.

NNI key metrics →

NNI dividend

Nelnet pays a forward annual dividend of $1.32 per share, representing a 1.04% dividend yield. The company carries a modest payout ratio of 16.1% and has paid dividends for 20 consecutive years. Its dividend has grown at an annualized rate of 7.7% over the past 5 years, with the latest ex-dividend date on September 1, 2026.

NNI dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 analyst with a Hold rating and zero Buy or Sell ratings. The mean price target is $125.00, representing a 1.9% discount to the last close of $127.42. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts expect EPS of $7.42 on revenue of $1.67B. For the subsequent year, consensus calls for EPS to rise 14.6% to $8.50 on $1.77B in revenue. Nelnet beat EPS estimates once over the trailing four quarters and reports earnings next on November 5, 2026.

NNI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.74 indicates short-term obligations exceed liquid current assets as of June 30, 2026.
  • The trailing twelve months operating margin of 18.2% sits well below the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 37.7%.
  • Net debt of $5.49B creates meaningful financial leverage relative to the company's $4.56B market capitalization.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this NNI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Nelnet, Inc. (NNI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: NNI income statement, NNI balance sheet, NNI key metrics, NNI analyst forecast, NNI chart. See the NNI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

NNI AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Nelnet pay?

Nelnet pays a quarterly dividend that totals $1.32 per share annually, yielding 1.04% as of October 16, 2026. The company has paid dividends for 20 consecutive years and operates with a payout ratio of 16.1%.

What are Nelnet's key business segments?

Nelnet operates in Loan Servicing and Systems, Education Technology, Services, and Payment Processing, Communications, and Asset Generation and Management. Its operations span student loan administration, educational institution software, campus payment processing, and residential fiber optic services.

What is the Wall Street outlook for NNI stock?

The single analyst covering the stock holds a Hold rating with a mean price target of $125.00, which is 1.9% below its last closing price of $127.42. Earnings are projected to decline 38.1% to $7.42 per share in FY2026 before rebounding 14.6% to $8.50 in FY2027.

When does Nelnet report its next quarterly earnings?

Nelnet is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 5, 2026.

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