Leslie's, Inc. (LESL) AI Stock Analysis
LESL AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchLeslie's, Inc. is a direct-to-consumer pool and spa care provider offering maintenance products, equipment, and services across the United States. The company generated $1.24B in revenue for FY2025, but posted a net income of -$237.0M alongside negative shareholders' equity of -$492.7M. Its shares declined 98.7% over the past year to close at $0.06 on October 7, 2026.
- Market cap
- $955,278
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.18B
- P/E
- — fwd 11.9x
- 1Y return
- -98.7% S&P 500 17.4%
- Avg. target
- $2.38 3858.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Analysts project an EPS improvement of 40.3% to -$2.40 for the next fiscal year.
- In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 114.1% year-over-year.
- The stock trades at a forward P/E of 11.9x, which is lower than the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 14.1x.
Bear case
- Net losses widened significantly to -$237.0M in FY2025 while free cash flow stood at -$16.7M.
- The balance sheet reflects negative shareholders' equity of -$492.7M and total debt of $1.02B against $45.9M in cash.
- Annual revenue contracted for three straight fiscal years from $1.56B in FY2022 to $1.24B in FY2025.
What Leslie's does
Leslie's, Inc. is a direct-to-consumer brand providing pool and spa care solutions across the United States. Founded in 1963 and headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, the company serves residential, professional, and commercial customers. Its offerings encompass pool and spa maintenance chemicals, cleaning equipment, parts, safety and recreational items, and fitness-related products. Leslie's also delivers professional equipment installation and repair services, distributing its products through e-commerce channels, third-party marketplaces, and service networks nationwide.
Growth and profitability
Revenue peaked at $1.56B in FY2022 before contracting for three consecutive years to $1.45B in FY2023, $1.33B in FY2024, and $1.24B in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 2.2%. Profitability compressed over this period, with gross margin dropping from 44.3% in FY2021 to 35.4% in FY2025, and operating margin decreasing from 15.6% to 1.1%. Net income shifted from $159.0M in FY2022 to -$237.0M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $1.18B with an operating margin of 18.1% and a net margin of -21.2%. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 8.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 114.1%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Leslie's held $45.9M in cash and short-term investments against $1.02B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $975.5M. Total assets stood at $722.2M, with negative shareholders' equity of -$492.7M and a current ratio of 1.35. Operating cash flow in FY2025 was $8.8M, but after capital expenditures of $25.5M, free cash flow was -$16.7M. Over five years, the company's share count changed by -1.0%.
Valuation and performance
At a closing price of $0.06 on October 7, 2026, Leslie's carries a market capitalization of $955,278 and an enterprise value of $979.5M. The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 25.8x, compared to the median of 11.1x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its forward P/E is 11.9x versus the peer median of 14.1x, and its EV/revenue is 0.8x. Over the past year, Leslie's returned -98.7% compared to a 17.4% gain for the S&P 500, and has dropped 100.0% over five years while the index rose 89.4%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street analysts maintain a mean price target of $2.38 for Leslie's, compared to its last close of $0.06. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$4.01 and revenue of $0. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts project revenue of $1.09B, representing a 0.1% decline, and an EPS of -$2.40. Across the last four quarters, the company delivered 0 EPS beats.
Key risks and what to watch
- Heavy leverage presents solvency challenges, with net debt of $975.5M exceeding the company's total assets of $722.2M.
- High short interest poses trading volatility, with short percent of float recorded at 27.6%.
- The company failed to beat earnings expectations in any of the last 4 quarters, posting 0 EPS beats.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 7, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this LESL AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Leslie's, Inc. (LESL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 7, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: LESL income statement, LESL balance sheet, LESL key metrics, LESL analyst forecast, LESL chart. See the LESL stock overview for the latest quote and news.
LESL AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Leslie's net debt?
As of June 30, 2026, Leslie's had total debt of $1.02B and cash of $45.9M, leaving net debt at $975.5M.
Did Leslie's report a profit in FY2025?
No, Leslie's reported a net income of -$237.0M in FY2025, which widened from -$23.4M in FY2024.
What is the consensus analyst target for LESL?
The mean analyst price target is $2.38, compared to its closing price of $0.06 on October 7, 2026.
Does Leslie's have positive book value?
No, Leslie's carried negative shareholders' equity of -$492.7M as of June 30, 2026.