Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: MTRAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MTR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) is a Houston-based passive trust holding net overriding royalty interests in oil and natural gas properties in Kansas, New Mexico, and Colorado. The trust generated trailing twelve month revenue of $553,163 with a 66.0% profit margin and a forward dividend yield of 6.94%. However, its unit price fell 59.0% over the past year as quarterly revenue declined 28.4% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$3.8M
Revenue (TTM)
$553,163
P/E
10.1x
fwd 19.7x
1Y return
-59.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
—

Bull case

  • Mesa Royalty Trust offers an annual forward dividend yield of 6.94% backed by a 39.5% payout ratio and 43 consecutive years of dividend payments.
  • The trust maintains strong liquidity with $2.1M in cash and short-term investments against a total asset base of $3.3M and a current ratio of 17.12 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The business model generates elevated profitability without operational expenses, delivering a FY2025 operating margin of 71.4% and a trailing twelve month net profit margin of 66.0%.

Bear case

  • Revenue has contracted significantly over recent periods, falling 19.3% in FY2025 to $601,840 and exhibiting a 5-year CAGR of -6.3% from FY2020 to FY2025.
  • The trust's unit price has fallen 59.0% over the past year and trades 46.3% below its 200-day moving average as of October 16, 2026.
  • Distributions have faced long-term pressure, evidenced by a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of -4.4%.

What Mesa Royalty does

Founded in 1979 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, Mesa Royalty Trust operates as a passive entity that holds net overriding royalty interests in oil and gas producing properties across the United States. Its assets include interests in fields situated in the Hugoton region of Kansas, recognized for significant natural gas production, as well as the San Juan Basin spanning Northwestern New Mexico and Southwestern Colorado. Mesa Royalty Trust collects royalties from operating oil and gas companies, allowing it to generate revenue streams directly from hydrocarbon extraction and sales without engaging directly in operational activities.

Growth and profitability

Mesa Royalty Trust reported revenue of $908,160 in FY2021, which grew 353.6% to $4.1M in FY2022 before declining 20.4% to $3.3M in FY2023. Revenue fell further by 77.3% to $746,019 in FY2024 and decreased 19.3% to $601,840 in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of -6.3% from FY2020 to FY2025. Despite revenue contraction, margins remained elevated, with gross margin at 100.0%, operating margin at 71.4%, and net margin at 84.9% in FY2025, producing net income of $510,906 and EPS of $0.26. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $553,163 with a profit margin of 66.0% and an operating margin of 75.6%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 28.4% and quarterly earnings fell 33.3% year-over-year.

MTR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Mesa Royalty Trust held cash and short-term investments of $2.1M and total assets of $3.3M, with shareholders' equity of $3.1M and a current ratio of 17.12. Operating cash flow totaled $510,910 in FY2025, recovering from -$78.6M in FY2023. The passive entity utilizes cash distributions to reward unitholders, paying $433,920 in dividends during FY2025, while its 5-year share count change remained at 0.0%.

MTR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Mesa Royalty Trust carries a market capitalization of $3.8M and an enterprise value of $2.5M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 10.1x, below the 15.0x median of its US-listed Energy peers, but its forward P/E of 19.7x stands above the peer median of 12.7x. Additionally, its price-to-sales multiple of 6.8x and EV-to-EBITDA of 8.5x compare to peer medians of 1.8x and 8.0x, respectively. The trust's unit price closed at $2.02 on October 16, 2026, down 59.0% over the past year and down 56.7% over 5 years, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) returns of 16.8% and 83.0% across those respective periods.

MTR key metrics →

MTR dividend

Mesa Royalty Trust pays a monthly dividend with an annual forward dividend of $0.14 per unit, representing a dividend yield of 6.94% and a payout ratio of 39.5%. The trust has paid dividends for 43 consecutive years, though its 5-year annualized dividend growth was -4.4%. Its last ex-dividend date was May 29, 2026.

MTR dividend history →

What analysts expect

Mesa Royalty Trust has its next earnings date scheduled for November 12, 2026. The trust does not have formal analyst rating counts, price targets, or published forward consensus earnings estimates. Units closed at $2.02 on October 16, 2026, representing a market capitalization of $3.8M, trading 46.3% below its 200-day average. Institutional investors own 31.0% of the float, short interest stands at 0.2%, and insiders hold 0.0% of the units.

Key risks and what to watch

  • Quarterly revenue fell 28.4% and quarterly earnings dropped 33.3% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The forward P/E multiple of 19.7x trades at a premium to the US-listed Energy peer median of 12.7x despite declining revenue.
  • Operating cash flow has exhibited high historical volatility, moving from -$78.6M in FY2023 to $510,910 in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MTR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MTR income statement, MTR balance sheet, MTR key metrics, MTR chart. See the MTR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MTR AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Mesa Royalty Trust's dividend yield and distribution schedule?

Mesa Royalty Trust pays a monthly distribution with an annual forward dividend of $0.14 per unit, resulting in a dividend yield of 6.94%. The payout ratio stands at 39.5%, and the trust has maintained 43 consecutive years of dividend payments.

Where are Mesa Royalty Trust's producing assets located?

The trust holds net overriding royalty interests in the Hugoton region of Kansas and the San Juan Basin in Northwestern New Mexico and Southwestern Colorado. These passive interests generate revenue from oil and natural gas production without direct operating involvement.

How did Mesa Royalty Trust perform financially in FY2025?

In FY2025, Mesa Royalty Trust generated $601,840 in revenue and net income of $510,906, yielding an EPS of $0.26. Revenue declined 19.3% compared to FY2024, but net profit margin remained high at 84.9%.

When is Mesa Royalty Trust's next earnings report?

Mesa Royalty Trust's next earnings report date is scheduled for November 12, 2026.

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