IonQ, Inc. (IONQ) AI Stock Analysis
IONQ AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchIonQ, Inc. (IONQ) is a technology company developing general-purpose quantum computing systems accessible through major public clouds. Over the five years ending in FY2025, revenue achieved a 290.6% CAGR, reaching $246.5M for the trailing twelve months. However, the business remains unprofitable with a TTM operating margin of -408.2%, offset by a net cash position of $2.06B as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $12.67B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $246.5M
- P/E
- —
- 1Y return
- -52.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $64.06 104.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded at a 290.6% 5-year CAGR through FY2025 and posted quarterly year-over-year growth of 286.8% for the period ended June 30, 2026.
- The balance sheet provides $2.06B in net cash and a current ratio of 10.66 as of June 30, 2026.
- The consensus analyst price target of $64.06 stands 104.8% above the stock's closing price of $31.28.
Bear case
- IonQ reported an annual net income of -$510.4M in FY2025 and a trailing twelve month operating margin of -408.2%.
- Free cash flow registered at -$299.6M in FY2025 while share count expanded 87.9% over five years.
- The stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 51.4x, compared to the median of 2.8x for its US-listed Technology peers.
What IonQ does
IonQ, Inc. focuses on advancing the field of quantum computing through general-purpose quantum computing systems. Founded in 2015 and based in College Park, Maryland, the company specializes in quantum computers equipped with 20 qubits. It provides access to its hardware through its proprietary cloud service as well as partner platforms, including Amazon Web Services' Amazon Braket, Microsoft's Azure Quantum, and Google's Cloud Marketplace. Through these collaborations, IonQ expands access to its quantum technology for researchers, academic institutions, and commercial enterprises addressing complex challenges in cryptography, material science, and optimization problems.
Growth and profitability
IonQ's annual revenue rose from $2.1M in FY2021 to $130.0M in FY2025, representing a 5-year revenue CAGR of 290.6%. Annual revenue growth reached 201.9% in FY2025, while gross margin was 40.4%, down from 52.2% in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue reached $246.5M, aided by latest quarterly year-over-year revenue growth of 286.8%. Operating losses widened alongside top-line expansion, driven by research and development expenses that increased from $20.2M in FY2021 to $305.7M in FY2025. Consequently, annual net income was -$510.4M in FY2025 compared to -$106.2M in FY2021, yielding a net margin of -392.6% and a TTM EPS of -$3.43.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, IonQ held $2.12B in cash and short-term investments and $54.5M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $2.06B. Liquidity is highlighted by a current ratio of 10.66 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 against $3.33B in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$283.2M and capital expenditures were $16.4M, generating free cash flow of -$299.6M. Over five years, the company's share count increased 87.9%.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $31.28 on October 16, 2026, IonQ had a market capitalization of $12.67B and an enterprise value of $15.17B. The stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 51.4x and an EV-to-revenue multiple of 61.5x, well above the 2.8x price-to-sales median of its US-listed Technology peers. Its price-to-book ratio is 5.2x. Over the past year, IONQ fell 52.3%, underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of 211.2% outperformed the index return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage on IonQ consists of 11 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target of $64.06 represents an upside of 104.8% relative to the last close of $31.28. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates point to revenue of $455.1M and an EPS of -$4.03. For the following fiscal year, 6 analysts project revenue of $808.0M and EPS of -$3.17. IonQ beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 4, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Research and development spending climbed from $20.2M in FY2021 to $305.7M in FY2025, prolonging significant operating losses.
- IonQ demonstrates high price volatility with a beta of 3.36 and a 1-year share decline of 52.3%.
- Earnings execution has been inconsistent, with the company beating EPS estimates in only 1 of the trailing 4 quarters.
- Short interest represents 10.1% of the float as of October 16, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this IONQ AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of IonQ, Inc. (IONQ). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: IONQ income statement, IONQ balance sheet, IONQ key metrics, IONQ analyst forecast, IONQ chart. See the IONQ stock overview for the latest quote and news.
IONQ AI stock analysis FAQ
Does IonQ pay a dividend?
No, IonQ does not pay a dividend. The company reinvests its capital into development and operations, generating free cash flow of -$299.6M in FY2025.
What is IonQ's current revenue and growth rate?
IonQ reported FY2025 revenue of $130.0M, an increase of 201.9% over FY2024. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $246.5M, reflecting 286.8% year-over-year quarterly growth.
How strong is IonQ's balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, IonQ held $2.12B in cash and short-term investments against $54.5M in total debt. This results in net cash of $2.06B, a current ratio of 10.66, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02.
What do analysts forecast for IONQ stock?
Analysts maintain a mean price target of $64.06, which is 104.8% above the $31.28 close on October 16, 2026. The stock has 11 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 2 Hold ratings.