Tenaris S.A. (TS) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: TSAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

TS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Tenaris S.A. (TS) produces seamless and welded steel tubular products and related services for the global energy and industrial sectors. In FY2025, the company generated $11.98B in revenue with a 16.1% net margin, while returning substantial capital through $1.36B in share buybacks and $900.4M in dividends. Tenaris maintains a solid liquidity position with net cash of $2.34B as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$29.98B
Revenue (TTM)
$12.04B
P/E
15.8x
fwd 15.8x
1Y return
78.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$64.96
9.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • Tenaris maintains a strong financial cushion with $2.34B in net cash and a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The company has demonstrated disciplined capital return, reducing its share count by 15.4% over 5 years and repurchasing $1.36B of shares in FY2025.
  • Tenaris beat EPS estimates across all 4 of the last 4 quarters and analysts forecast FY2027 EPS growth of 11.4% to $4.20.

Bear case

  • Revenue fell 15.8% in FY2024 and declined 4.3% in FY2025, alongside a 3.9% year-over-year revenue drop in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Operating margin of 16.7% over the trailing twelve months trails the median of its US-listed Energy peers of 28.5%.
  • With a PEG ratio of 3.15 and forward P/E of 15.8x, the stock trades at a premium to the peer median forward P/E of 12.7x.

What Tenaris does

Tenaris S.A. specializes in the production and sale of seamless and welded steel tubular products and related services for the oil and gas industry and industrial applications. Its offerings include steel casings, tubing products, mechanical and structural pipes, cold-drawn pipes, premium joints, couplings, and coiled tubing for drilling and workovers. The company also supplies subsea pipelines, umbilical tubing, sucker rods, industrial equipment, heat exchangers, and utility conduits for buildings. Additionally, Tenaris sells energy and raw materials and provides financial services to support client projects. It operates globally across North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific.

Growth and profitability

Tenaris expanded its revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 18.4% from FY2020 to FY2025, peaking in FY2023 at $14.87B with a net margin of 26.4%. Growth contracted in FY2024 as revenue declined 15.8% to $12.52B, followed by a 4.3% decrease in FY2025 to $11.98B with net income of $1.93B. Operating margin was 19.1% in FY2025 compared to 29.0% in FY2023. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $12.04B with an operating margin of 16.7%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 3.9% year-over-year and quarterly earnings decreased 4.9% year-over-year.

TS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Tenaris held $2.78B in cash and short-term investments against $446.9M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $2.34B. The balance sheet shows a current ratio of 4.07, debt-to-equity of 0.03, and shareholders' equity of $16.96B out of $20.31B in total assets. During FY2025, the company generated $2.60B in operating cash flow and $1.98B in free cash flow. Capital expenditures totaled $617.2M, while capital returns comprised $1.36B in share buybacks and $900.4M in dividends paid.

TS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Tenaris trades at a trailing P/E of 15.8x and a forward P/E of 15.8x, compared to medians of 15.0x and 12.7x, respectively, for its US-listed Energy peers. Its EV/EBITDA stands at 8.4x versus the peer median of 8.0x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 2.5x against the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, the stock returned 78.9%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, TS returned 210.0% versus 83.0% for the index.

TS key metrics →

TS dividend

Tenaris pays a semiannual forward dividend of $1.78 per share, representing a dividend yield of 3.00% and a payout ratio of 47.6%. The company has paid dividends for 24 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 19.4%. Its last ex-dividend date is November 24, 2026.

TS dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 5 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 4 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target of $64.96 represents 9.4% upside over the last close of $59.39. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $3.77 on revenue of $12.22B. For the following fiscal year, 8 analysts estimate EPS of $4.20 and revenue of $13.04B. Tenaris beat EPS estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 4, 2026.

TS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Quarterly earnings fell 4.9% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, indicating ongoing bottom-line pressure.
  • Operating margins compressed from 29.0% in FY2023 to 19.1% in FY2025 and 16.7% in the trailing twelve months.
  • Revenue growth for the latest quarter was -3.9% year-over-year, lagging the US-listed Energy peer median quarterly revenue growth of 23.1%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this TS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Tenaris S.A. (TS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: TS income statement, TS balance sheet, TS key metrics, TS analyst forecast, TS chart. See the TS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

TS AI stock analysis FAQ

What does Tenaris S.A. do?

Tenaris S.A. produces seamless and welded steel tubular products, including casings, tubing, premium joints, and pipelines for the oil and gas industry and industrial sectors worldwide.

What is Tenaris's dividend yield and payout schedule?

Tenaris pays an annual forward dividend of $1.78 per share on a semiannual frequency, which reflects a 3.00% dividend yield and a payout ratio of 47.6%.

How strong is Tenaris's balance sheet?

As of June 30, 2026, Tenaris held $2.78B in cash and short-term investments against $446.9M in total debt, creating a net cash position of $2.34B with a current ratio of 4.07.

What are analysts forecasting for Tenaris's earnings?

Analysts project EPS of $3.77 on revenue of $12.22B for FY2026, and EPS of $4.20 on revenue of $13.04B for FY2027.

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