Gray Television, Inc (GTN) AI Stock Analysis
GTN AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGray Television, Inc. (GTN) is an Atlanta-based television broadcasting company operating across 113 television markets in the United States. In FY2025, the company generated $3.10B in revenue but recorded a net income of -$85.0M. Gray Television carries $5.89B in total debt against a market cap of $451.1M while offering a forward dividend yield of 7.31%.
- Market cap
- $451.1M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.15B
- P/E
- — fwd 2.4x
- 1Y return
- 1.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $6.50 48.4% vs last close
Bull case
- The consensus analyst mean price target of $6.50 indicates an upside of 48.4% above the last close of $4.38.
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings grew 1016.4% year-over-year while revenue increased 8.7%.
- The company generated $181.0M in free cash flow in FY2025 while supporting an annual forward dividend yield of 7.31%.
Bear case
- Gray Television holds $5.89B in total debt and $5.71B in net debt, creating a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.16.
- The stock has declined 75.5% over the past 5 years, lagging behind the S&P 500 benchmark return of 83.0%.
- For the next fiscal year, analyst projections anticipate an 11.5% revenue decline to $3.21B alongside an EPS of -$0.70.
What Gray Television does
Gray Television, Inc., based in Atlanta, Georgia, owns and operates television stations and digital assets across 113 television markets in the United States. The company broadcasts primary channels affiliated with major networks including ABC, CBS, NBC, and FOX. It also offers secondary digital channels such as CW Plus Network, MY Network, MeTV Network, Justice, This TV Network, Antenna TV, Telemundo, Cozi, Heroes and Icons, and MOVIES! Network. In addition to primary and secondary broadcasting, Gray Television provides local news and weather channels tailored to various markets and comprehensive video program production services nationwide.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Gray Television experienced revenue cyclicality, starting at $2.41B in FY2021 and climbing 52.3% to $3.68B in FY2022. Revenue reached $3.28B in FY2023 and rose 11.1% to $3.64B in FY2024, before falling 15.1% to $3.10B in FY2025. Net margins swung between positive territory, such as 12.4% in FY2022 and 10.3% in FY2024, and losses of -2.3% in FY2023 and -2.7% in FY2025 with net income of -$85.0M. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $3.15B with an operating margin of 18.6%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 8.7% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 1016.4%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Gray Television held $176.0M in cash and short-term investments against $5.89B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $5.71B. Shareholders' equity stood at $2.73B, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.16 and a current ratio of 0.95. Total assets were $10.44B. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $289.0M and free cash flow was $181.0M. Cash deployment during FY2025 included $108.0M in capital expenditures and $85.0M in dividends paid.
Valuation and performance
Gray Television trades at a forward P/E of 2.4x, below the 14.1x median of its US-listed Communication Services peers. Its price-to-sales multiple is 0.1x compared to the peer median of 0.8x, while its EV-to-EBITDA stands at 10.1x compared to the peer median of 10.0x. Gray Television's market cap is $451.1M and its enterprise value is $6.80B. Over the past year, the stock returned 1.6% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY). Over a 5-year period, the stock declined 75.5% while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.
GTN dividend
Gray Television pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $0.32 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 7.31%. The company has paid dividends for 6 consecutive years and carries a payout ratio of 74.4%. Its last ex-dividend date occurred on September 15, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage on Gray Television consists of 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 1 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $6.50, representing a 48.4% upside against the last close of $4.38 on October 16, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $3.63B and EPS of $2.65, representing EPS growth of 358.6%. Gray Television beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 6, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company's $5.89B in total debt and current ratio of 0.95 may constrain liquidity against its cash balance of $176.0M.
- Operating results exhibit significant cyclicality, as annual revenue dropped 15.1% to $3.10B in FY2025 after expanding 11.1% in FY2024.
- The dividend payout ratio of 74.4% may face pressure during off-cycle years when earnings turn negative, such as the -$1.14 EPS reported in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GTN AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Gray Television, Inc (GTN). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GTN income statement, GTN balance sheet, GTN key metrics, GTN analyst forecast, GTN chart. See the GTN stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GTN AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Gray Television pay a dividend?
Gray Television pays an annual forward dividend of $0.32 per share distributed quarterly, representing a dividend yield of 7.31%. The company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 6 years, with a payout ratio of 74.4%.
How much debt does Gray Television have?
As of June 30, 2026, Gray Television reported total debt of $5.89B and net debt of $5.71B against $176.0M in cash and short-term investments. This results in a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.16.
What are Wall Street analysts forecasting for GTN stock?
Analysts have established a mean price target of $6.50, representing a 48.4% upside compared to the October 16, 2026 closing price of $4.38. Ratings break down into 2 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 1 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell.
When does Gray Television report its next quarterly earnings?
Gray Television is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 6, 2026. The company exceeded consensus EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.