Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) AI Stock Analysis
FOR AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchForestar Group Inc. (FOR) is a residential lot development enterprise operating under the umbrella of D.R. Horton, Inc. The company generated $1.72B in trailing twelve-month revenue with a trailing P/E of 7.7x, though operating cash flow was -$197.7M in FY2025. Analysts forecast a 12.8% decline in earnings per share for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $1.31B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.72B
- P/E
- 7.7x fwd 49.0x
- 1Y return
- -0.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $34.00 32.5% vs last close
Bull case
- The stock trades at a discount on trailing earnings with a trailing P/E of 7.7x and a price-to-book ratio of 0.7x.
- Affiliation with parent company D.R. Horton supported long-term top-line expansion, achieving a 12.3% revenue CAGR from FY2020 to FY2025.
- Analyst consensus price target of $34.00 indicates a potential 32.5% upside over the last close of $25.67.
Bear case
- The company posted negative free cash flow of -$199.9M in FY2025 and -$160.6M in FY2024.
- Earnings growth is projected to contract, with FY2026 EPS estimated to decline 12.8% to $2.88.
- The stock has beaten earnings estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters while underperforming the broader market with a 1-year return of -0.4%.
What Forestar does
Forestar Group Inc. functions as a residential lot development enterprise across the United States. It specializes in acquiring land and establishing essential infrastructure for single-family residential communities. The company focuses on selling finished residential lots to a diverse clientele of local, regional, and national homebuilders. Headquartered in Arlington, Texas, Forestar operates under the umbrella of D.R. Horton, Inc., a leading national homebuilder. This affiliation provides financial backing and strategic support, enabling Forestar to pursue growth initiatives and expand housing options by delivering high-quality residential lots in key markets.
Growth and profitability
Forestar delivered a 5-year revenue CAGR of 12.3% from FY2020 to FY2025. In FY2025, revenue grew 10.1% to $1.66B, though net income fell from $203.4M in FY2024 to $167.9M, resulting in a net margin of 10.1% and EPS of $3.31. Operating margin stood at 12.6% in FY2025, compared to 16.0% in FY2024. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.72B with an operating margin of 11.2% and EPS of $3.33. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 4.2% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 8.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Forestar held $394.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $810.2M, resulting in net debt of $415.3M. Shareholders' equity was $1.86B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44 and a current ratio of 1.04. Free cash flow was negative in FY2025 at -$199.9M, following operating cash flow of -$197.7M. During FY2025, capital expenditures were $2.2M and share buybacks totaled $1.8M, with total shares up 2.6% over five years.
Valuation and performance
Forestar trades at a trailing P/E of 7.7x, well below the 21.6x median of its US-listed Real Estate peers. However, its forward P/E stands at 49.0x, above the peer group median of 23.5x. Its price-to-sales multiple is 0.8x compared to the peer median of 3.7x, and its EV-to-EBITDA is 8.2x versus the peer median of 14.7x. Over the past year, the stock returned -0.4%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, FOR gained 31.6% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 1 Hold rating, with no Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $34.00 represents a 32.5% premium to the last close of $25.67. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $2.88, reflecting a 12.8% decline, alongside revenue of $1.66B. For the subsequent year, 3 analysts estimate EPS of $2.85 on revenue of $1.68B. Forestar beat earnings estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating cash flow was negative at -$197.7M in FY2025, which may strain liquidity if capital requirements continue to exceed internal generation.
- Total debt of $810.2M results in net debt of $415.3M, supported by a modest current ratio of 1.04.
- Stock volatility is elevated, as reflected by a beta of 1.40 and a price trading 6.5% below its 200-day moving average.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this FOR AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Forestar Group Inc. (FOR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: FOR income statement, FOR balance sheet, FOR key metrics, FOR analyst forecast, FOR chart. See the FOR stock overview for the latest quote and news.
FOR AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Forestar Group Inc. pay a dividend?
No, Forestar Group Inc. does not currently pay a dividend.
What is the relationship between Forestar and D.R. Horton?
Forestar Group Inc. operates as a subsidiary under the umbrella of D.R. Horton, Inc., which provides financial backing, strategic support, and operational synergies.
When is Forestar's next earnings release?
Forestar's next earnings report is scheduled for release on October 29, 2026.
What are analysts forecasting for Forestar's annual earnings?
Analysts forecast EPS of $2.88 for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, representing a 12.8% drop, and $2.85 for the following fiscal year.