Lichen China Limited (LICN) AI Stock Analysis
LICN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchLichen China Limited provides financial, taxation, and educational software support services in China. The company has experienced significant financial deterioration, with FY2025 revenue falling 40.9% to $24.5M and a net loss of -$22.0M. Despite operational challenges, it maintained a net cash position of $19.3M as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $14.0M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $20.5M
- P/E
- 0.0x
- 1Y return
- -80.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- —
Bull case
- Lichen China maintains a solid liquidity cushion with $19.3M in net cash and a current ratio of 5.81 as of June 30, 2026.
- The stock trades at a price-to-book multiple of 0.2x, pricing the company well below its shareholders' equity of $60.9M.
- Debt obligations remain minimal, with total debt standing at only $304,000 as of June 30, 2026.
Bear case
- Revenue fell 40.9% in FY2025 to $24.5M, followed by an additional 28.0% year-over-year revenue decline in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Free cash flow burn accelerated drastically to -$17.8M in FY2025 compared to -$11.5M in FY2024.
- Shareholder value has deteriorated rapidly, with the stock price falling 80.3% over the trailing one-year period.
What Lichen China does
Lichen China Limited operates as an investment holding company offering financial and taxation management consultation, internal control management, and advisory services. Founded in 2004, the firm provides specialized training programs and consultancy designed to enhance client operational efficiency and regulatory compliance. In the education sector, it delivers integrated support services, including marketing strategies, operational guidance, and teaching materials. Lichen China has also developed proprietary software solutions, such as the Lichen Education Accounting Practice System V1.0 and an academic affairs management system, complemented by installation, training, maintenance, and after-sales technical support for partnered educational institutions.
Growth and profitability
Revenue contracted sharply in recent periods, posting a 5-year CAGR of -4.4% from FY2020 to FY2025. After peaking at $41.5M in FY2024, revenue dropped 40.9% to $24.5M in FY2025. Margins eroded considerably, with gross margin dropping from 61.9% in FY2024 to 37.3% in FY2025, while operating margin fell from -11.0% to -58.8%. Net income deteriorated from -$6.1M in FY2024 to -$22.0M in FY2025. Contraction continued into the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, where revenue reached $20.5M with an operating margin of -85.0%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 28.0% year-over-year, and earnings declined 51.3%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Lichen China held $19.6M in cash and short-term investments against $304,000 in total debt, yielding net cash of $19.3M. The company shows a solid short-term liquidity profile with a current ratio of 5.81 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00. However, cash generation has weakened severely, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both standing at -$17.8M in FY2025. Over the last five years, the company's share count decreased by 27.4%. Total shareholders' equity stood at $60.9M against total assets of $65.3M.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $0.86, Lichen China has a market capitalization of $14.0M and an enterprise value of -$8.9M. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.7x, below the 1.5x median of its US-listed Industrials peers. Its price-to-book ratio is 0.2x, while EV/EBITDA is 3.0x compared to the peer median of 13.9x. The stock has underperformed broader benchmarks substantially, falling 80.3% over the past year and 69.6% year-to-date, compared to a 16.8% one-year gain for the S&P 500 benchmark SPY.
What analysts expect
Lichen China has limited formal analyst coverage, with no consensus price targets or rating breakdowns reported. Historical performance records show that the company beat earnings per share estimates in 2 of the trailing 4 quarters. Diluted EPS for the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, was reported at $27.64. Market trading activity reflects high volatility, with the shares trading 67.2% below their 200-day moving average and holding a beta of -1.03.
Key risks and what to watch
- Ongoing cash burn of -$17.8M in FY2025 poses a threat to the company's cash reserve of $19.6M if operational losses persist.
- Operating margins fell to -85.0% for the trailing twelve months, showing substantial operational inefficiency.
- Institutional ownership remains minimal at 1.1%, which can lead to low trading liquidity and elevated price volatility.
- The stock is trading down 67.2% relative to its 200-day moving average, signaling prolonged downward price momentum.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this LICN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Lichen China Limited (LICN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: LICN income statement, LICN balance sheet, LICN key metrics, LICN chart. See the LICN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
LICN AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Lichen China's primary line of business?
Lichen China Limited provides financial and taxation management consultation, corporate training, internal control services, and proprietary educational software solutions to institutions in China.
How strong is Lichen China's balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $19.6M in cash and short-term investments against $304,000 in total debt, providing net cash of $19.3M and a current ratio of 5.81.
Does Lichen China pay a dividend?
No, Lichen China does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders.
What are Lichen China's recent financial results?
In FY2025, revenue dropped 40.9% to $24.5M, resulting in a net loss of -$22.0M. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 28.0% year-over-year.