Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. (NGS) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: NGSAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

NGS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. (NGS) provides natural gas compression equipment and services to U.S. energy producers. The company posted TTM revenue of $189.4M with a 10.8% net profit margin, but its quarterly earnings fell 26.8% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026. Free cash flow remained negative at -$58.6M in FY2025 due to $121.5M in capital expenditures.

Market cap
$401.1M
Revenue (TTM)
$189.4M
P/E
19.3x
fwd 11.9x
1Y return
20.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$56.00
80.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue grew at a 20.4% CAGR from FY2020 to FY2025, supported by 24.2% year-over-year revenue growth in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Consensus estimates project next fiscal year EPS of $2.61, reflecting 38.8% year-over-year growth.
  • The company trades at a forward P/E of 11.9x and a PEG ratio of 0.82, below its trailing P/E of 19.3x.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow was -$58.6M in FY2025, marking the fourth consecutive year of negative free cash flow.
  • Cash and short-term investments stood at $84,000 against total debt of $328.0M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 26.8% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.

What Natural Gas Services does

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. specializes in natural gas compression equipment and services for the energy industry in the United States. Its operations include the fabrication, manufacturing, rental, and sale of natural gas compressors. As of December 31, 2021, the company's rental fleet included 2,023 compression units totaling 418,041 horsepower. It also designs and fabricates custom compressors, frames, cylinders, and parts. Furthermore, the company designs, manufactures, sells, installs, and services flare stacks and ignition systems for onshore and offshore gas incineration. Headquartered in Midland, Texas, it serves exploration and production firms as well as midstream companies.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 20.4%, moving from $72.4M in FY2021 to $172.3M in FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 2.3% in FY2021 to 37.1% in FY2025, while operating margin rose from -17.1% to 23.5%. Net income reached $19.9M in FY2025, up from -$9.2M in FY2021. For the trailing twelve months, revenue was $189.4M with an operating margin of 19.3% and EPS of $1.61. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 24.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 26.8%.

NGS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, the company held $84,000 in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $328.0M, resulting in net debt of $327.9M. Shareholders' equity was $294.5M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.11, while the current ratio stood at 2.12. In FY2025, operating cash flow generated $62.9M, which was offset by $121.5M in capital expenditures, leading to free cash flow of -$58.6M. Capital returns included $2.6M in dividends paid, while share issuance was $168,000.

NGS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $31.10, Natural Gas Services Group has a market cap of $401.1M and an enterprise value of $757.2M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 19.3x, above the 15.0x median of its US-listed Energy peers. Its forward P/E is 11.9x compared to the peer median of 12.7x, while EV/EBITDA is 9.2x versus the peer median of 8.0x. Over the past year, NGS delivered a return of 20.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over 5 years, the stock returned 152.3% against 83.0% for the index.

NGS key metrics →

NGS dividend

Natural Gas Services Group pays a forward annual dividend of $0.60 per share, representing a 1.93% dividend yield. Dividends are paid quarterly, and the company has paid dividends for 2 consecutive years. The payout ratio stands at 26.1%, with the last ex-dividend date on August 19, 2026.

NGS dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Strong Buy and 2 Buy ratings, with no Hold or Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $56.00, representing an 80.1% premium over the last close of $31.10. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $211.9M and EPS of $1.88. For FY2027, 2 analysts expect revenue of $252.3M and EPS of $2.61. The company has beat EPS estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 9, 2026.

NGS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company holds $327.9M in net debt with only $84,000 in cash, alongside a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.11.
  • Heavy capital spending of $121.5M in FY2025 continues to outpace operating cash flow of $62.9M.
  • The stock has dropped 16.9% below its 200-day average and remains down 6.6% year-to-date.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this NGS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. (NGS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: NGS income statement, NGS balance sheet, NGS key metrics, NGS analyst forecast, NGS chart. See the NGS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

NGS AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Natural Gas Services Group's dividend yield?

The stock has a forward annual dividend of $0.60, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 1.93% and a payout ratio of 26.1%.

When is Natural Gas Services Group's next earnings report?

The company's next earnings date is November 9, 2026. It beat EPS estimates in each of the past 4 quarters.

How much debt does Natural Gas Services Group have?

As of June 30, 2026, the company had $328.0M in total debt and $84,000 in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $327.9M.

What is the consensus analyst price target for NGS?

Analysts have a mean price target of $56.00, which is 80.1% above its last close of $31.10. There are 1 Strong Buy and 2 Buy ratings.

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