The Honest Company, Inc. (HNST) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: HNSTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

HNST AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

The Honest Company, Inc. (HNST) manufactures and distributes eco-friendly baby, personal care, and household wellness products. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $342.0M with a net loss reflected in an EPS of -$0.11. Despite recent top-line softness, the company generated $13.6M in free cash flow in FY2025 and held $96.4M in net cash as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$536.4M
Revenue (TTM)
$342.0M
P/E
—
fwd 41.5x
1Y return
37.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$5.20
4.0% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company held a net cash balance of $96.4M with $105.9M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • HNST shares delivered a 1-year return of 37.4%, outpacing the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%.
  • Free cash flow reached $13.6M in FY2025, driven by operating cash flow of $15.1M.

Bear case

  • Quarterly revenue declined 10.9% year-over-year for the period ending June 30, 2026.
  • Valuation multiples remain elevated, with a forward P/E of 41.5x compared to the median of 14.3x for US-listed Consumer Defensive peers.
  • The company posted a trailing twelve months net loss with an EPS of -$0.11 and a profit margin of -3.6%.

What Honest does

Founded in 2012 and headquartered in Los Angeles, California, The Honest Company, Inc. manufactures and distributes products centered on holistic wellness and sustainability. Its offerings span diapers, wipes, skincare, personal care, household essentials, and wellness products, as well as baby clothing and nursery bedding made with eco-friendly materials. The company focuses on ingredient transparency and sustainable practices across an omnichannel distribution model. This strategy leverages digital channels, including its proprietary website and third-party ecommerce platforms, alongside traditional retail stores to reach consumers.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 4.3%, rising from $318.6M in FY2021 to a peak of $378.3M in FY2024 before decreasing 1.9% to $371.3M in FY2025. Gross margin expanded from 29.2% in FY2023 to 38.2% in FY2024, but contracted to 33.3% in FY2025. Annual net income has remained negative over this span, landing at -$15.7M in FY2025 compared to -$6.1M in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $342.0M, with quarterly revenue falling 10.9% year-over-year. However, quarterly earnings grew 200.0% year-over-year, while operating margin for the trailing twelve months reached 4.9%.

HNST income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, The Honest Company reported $105.9M in cash and short-term investments against $9.5M in total debt, yielding a net cash position of $96.4M. Its current ratio was 3.94, and its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.06 with $167.0M in shareholders' equity. Capital expenditures in FY2025 totaled $1.5M, supporting free cash flow of $13.6M on operating cash flow of $15.1M. Over the past 5 years, the company's share count increased by 24.2%.

HNST balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Trading at a last close of $5.00, HNST carries a market capitalization of $536.4M and an enterprise value of $459.9M. Its forward P/E of 41.5x and EV/EBITDA of 25.5x stand above the medians of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers, which register at 14.3x and 11.7x, respectively. The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 1.6x compared to the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, HNST shares gained 37.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, though its 5-year return of -45.9% trails the index return of 83.0%.

HNST key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts covering HNST maintain 4 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 2 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $5.20, representing an implied upside of 4.0% from the last close of $5.00. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $322.6M and EPS of $0.12, reflecting expected EPS growth of 23.7%. Over the last 4 quarters, the company beat EPS estimates 2 times. The next earnings announcement is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

HNST forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The stock demonstrates high volatility with a beta of 2.31.
  • Short interest represents 10.3% of the float, pointing to measurable market skepticism.
  • Shareholder dilution has occurred over time, as the share count expanded by 24.2% over 5 years.
  • Full-year revenue expectations indicate top-line contraction, with FY2026 revenue estimated at $322.6M compared to $371.3M in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this HNST AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of The Honest Company, Inc. (HNST). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: HNST income statement, HNST balance sheet, HNST key metrics, HNST analyst forecast, HNST chart. See the HNST stock overview for the latest quote and news.

HNST AI stock analysis FAQ

Does The Honest Company pay a dividend?

No, The Honest Company does not currently pay a dividend.

When is the next earnings release for HNST?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

What is HNST's current debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, The Honest Company had $9.5M in total debt and $105.9M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net cash of $96.4M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06.

What are analysts forecasting for HNST's revenue and earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $322.6M and an EPS of $0.12. For the following fiscal year, revenue is projected to rise to $336.0M with an EPS of $0.12.

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