Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (MPAA) AI Stock Analysis
MPAA AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchMotorcar Parts of America, Inc. remanufactures and distributes automotive replacement parts, including rotating electrical components and brake products. In FY2026, revenue increased 4.3% to $789.8M with net income reaching $12.4M. However, in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue contracted by 10.8% year-over-year while net debt stood at $207.3M.
- Market cap
- $195.4M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $769.5M
- P/E
- — fwd 9.3x
- 1Y return
- -35.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $18.00 74.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Analysts hold a unanimous Strong Buy consensus with a mean price target of $18.00, indicating 74.4% upside from the recent close.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 9.3x and an EV to EBITDA of 6.8x, both discounted relative to US-listed Consumer Cyclical medians of 14.1x and 11.1x.
- Net income recovered to $12.4M in FY2026, supported by free cash flow of $22.9M and gross margins improving to 20.2%.
Bear case
- The company carries net debt of $207.3M against cash and short-term investments of only $21.4M.
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue fell 10.8% and earnings contracted 18.2% year-over-year.
- Over the past year, the stock fell 35.7%, significantly lagging the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
What Motorcar Parts of America does
Headquartered in Torrance, California, Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. manufactures, remanufactures, and distributes replacement parts for heavy-duty trucks, industrial equipment, marine vessels, and agricultural applications. Its primary product lines include rotating electrical components like alternators and starters, along with wheel hub assemblies, bearings, and brake-related items including calipers, boosters, rotors, pads, and master cylinders. The company has also expanded into advanced test solutions and diagnostic equipment for electric vehicle powertrain development, offering electric motor test systems, e-axle test systems, and charging unit test systems across North America.
Growth and profitability
Over the five-year period from FY2021 to FY2026, the company achieved a revenue CAGR of 7.9%. Annual revenue grew from $650.3M in FY2022 to $789.8M in FY2026, posting 4.3% growth in FY2026. Gross margin expanded from 18.1% in FY2022 to 20.2% in FY2026, while operating margin rose to 7.2%. After posting net income losses of -$4.2M in FY2023, -$49.2M in FY2024, and -$19.5M in FY2025, net income rebounded to $12.4M in FY2026. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 10.8% year-over-year and quarterly earnings declined 18.2%, leaving trailing twelve-month revenue at $769.5M and an operating margin of 2.8%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $21.4M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $228.7M, resulting in net debt of $207.3M. Total assets stood at $1.01B, shareholders' equity was $253.0M, and the current ratio was 1.44, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.90. In FY2026, operating cash flow generated $19.2M and free cash flow was $22.9M. Capital expenditures used $3.7M, while share buybacks totaled $11.4M.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $10.32, Motorcar Parts of America trades at a forward P/E of 9.3x, which is below the 14.1x median for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 6.8x compared to the peer median of 11.1x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 0.3x versus the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, the stock dropped 35.7%, while the S&P 500 benchmark returned 16.8%. Over five years, the stock decreased 47.1% compared to an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.
What analysts expect
All 3 covering analysts rate the company a Strong Buy, with zero Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $18.00, representing a 74.4% premium over the last close of $10.32. For the current fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, consensus estimates project revenue of $789.7M and EPS of $1.67, implying EPS growth of 105.4%. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and the next earnings date is November 9, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- High leverage is reflected in total debt of $228.7M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.90.
- Short interest represents 8.4% of float, indicating lingering skepticism in the market.
- Inconsistent execution is highlighted by EPS meeting or beating expectations in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this MPAA AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (MPAA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: MPAA income statement, MPAA balance sheet, MPAA key metrics, MPAA analyst forecast, MPAA chart. See the MPAA stock overview for the latest quote and news.
MPAA AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Motorcar Parts of America pay a dividend?
Motorcar Parts of America does not currently pay a dividend. The company deployed $11.4M toward share buybacks and $3.7M to capital expenditures in FY2026.
What are the revenue and earnings expectations for MPAA?
For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027, analysts forecast revenue of $789.7M and an EPS of $1.67, representing 105.4% EPS growth. For the following fiscal year, revenue is projected at $842.3M with EPS of $1.72.
How much debt does Motorcar Parts of America have?
As of June 30, 2026, Motorcar Parts of America had $228.7M in total debt and $21.4M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $207.3M. Its current ratio stood at 1.44.
When does Motorcar Parts of America report its next earnings?
The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 9, 2026.