Gray Television, Inc. (GTN-A) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GTN-AAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GTN-A AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Gray Television, Inc. operates local television broadcast stations across 113 U.S. markets with major network affiliations. The company experiences significant cyclicality between election years and non-election years, reporting revenue of $3.10B and a net loss of -$85.0M in FY2025. Balance sheet leverage remains prominent, with total debt of $5.89B against a market cap of $595.2M.

Market cap
$595.2M
Revenue (TTM)
$3.15B
P/E
—
fwd 2.8x
1Y return
-38.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$18.00
211.4% vs last close

Bull case

  • The stock trades at an EV to revenue multiple of 2.2x and a low forward P/E of 2.8x with a PEG ratio of 0.21.
  • Trailing twelve months operating margin is strong at 18.6%, exceeding the US-listed Communication Services median of 13.3%.
  • Analyst consensus projects a price target of $18.00, representing 211.4% potential appreciation from the $5.78 share price.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet is heavily leveraged with $5.89B in total debt versus $176.0M in cash, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.16.
  • The company posted net losses in non-election years, including -$76.0M in FY2023 and -$85.0M in FY2025.
  • Revenue for the next fiscal year is projected to decline by 11.5% to $3.21B as political advertising revenue recedes.

What Gray Television does

Gray Television, Inc. is a television broadcasting company in the United States that owns and operates a portfolio of television stations and digital assets. It runs stations affiliated with major networks including ABC, CBS, NBC, and FOX, as well as secondary digital channels such as CW Plus Network, MY Network, MeTV Network, Justice, This TV Network, Antenna TV, Telemundo, Cozi, Heroes and Icons, and MOVIES! Network. It also provides local news and weather channels across 113 television markets. In addition to broadcasting, the company offers video program production services to deliver news, entertainment, and community-focused content nationwide.

Growth and profitability

Gray Television exhibits cyclical financial performance tied to political advertising cycles. In FY2024, revenue climbed 11.1% to $3.64B with a net margin of 10.3% and net income of $375.0M. In the off-cycle FY2025, revenue fell 15.1% to $3.10B, operating margin compressed to 12.7%, and net income dropped to -$85.0M. Free cash flow also declined from $608.0M in FY2024 to $181.0M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $3.15B with an operating margin of 18.6% and a net loss of -$0.58 per share. The latest quarter delivered quarterly revenue growth of 8.7% and quarterly earnings growth of 1016.4%.

GTN-A income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Gray Television held $176.0M in cash and short-term investments against $5.89B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $5.71B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.16. Shareholders' equity was $2.73B on total assets of $10.44B, while the current ratio stood at 0.95. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $289.0M, supporting capital expenditures of $108.0M and dividends paid of $85.0M. Over 5 years, share count increased 5.3%.

GTN-A balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $5.78, Gray Television trades at a forward P/E of 2.8x, compared to the median of 14.1x for its US-listed Communication Services peers. The stock's price-to-sales multiple is 0.2x versus the peer median of 0.8x, while EV to EBITDA of 10.1x is close to the peer median of 10.0x. Gray Television has underperformed the broader market, falling 38.9% over the past year and 68.0% over five years, compared to gains of 16.8% and 83.0% for the S&P 500.

GTN-A key metrics →

GTN-A dividend

Gray Television offers a forward annual dividend of $0.32 per share, representing a 5.54% dividend yield based on its last close of $5.78. The payout ratio stands at 74.4%. The company pays dividends quarterly, has maintained consecutive payments for 6 years, and its last ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.

GTN-A dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts have a mean price target of $18.00 on the stock, representing upside of 211.4% from the last close of $5.78. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $3.63B, followed by an expected decline of 11.5% to $3.21B for the next fiscal year. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters.

GTN-A forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The current ratio of 0.95 indicates potential short-term liquidity constraints given the $5.71B net debt burden.
  • The business is highly sensitive to advertising cycles, leading to negative net profit margins such as -0.8% over the trailing twelve months.
  • Earning beats have been inconsistent, topping consensus expectations in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GTN-A AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Gray Television, Inc. (GTN-A). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GTN-A income statement, GTN-A balance sheet, GTN-A key metrics, GTN-A analyst forecast, GTN-A chart. See the GTN-A stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GTN-A AI stock analysis FAQ

What dividend does Gray Television pay?

Gray Television pays a quarterly dividend totaling $0.32 per share annually, which translates to a 5.54% dividend yield. It has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 74.4%.

What is the consensus analyst target for GTN-A?

The mean analyst price target is $18.00, which is 211.4% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $5.78.

How much debt does Gray Television have?

As of June 30, 2026, Gray Television held $5.89B in total debt and $176.0M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $5.71B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.16.

Who owns most of Gray Television's shares?

Insiders hold 80.7% of the shares, while institutional investors hold 13.3%, with short interest as a percent of float at 0.0%.

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