Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: MPWRAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MPWR AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) designs semiconductor-based power electronics solutions, including DC-to-DC integrated circuits for diverse end markets. The company grew its revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 27.0% through FY2025, reaching $2.79B in annual sales alongside $666.2M in free cash flow. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue expanded 47.6% year-over-year while trailing twelve month operating margin stood at 31.0%.

Market cap
$59.51B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.27B
P/E
73.7x
fwd 38.8x
1Y return
18.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$1839.80
51.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue rose 47.6% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, while quarterly earnings surged 85.8%.
  • Consensus analyst estimates project FY2026 EPS of $27.52, representing an expected annual growth rate of 54.9%.
  • The company generated $666.2M in free cash flow in FY2025 and maintained a current ratio of 4.98 as of June 30, 2026.

Bear case

  • The trailing P/E of 73.7x and EV-to-EBITDA of 65.2x trade significantly higher than the median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers at 42.1x and 30.6x.
  • Net income contracted from $1.79B in FY2024 to $615.9M in FY2025, with net margins dropping from 81.0% to 22.1%.
  • The stock traded 6.9% below its 200-day moving average and remains below its 52-week high of $1714.09.

What Monolithic Power does

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc., headquartered in Kirkland, Washington, designs, develops, markets, and sells semiconductor-based power electronics solutions. Founded in 1997, the company specializes in direct current (DC) to DC integrated circuits that convert and regulate voltages in electronic systems. Its solutions serve computing and storage, automotive technology, industrial machinery, telecommunications, and consumer electronics applications. The product lineup includes DC-DC ICs for portable electronics, computers, and medical equipment, as well as specialized lighting control ICs for LCD backlighting. The company distributes products globally through third-party distributors, value-added resellers, and direct sales channels across China, Taiwan, Europe, South Korea, Southeast Asia, Japan, and the United States.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, annual revenue expanded from $1.21B to $2.79B, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 27.0%. Revenue grew 48.5% in FY2022, 1.5% in FY2023, 21.2% in FY2024, and 26.4% in FY2025. Gross margin was 56.8% in FY2021 and settled at 55.2% in FY2025, while operating margin shifted from 21.7% in FY2021 to 26.1% in FY2025. Net income reached $615.9M in FY2025 with diluted EPS of $17.77, compared to $1.79B and EPS of $14.13 in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $3.27B with EPS of $16.44. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 47.6% and quarterly earnings increased 85.8% year-over-year.

MPWR income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Monolithic Power Systems held $1.41B in cash and short-term investments, total assets of $4.69B, and shareholders' equity of $3.90B. The company reported a current ratio of 4.98. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $838.2M, supporting free cash flow of $666.2M after capital expenditures of $172.0M. During FY2025, cash deployed toward capital allocation included $284.8M in dividends paid and $7.7M in share buybacks, while the 5-year change in share count was 2.1%.

MPWR balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $1210.86, Monolithic Power Systems trades at a trailing P/E of 73.7x and a forward P/E of 38.8x, compared to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers of 42.1x and 25.1x, respectively. Its price-to-sales of 18.2x and EV-to-EBITDA of 65.2x also sit above peer medians of 11.9x and 30.6x. The company's PEG ratio is 1.04. Over the past year, the stock generated an 18.7% return compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500, while over five years its 161.1% gain surpassed the index return of 83.0%.

MPWR key metrics →

MPWR dividend

Monolithic Power Systems pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual rate of $8.00 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.66%. The payout ratio is 37.7%. The company has paid dividends for 13 consecutive years, with an annualized 5-year dividend growth rate of 25.6%. Its last ex-dividend date was September 30, 2026.

MPWR dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 13 Strong Buy, 3 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $1839.80 represents a 51.9% premium to the last close of $1210.86. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $4.16B and EPS of $27.52, representing 54.9% EPS growth. In FY2027, 15 analysts project revenue of $5.31B and EPS of $35.16. Monolithic Power Systems beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings release scheduled for October 29, 2026.

MPWR forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A stock beta of 1.68 indicates elevated share price volatility relative to the broader market.
  • Short interest stands at 5.1% of float, reflecting measurable hedging or negative positioning.
  • Research and development expenses climbed to $382.3M in FY2025 from $190.6M in FY2021, increasing the fixed cost structure needed to sustain innovation.
  • Annual revenue growth previously decelerated to 1.5% in FY2023, showing susceptibility to industry cyclicality.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MPWR AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MPWR income statement, MPWR balance sheet, MPWR key metrics, MPWR analyst forecast, MPWR chart. See the MPWR stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MPWR AI stock analysis FAQ

What was Monolithic Power Systems' revenue in FY2025?

The company reported annual revenue of $2.79B in FY2025, representing a 26.4% increase from $2.21B in FY2024.

Does MPWR pay a dividend?

Yes, MPWR pays a quarterly dividend with a forward annual payout of $8.00 per share, yielding 0.66% with a payout ratio of 37.7%.

How does MPWR's valuation compare to its sector peers?

MPWR trades at a trailing P/E of 73.7x and forward P/E of 38.8x, compared to the median of its Nasdaq-100 Technology peers of 42.1x and 25.1x, respectively.

When is Monolithic Power Systems' next earnings release?

The next earnings date is scheduled for October 29, 2026.

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