Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: ICONAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ICON AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) is an Athens-based dry bulk marine shipping provider operating a fleet of three oceangoing vessels worldwide. In FY2025, revenue expanded 112.0% to $11.3M, but net income dropped to -$4.2M. With a market capitalization of $3.7M and total debt of $33.8M as of June 30, 2026, the company faces elevated balance sheet leverage despite strong recent quarterly revenue growth of 107.0%.

Market cap
$3.7M
Revenue (TTM)
$15.5M
P/E
—
1Y return
-88.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$3.00
191.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue increased 112.0% in FY2025 to $11.3M and showed ongoing top-line momentum with 107.0% year-over-year revenue growth in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.2x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 4.6x, well below the US-listed Industrials peer medians of 1.5x and 13.9x.
  • The sole covering analyst maintains a Buy rating with a mean price target of $3.00, representing 191.3% upside from the last close of $1.03.

Bear case

  • Icon Energy reported a net loss of -$4.2M in FY2025 alongside a trailing twelve months net profit margin of -5.6%.
  • The balance sheet carries $33.8M in total debt against $7.7M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow was -$5.3M in FY2025 as operating cash flow of $799,000 failed to cover $6.1M in capital expenditures.

What Icon Energy does

Icon Energy Corp., a shipping company incorporated in 2023 and based in Athens, Greece, provides seaborne transportation services for dry bulk cargoes through its fleet of oceangoing vessels worldwide. The company is a subsidiary of Atlantis Holding Corp. Its fleet consists of one Panamax dry bulk vessel with a carrying capacity of approximately 77,326 deadweight tons (dwt), one Kamsarmax dry bulk vessel with a carrying capacity of approximately 81,448 dwt, and one Ultramax dry bulk vessel with a carrying capacity of approximately 63.668 dwt. It serves dry bulk operators, commodity traders, and end users.

Growth and profitability

Annual revenue fluctuated from $6.0M in FY2021 to $7.2M in FY2022, before dropping to $4.5M in FY2023. Revenue expanded 18.6% to $5.3M in FY2024 and rose 112.0% to $11.3M in FY2025. However, gross margin contracted from 85.7% in FY2021 to 22.5% in FY2025, while net income shifted from $3.3M in FY2021 to -$4.2M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $15.5M with an operating margin of -3.5% and a net profit margin of -5.6%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth was 107.0% year-over-year and quarterly earnings growth was 32.6%.

ICON income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Icon Energy held $7.7M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $33.8M, resulting in net debt of $26.1M. Shareholders' equity stood at $27.4M against total assets of $64.8M. The company maintained a current ratio of 1.55 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24. In FY2025, operating cash flow generated was $799,000, while free cash flow was -$5.3M due to $6.1M in capital expenditures. Cash flow use in FY2025 also included $153,000 in dividends paid.

ICON balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Icon Energy trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.2x and an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 4.6x, compared to medians of 1.5x and 13.9x, respectively, for its US-listed Industrials peer group. The stock carries a price-to-book ratio of 0.1x and an enterprise value of $29.7M relative to a market capitalization of $3.7M. Over the past year, the shares fell 88.8%, underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. The stock also trades 17.7% below its 200-day average.

ICON key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 1 Buy rating, with 0 Strong Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $3.00, representing an upside of 191.3% over the last close of $1.03. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $17.7M and an EPS of -$1.41. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst projects revenue of $18.4M and an EPS of -$1.18. Icon Energy has beaten EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 13, 2026.

ICON forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • High balance sheet leverage poses refinancing risk with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24 and net debt of $26.1M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Significant share price volatility is highlighted by a high beta of 5.45 and a 1-year share price decline of 88.8%.
  • Ongoing unprofitability is anticipated by analysts, who project negative EPS of -$1.41 for FY2026 and -$1.18 for FY2027.
  • Capital spending was elevated in FY2025 at $6.1M, which substantially exceeded operating cash flow of $799,000.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ICON AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Icon Energy Corp. (ICON). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ICON income statement, ICON balance sheet, ICON key metrics, ICON analyst forecast, ICON chart. See the ICON stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ICON AI stock analysis FAQ

What type of vessels does Icon Energy Corp. operate?

Icon Energy operates three dry bulk oceangoing vessels: one Panamax vessel with approximately 77,326 dwt, one Kamsarmax vessel with approximately 81,448 dwt, and one Ultramax vessel with approximately 63.668 dwt.

What is Icon Energy's debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Icon Energy reported total debt of $33.8M and cash and short-term investments of $7.7M, which equates to net debt of $26.1M.

How has ICON stock performed over the past year?

ICON shares fell 88.8% over the past year as of October 16, 2026, while the S&P 500 gained 16.8%.

What are Wall Street analysts forecasting for Icon Energy?

Analysts estimate an EPS of -$1.41 on revenue of $17.7M for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, and an EPS of -$1.18 on revenue of $18.4M for the next fiscal year.

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