Matson, Inc. (MATX) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: MATXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

MATX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Matson, Inc. (MATX) provides ocean transportation and multimodal logistics services across the Pacific and North America. Trailing twelve month revenue stands at $3.46B with a profit margin of 13.4% and an operating margin of 16.1%. Over the last year, the stock generated a 152.7% return, outpacing the 16.8% return of the S&P 500.

Market cap
$7.03B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.46B
P/E
15.8x
fwd 19.2x
1Y return
152.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$276.75
17.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 16.7% and quarterly earnings expanded 46.2% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • Aggressive share repurchases have reduced the total share count by 27.9% over the past five years.
  • Valuation remains modest on cash earnings, with an EV to EBITDA multiple of 8.4x compared to the US-listed Industrials peer median of 13.9x.

Bear case

  • Revenue fell 2.3% in FY2025 to $3.34B, and analyst consensus expects next fiscal year revenue growth to slow to 1.0%.
  • Short-term liquidity shows a current ratio of 0.89 alongside net debt of $597.1M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow dropped from $457.7M in FY2024 to $153.7M in FY2025 as capital expenditures rose to $393.4M.

What Matson does

Established in 1882 and based in Honolulu, Hawaii, Matson, Inc. delivers ocean transportation and logistics solutions through two main operating segments: Ocean Transportation and Logistics. The Ocean Transportation segment provides freight shipping services to Hawaii, Alaska, Guam, and Micronesian islands, handling dry containers, refrigerated goods, automobiles, building materials, and retail merchandise. It also runs expedited routes connecting China to Long Beach, California, and various South Pacific destinations. The Logistics segment provides multimodal transportation brokerage, including domestic and international rail intermodal, long-haul and regional trucking, warehousing, supply chain management, and freight forwarding. The company serves retailers, consumer goods manufacturers, automobile firms, and the U.S. military.

Growth and profitability

Over a five-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, Matson generated a revenue compound annual growth rate of 7.0%. Annual revenue reached $4.34B in FY2022 with net income of $1.06B, before normalizing to $3.09B in FY2023. In FY2024, revenue climbed 10.6% to $3.42B with net income of $476.4M, then dipped 2.3% in FY2025 to $3.34B with net income of $444.8M and diluted EPS of $13.94. Gross margin stood at 22.8% and operating margin was 14.0% in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 16.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings expanded 46.2%.

MATX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Matson held $119.3M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $716.4M, resulting in net debt of $597.1M. Shareholders' equity was $2.77B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26 and a current ratio of 0.89. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $545.0M and free cash flow was $153.7M. Capital allocation in FY2025 included $393.4M in capital expenditures, $303.3M used for share buybacks, and $44.9M in dividends paid. Its share count has decreased 27.9% over five years.

MATX balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a last close of $234.99, Matson carries a market cap of $7.03B and an enterprise value of $7.23B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 15.8x, below the 24.8x median of its US-listed Industrials peers, while its forward P/E of 19.2x sits above the peer median of 17.2x. Its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 8.4x compared to the peer median of 13.9x, and its price-to-sales multiple is 2.0x versus the 1.5x peer median. Matson's 1-year return of 152.7% and 5-year return of 202.3% both outpaced the S&P 500 returns of 16.8% and 83.0% across the same periods.

MATX key metrics →

MATX dividend

Matson pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $1.52 per share, representing a dividend yield of 0.65% and a payout ratio of 9.8%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 42 years. Its dividend grew at an annualized rate of 9.2% over five years, with its most recent ex-dividend date on August 6, 2026.

MATX dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 3 Strong Buy ratings and 1 Buy rating, with 0 Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $276.75, representing a 17.8% upside compared to the last close of $234.99. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $3.70B and EPS of $16.45, reflecting 19.1% EPS growth. Matson has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for November 3, 2026.

MATX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The stock has a beta of 1.30 and trades 25.4% above its 200-day moving average, signaling elevated price volatility.
  • Short interest stands at 7.5% of the float, indicating some bearish sentiment despite recent performance.
  • Earnings growth is projected to decelerate sharply to 2.1% in the next fiscal year according to analyst estimates.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this MATX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Matson, Inc. (MATX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: MATX income statement, MATX balance sheet, MATX key metrics, MATX analyst forecast, MATX chart. See the MATX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

MATX AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Matson pay?

Matson pays an annual forward dividend of $1.52 per share, distributed quarterly, which equals a dividend yield of 0.65%. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years and has a payout ratio of 9.8%.

When is Matson's next earnings report?

Matson's next earnings date is scheduled for November 3, 2026. The company beat consensus EPS expectations in each of its last 4 quarters.

How much debt does Matson have?

As of June 30, 2026, Matson had $716.4M in total debt and $119.3M in cash and short-term investments, leaving net debt at $597.1M. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 0.26.

What is the analyst price target for MATX?

The mean analyst price target for Matson is $276.75, which is 17.8% above its last closing price of $234.99. All 4 covering analysts rate the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy.

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