Nexstar Media Group, Inc (NXST) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: NXSTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

NXST AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) operates television stations and digital media platforms across the United States. Revenue over the trailing twelve months reached $5.88B, though net margin narrowed to 2.2% in FY2025. The company maintains a high financial leverage profile with total debt of $12.09B against a forward dividend yield of 4.52%.

Market cap
$5.07B
Revenue (TTM)
$5.88B
P/E
31.2x
fwd 8.9x
1Y return
-9.8%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$246.75
49.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 62.2% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 18.0%.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 8.9x with a PEG ratio of 0.28, supported by an FY2026 consensus EPS growth estimate of 186.2%.
  • Shareholder returns are supported by a 4.52% dividend yield, 14 consecutive years of payments, and a -27.6% reduction in share count over 5 years.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet carries $12.09B in total debt against just $218.0M in cash, leading to a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.34.
  • Financial results display volatility, with FY2025 revenue contracting 8.5% and net margin falling to 2.2%.
  • Analysts project next fiscal year EPS to fall 25.9% to $25.98 alongside a 2.7% drop in annual revenue.

What Nexstar Media does

Nexstar Media Group, Inc. is a media company focused on acquiring, developing, and operating television stations, interactive community websites, and digital media services in the United States. Its core mission is providing free television programming to audiences. As of December 31, 2020, its portfolio included 198 owned, operated, or serviced television stations affiliated with networks such as ABC, NBC, FOX, CBS, The CW, and MyNetworkTV. Nexstar also delivers video and display advertising solutions across proprietary and third-party digital platforms, and its assets include WGN America, a national general entertainment cable network.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2020 and FY2025, Nexstar achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 1.9%. Annual revenue fluctuated, moving from $4.65B in FY2021 to $5.21B in FY2022, $4.93B in FY2023, $5.41B in FY2024, and $4.95B in FY2025. In FY2025, revenue declined 8.5%, while gross margin dropped to 39.0% and net income fell to $109.0M from $722.0M in FY2024. For the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $5.88B with an operating margin of 21.2% and EPS of $5.28. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 62.2% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 18.0%.

NXST income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Nexstar held $218.0M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $12.09B, resulting in net debt of $11.87B. Shareholders' equity stood at $2.27B, bringing the debt-to-equity ratio to 5.34, while the current ratio was 1.56. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $891.0M and free cash flow was $743.0M. Capital expenditures used $148.0M, dividends paid consumed $169.0M, and share buybacks totaled $120.0M, contributing to a 5-year share count change of -27.6%.

NXST balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Nexstar has a market capitalization of $5.07B and an enterprise value of $16.74B. It trades at a trailing P/E of 31.2x, which is above the 16.2x median of its US-listed Communication Services peers. However, its forward P/E of 8.9x sits below the peer median of 14.1x, and its EV to EBITDA is 11.0x versus the peer median of 10.0x. Over the past year, NXST generated a return of -9.8%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, NXST gained 29.2% compared to 83.0% for the index.

NXST key metrics →

NXST dividend

Nexstar pays a forward annual dividend of $7.44 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 4.52% and a payout ratio of 47.8%. The company has paid dividends for 14 consecutive years and generated a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 27.1%. Dividends are distributed quarterly, with the last ex-dividend date occurring on August 14, 2026.

NXST dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 6 Strong Buy and 2 Buy ratings, with no Hold, Sell, or StrongSell recommendations. The mean price target of $246.75 implies upside of 49.9% over the last close of $164.59. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $35.06 on revenue of $7.80B. Over the last four quarters, Nexstar exceeded EPS estimates twice. The next earnings report is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

NXST forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $11.87B creates substantial leverage and debt service requirements relative to $2.27B in shareholders' equity.
  • Short interest accounts for 12.5% of the float, indicating notable negative sentiment among market participants.
  • Cyclicality affects the top line, as seen in revenue swings of -5.3% in FY2023, 9.6% in FY2024, and -8.5% in FY2025.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this NXST AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Nexstar Media Group, Inc (NXST). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: NXST income statement, NXST balance sheet, NXST key metrics, NXST analyst forecast, NXST chart. See the NXST stock overview for the latest quote and news.

NXST AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Nexstar Media Group's dividend yield?

Nexstar offers a forward dividend yield of 4.52%, representing an annual payout of $7.44 per share. The company has paid dividends for 14 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 47.8%.

How much debt does Nexstar carry?

As of June 30, 2026, Nexstar reported total debt of $12.09B and cash and short-term investments of $218.0M, resulting in net debt of $11.87B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.34.

What do analysts expect for Nexstar's full-year earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $35.06, reflecting expected growth of 186.2%, alongside projected revenue of $7.80B.

When is Nexstar's next earnings date?

The company's next earnings release is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

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