LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: LGIHAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

LGIH AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) is a residential real estate company that designs, constructs, and sells homes across the United States. In FY2025, revenue contracted 22.6% to $1.71B, while net income decreased to $72.6M. The company carries $1.59B in total debt against $61.1M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$999.9M
Revenue (TTM)
$1.68B
P/E
15.1x
fwd 18.8x
1Y return
-4.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$93.00
116.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • The consensus analyst mean price target of $93.00 represents a 116.2% upside from the last closing price of $43.01.
  • For the next fiscal year, analysts project revenue growth of 11.6% to $2.02B and EPS growth of 23.0% to $3.42.
  • The company maintains strong liquidity coverage with a current ratio of 18.06 as of June 30, 2026.

Bear case

  • Annual free cash flow remained negative across four consecutive years, ending at -$140.9M in FY2025.
  • The company carries total debt of $1.59B against just $61.1M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • The stock has experienced prolonged underperformance, dropping 69.0% over five years while the S&P 500 returned 83.0%.

What LGI Homes does

LGI Homes, Inc. operates in the residential real estate sector, specializing in designing, constructing, and selling homes across the United States. The company serves various market segments under its flagship LGI Homes brand, offering entry-level attached and detached homes, along with active adult lifestyle housing branded as Terrata Homes. LGI Homes also operates a wholesale business building and selling homes to entities acquiring single-family rental properties. Headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, the company owned and operated 101 communities across states including Texas, Arizona, Florida, and Georgia as of December 31, 2021.

Growth and profitability

LGI Homes generated revenue of $3.05B in FY2021, which dropped to $2.30B in FY2022 before rising to $2.36B in FY2023. Revenue fell 6.6% in FY2024 to $2.20B and declined another 22.6% in FY2025 to $1.71B, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of -6.4%. Net income contracted from $429.6M in FY2021 to $72.6M in FY2025, as net margin dropped from 14.1% to 4.3%. Operating margin decreased from 18.0% in FY2021 to 4.7% in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 5.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 14.6%.

LGIH income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, LGI Homes held $61.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.59B, resulting in net debt of $1.52B. Shareholders' equity stood at $2.13B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74 and a current ratio of 18.06. Free cash flow was -$140.9M in FY2025, alongside operating cash flow of -$140.0M. During FY2025, the company spent $924,000 on capital expenditures and allocated $23.6M to share buybacks, reducing its share count by 5.4% over 5 years.

LGIH balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $43.01, LGI Homes has a market capitalization of $999.9M and an enterprise value of $2.65B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 15.1x and a forward P/E of 18.8x, compared to medians of 18.0x and 14.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its EV to EBITDA ratio is 37.6x compared to the peer median of 11.1x. Over the past year, the stock fell 4.9%, underperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) gain of 16.8%, and is down 69.0% over five years against an 83.0% gain for the index.

LGIH key metrics →

What analysts expect

LGI Homes has 2 covering analyst ratings, consisting of 1 Buy and 1 Hold. The mean price target is $93.00, representing an upside of 116.2% over the last close of $43.01. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $2.78 and revenue of $1.81B. For the next fiscal year, the consensus estimates an EPS of $3.42 on revenue of $2.02B. Over the last 4 quarters, the company beat EPS estimates 1 time. The next earnings date is November 3, 2026.

LGIH forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Short interest is elevated, with short percent of float standing at 22.4%.
  • The stock carries higher market sensitivity with a beta of 1.86 and trades 14.8% below its 200-day average.
  • Operating margin weakened significantly from 18.0% in FY2021 to 4.7% in FY2025.
  • The enterprise has only beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this LGIH AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: LGIH income statement, LGIH balance sheet, LGIH key metrics, LGIH analyst forecast, LGIH chart. See the LGIH stock overview for the latest quote and news.

LGIH AI stock analysis FAQ

Does LGI Homes pay a dividend?

No, LGI Homes does not currently pay a dividend according to its financial reports.

What is LGI Homes' debt situation?

As of June 30, 2026, LGI Homes has $1.59B in total debt and $61.1M in cash and short-term investments, leading to net debt of $1.52B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74.

What are analysts expecting for LGI Homes' earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of $2.78, followed by a projected EPS of $3.42 for the next fiscal year.

How did LGI Homes perform in FY2025?

In FY2025, revenue declined 22.6% to $1.71B and net income fell to $72.6M, with free cash flow recorded at -$140.9M.

More Consumer Cyclical AI stock analysis