Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd (LRE) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: LREAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LRE AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd (LRE) develops and sells luxury residential properties, operates hotels in Tokyo, and leases apartments in Japan and Dallas, Texas. In FY2026, the company generated $18.63B in revenue and $580.8M in net income, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.6%. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 4.0x, but carries $17.47B in total debt and a current ratio of 0.41.

Market cap
$14.8M
Revenue (TTM)
$18.33B
P/E
4.0x
1Y return
-33.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
—

Bull case

  • The company achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.6% from FY2021 through FY2026, generating $18.63B in revenue.
  • Operating margin improved from 5.4% in FY2022 to 8.3% in FY2026, supporting $580.8M in net income.
  • The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 4.0x and price-to-book of 0.5x, below the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers at 21.6x trailing P/E.

Bear case

  • Total debt stands at $17.47B compared to $2.68B in cash and short-term investments, resulting in a current ratio of 0.41.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 29.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, while annual net income dropped from $816.3M in FY2025 to $580.8M in FY2026.
  • The stock declined 33.2% over the past year and trades 17.4% below its 200-day moving average.

What Lead Real Estate does

Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd, along with its subsidiaries, specializes in the development and sale of luxury residential properties, including single-family homes and condominiums for discerning clients. Founded in 2001 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, the company operates hotels in Tokyo and leases apartment units in both Japan and Dallas, Texas. Its business model spans luxury residential property development, property management, and hospitality. With 97 employees, the company pursues domestic and international growth across its residential and lodging operations.

Growth and profitability

Revenue increased from $16.57B in FY2022 to $17.44B in FY2023, reaching $18.95B in FY2024 before decreasing 4.1% to $18.17B in FY2025. In FY2026, revenue rose 2.5% to $18.63B, completing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 10.6% from FY2021 to FY2026. Gross margin expanded from 16.5% in FY2022 to 19.2% in FY2025, settling at 18.0% in FY2026. Operating margin reached 8.3% in FY2026, up from 5.4% in FY2022. Net income stood at $580.8M in FY2026, with a net margin of 3.1%, following $816.3M in FY2025. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 3.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 29.8%.

LRE income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Lead Real Estate held $2.68B in cash and short-term investments against $17.47B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $14.79B. Shareholders' equity was $5.10B, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.43 and a current ratio of 0.41. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $3.19B and free cash flow turned positive at $762.9M, recovering from -$656.0M in FY2024. During FY2025, capital expenditures were $2.43B and dividends paid totaled $39.5M, while share count decreased 5.9% over 5 years.

LRE balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a closing price of $1.08 on October 16, 2026, Lead Real Estate has a market capitalization of $14.8M and an enterprise value of $122.7M. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 4.0x and an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 11.8x, both below the median of its US-listed Real Estate peers at 21.6x and 14.7x, respectively. Its price-to-book ratio is 0.5x, and price-to-sales is 0.0x compared to the peer median of 3.7x. Over the past year, LRE shares fell 33.2%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) gained 16.8%.

LRE key metrics →

LRE dividend

Lead Real Estate pays an annual forward dividend of $0.06 per share, providing a dividend yield of 5.87% based on its $1.08 closing price. The dividend payout ratio is 13.7%, and the company has paid dividends for 2 consecutive years. Its last ex-dividend date was June 30, 2025, with payment frequency designated as Other.

LRE dividend history →

What analysts expect

Lead Real Estate is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 29, 2026. The company does not have published Wall Street analyst recommendations, rating distributions, or consensus price targets. For the trailing twelve months, diluted earnings per share totaled $0.27. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 3.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings contracted 29.8%.

Key risks and what to watch

  • A high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.43 and net debt of $14.79B create significant financial obligations.
  • A current ratio of 0.41 highlights limited short-term liquidity relative to existing obligations.
  • Insider ownership sits at 90.1%, leaving minimal public float with institutional ownership at only 0.6%.
  • The stock shows high volatility with a beta of 1.44 and is trading near its 52-week low of $1.00.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LRE AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd (LRE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LRE income statement, LRE balance sheet, LRE key metrics, LRE chart. See the LRE stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LRE AI stock analysis FAQ

What does Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd do?

Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd develops and sells luxury residential properties, including single-family homes and condominiums. It also operates hotels in Tokyo and leases apartments in Japan and Dallas, Texas.

Does LRE pay a dividend?

Yes, LRE has an annual forward dividend of $0.06 per share, representing a dividend yield of 5.87%. The payout ratio is 13.7%, and dividends have been paid for 2 consecutive years.

How leveraged is Lead Real Estate?

As of June 30, 2026, the company carries $17.47B in total debt and $2.68B in cash, resulting in net debt of $14.79B. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 3.43 and its current ratio is 0.41.

When does Lead Real Estate report earnings next?

Lead Real Estate is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 29, 2026.

Who owns Lead Real Estate stock?

Insiders hold 90.1% of the shares, while institutional investors hold 0.6%. Short interest represents 3.0% of the float.

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