Hornbeck Offshore Services, Inc (HOS) AI Stock Analysis
HOS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchHornbeck Offshore Services, Inc (HOS) provides marine transportation and logistics support services to offshore energy, construction, and military clients. Annual revenue expanded at a 2-year CAGR of 19.2% through FY2024 to $640.9M, though quarterly revenue declined 11.3% year-over-year in the period ended September 30, 2025. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $729.4M in revenue with a profit margin of 17.7%.
- Market cap
- $2.24B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $729.4M
- P/E
- 16.3x
- 1Y return
- 9.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $13.00 89.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Annual revenue increased at a two-year compound annual growth rate of 19.2% from FY2022 to reach $640.9M in FY2024.
- Hornbeck trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 16.3x, lower than the median of its US-listed Industrials peers at 24.8x.
- The analyst mean price target of $13.00 represents an 89.8% premium over the last closing price of $6.85.
Bear case
- In the latest quarter ended September 30, 2025, quarterly earnings contracted by 84.7% year-over-year while revenue fell 11.3%.
- Free cash flow remained negative across three consecutive fiscal years, declining to -$103.6M in FY2024.
- Analyst estimates from 2 analysts forecast earnings per share to decrease by 25.0% to $0.54 in the next fiscal year.
What Hornbeck Offshore Services does
Hornbeck Offshore Services, Inc. provides marine transportation services to exploration and production, oilfield service, offshore construction, and military customers. The company operates offshore supply vessels (OSVs), multi-purpose support vessels (MPSVs), and a shore-based facility to deliver logistics support and specialty services to the offshore oil and gas industry. Its fleet supports deep-well, deep-water, and ultra-deep-water operations such as exploration, field development, production, and maintenance. In addition, Hornbeck provides vessel management services, including crewing and operational maintenance, and serves non-oilfield end-markets including military support, renewable energy, disaster relief, and aerospace support services.
Growth and profitability
Hornbeck generated revenue of $640.9M in FY2024, representing 11.8% growth after expanding 27.1% to $573.4M in FY2023, reflecting a two-year revenue CAGR of 19.2%. Operating margin decreased across those years, moving from 31.7% in FY2022 to 23.5% in FY2023 and 20.5% in FY2024, while FY2024 net income reached $92.8M with a 14.5% net margin. Trailing twelve months revenue totaled $729.4M with an operating margin of 18.5% and a profit margin of 17.7%. In the latest quarter ended September 30, 2025, growth slowed as quarterly revenue fell 11.3% year-over-year and quarterly earnings fell 84.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of September 30, 2025, Hornbeck held $97.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $440.3M, resulting in net debt of $342.6M. Shareholders' equity was $571.0M alongside total assets of $1.16B, producing a current ratio of 2.82 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77. Operating cash flow in FY2024 declined to $16.5M from $146.1M in FY2023, and free cash flow stood at -$103.6M. Capital allocation in FY2024 included $120.1M in capital expenditures and $78.4M directed toward share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
Hornbeck has a market capitalization of $2.24B and an enterprise value of $3.11B. Trading at a trailing P/E of 16.3x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 12.1x, the company trades below the median of its US-listed Industrials peers, which stand at 24.8x and 13.9x, respectively. Its price-to-sales ratio of 3.1x sits above the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, HOS returned 9.4%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock gained 57.8% versus 83.0% for SPY, and its last close of $6.85 sat 24.3% below its 200-day average.
What analysts expect
Analysts have established a mean price target of $13.00 for Hornbeck, which is 89.8% above its last close of $6.85. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates anticipate revenue of $1.29B and EPS of $0.72. For the subsequent fiscal year, 2 analysts project revenue of $1.87B, representing 45.6% growth, alongside an EPS estimate of $0.54, reflecting a 25.0% decline. Over the last four quarters, Hornbeck has beaten EPS estimates in 1 quarter.
Key risks and what to watch
- Free cash flow dropped from -$19.1M in FY2022 to -$103.6M in FY2024 as annual capital expenditures expanded to $120.1M.
- Hornbeck carries $440.3M in total debt against $97.8M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $342.6M.
- Operating margin has contracted steadily from 31.7% in FY2022 to 20.5% in FY2024 and 18.5% over the trailing twelve months.
- The company has beat quarterly earnings estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this HOS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Hornbeck Offshore Services, Inc (HOS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: HOS income statement, HOS balance sheet, HOS key metrics, HOS analyst forecast, HOS chart. See the HOS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
HOS AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Hornbeck Offshore Services pay a dividend?
Hornbeck Offshore Services does not pay a dividend based on its reported figures.
How does Hornbeck's valuation compare to its peer group?
Hornbeck trades at a trailing P/E of 16.3x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 12.1x, below the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 13.9x. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 3.1x is higher than the peer median of 1.5x.
What is Hornbeck's debt position?
As of September 30, 2025, Hornbeck reported total debt of $440.3M and cash and short-term investments of $97.8M, producing net debt of $342.6M. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 0.77.
What are analysts estimating for Hornbeck's future earnings and revenue?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $1.29B and EPS of $0.72. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts project revenue of $1.87B and EPS of $0.54.