Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: KGEIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

KGEI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. is an oil and gas exploration and production company operating across the United States. In the trailing twelve months, the company generated $72.0M in revenue with an operating margin of 55.4%, while quarterly revenue expanded 102.9% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026. The stock closed at $6.97 on October 16, 2026, gaining 77.4% year-to-date.

Market cap
$250.5M
Revenue (TTM)
$72.0M
P/E
12.9x
fwd 8.0x
1Y return
40.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$9.00
29.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue surged 102.9% and quarterly earnings jumped 187.5% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • Operating margin over the trailing twelve months reached 55.4%, well above the median of its US-listed Energy peers of 28.5%.
  • The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 5.6x and a PEG ratio of 0.80, with a mean price target of $9.00 indicating 29.1% upside over the last close.

Bear case

  • Free cash flow was -$21.6M in FY2025 as capital expenditures climbed to $63.7M against operating cash flow of $42.1M.
  • The company faces liquidity pressure with a current ratio of 0.46 and cash and short-term investments of only $1.6M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Annual revenue declined 22.4% in FY2025 to $57.9M after reaching $74.6M in FY2024.

What Kolibri Global Energy does

Kolibri Global Energy Inc. is an energy company focused on the exploration, development, production, and promotion of oil, natural gas, and clean energy sources across the United States. Operations center on extracting crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Founded in 2008 and based in Thousand Oaks, California, the company previously operated as BNK Petroleum Inc. before rebranding in November 2020 to reflect an expanded strategic vision. Today, the organization oversees a portfolio of exploration and production assets, combining strategic acquisitions with initiatives targeted at resource efficiency and operational execution.

Growth and profitability

Kolibri Global Energy grew revenue from $19.1M in FY2021 to $48.4M in FY2022, $64.4M in FY2023, and $74.6M in FY2024, before revenue fell 22.4% to $57.9M in FY2025. Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue achieved a 5-year CAGR of 43.3%. Net income shifted from $71.0M in FY2021 to $16.6M in FY2022, $19.3M in FY2023, $18.1M in FY2024, and $15.7M in FY2025, corresponding to an EPS of $0.42. Gross margin widened to 53.6% in FY2025 from 46.1% in FY2024, with operating margin at 40.5%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue surged 102.9% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 187.5%, bringing trailing twelve month revenue to $72.0M.

KGEI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Kolibri Global Energy held $1.6M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $45.4M, resulting in net debt of $43.7M. The current ratio stood at 0.46, and the debt-to-equity ratio was 0.21 against shareholders' equity of $217.8M. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $42.1M, but capital expenditures of $63.7M drove free cash flow to -$21.6M. The company also allocated $2.0M to share buybacks in FY2025.

KGEI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a market cap of $250.5M and enterprise value of $276.7M, Kolibri Global Energy trades at a trailing P/E of 12.9x and a forward P/E of 8.0x, both below the median of its US-listed Energy peers of 15.0x and 12.7x, respectively. Its EV/EBITDA of 5.6x is also below the peer median of 8.0x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 3.5x trades above the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, KGEI shares gained 40.2%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, and over five years the stock gained 1061.7% compared to 83.0% for the index.

KGEI key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street consensus reflects a mean price target of $9.00, representing a 29.1% premium over the October 16, 2026 close of $6.97. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, the estimated revenue is $117.4M with an EPS estimate of $0.75, implying 75.7% EPS growth. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst projects revenue of $133.7M and EPS of $0.84. Kolibri beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with the next earnings release scheduled for November 11, 2026.

KGEI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt stood at $43.7M as of June 30, 2026, supported by just $1.6M in cash and short-term investments.
  • The stock carries a beta of 1.48, reflecting higher price volatility relative to the broader market.
  • Share count increased 55.4% over a five-year period, reflecting substantial equity dilution.
  • Forward projections rely on limited coverage, with only 1 analyst providing estimates for the next fiscal year.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this KGEI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Kolibri Global Energy Inc. (KGEI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: KGEI income statement, KGEI balance sheet, KGEI key metrics, KGEI analyst forecast, KGEI chart. See the KGEI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

KGEI AI stock analysis FAQ

When does Kolibri Global Energy report its next earnings?

Kolibri Global Energy is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 11, 2026.

What is the consensus analyst price target for KGEI stock?

The mean analyst price target is $9.00, which sits 29.1% above its closing price of $6.97 on October 16, 2026.

What are analysts estimating for Kolibri's full-year 2026 performance?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $117.4M and EPS of $0.75, representing expected EPS growth of 75.7%.

How much debt does Kolibri Global Energy carry?

As of June 30, 2026, Kolibri Global Energy held $45.4M in total debt and $1.6M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $43.7M.

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