Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES) AI Stock Analysis
GTES AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES) manufactures power transmission and fluid power systems for industrial and automotive applications. In FY2025, the company generated $3.44B in revenue and $404.9M in free cash flow. For the trailing twelve months, Gates Industrial recorded an operating margin of 15.3% and net income per share of $1.41.
- Market cap
- $6.54B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.50B
- P/E
- 18.3x fwd 13.9x
- 1Y return
- -0.2% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $33.25 28.7% vs last close
Bull case
- Operating margin expanded to 15.3% in FY2025 and remained at 15.3% on a trailing twelve-month basis, outperforming the US-listed Industrials peer median of 11.7%.
- The company demonstrated strong cash conversion in FY2025, generating $404.9M in free cash flow and funding $119.3M in share repurchases.
- Earnings momentum was evident in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, with quarterly earnings growth of 205.8% year-over-year.
Bear case
- Revenue growth has been subdued, with a 5-year CAGR of 4.3% and a 4.5% annual revenue decline in FY2024.
- Total debt stood at $2.36B as of June 30, 2026, creating net debt of $1.54B.
- Gates Industrial shares lagged the broader market over the trailing year, posting a return of -0.2% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500.
What Gates Industrial does
Gates Industrial Corporation plc is a global manufacturer and distributor of engineered solutions in power transmission and fluid power systems. Operating across two segments, Power Transmission and Fluid Power, its portfolio includes synchronous and asynchronous belts such as V-belts, CVT belts, and Micro-V belts, along with sprockets, pulleys, tensioners, and water pumps. The company also produces hydraulics, hoses, tubing, fittings, and assemblies for stationary and mobile applications. Gates Industrial serves diverse sectors including construction, agriculture, energy, automotive, transportation, and automated manufacturing through both replacement and original equipment manufacturing channels.
Growth and profitability
Gates Industrial grew revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 4.3% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $3.47B in FY2021 to $3.55B in FY2022 and $3.57B in FY2023, before falling 4.5% to $3.41B in FY2024. Revenue rebounded 1.0% to $3.44B in FY2025, as gross margin reached 40.5% and operating margin rose to 15.3%, lifting net income to $251.4M. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $3.50B with a profit margin of 10.4%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 6.6% year-over-year while quarterly earnings grew 205.8%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Gates Industrial held $823.5M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $2.36B, resulting in net debt of $1.54B. Shareholders' equity was $3.52B, corresponding to a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.67 and a current ratio of 3.24. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $478.1M, which supported $73.2M in capital expenditures and $119.3M in share buybacks. The company's 5-year share count change was -14.2%.
Valuation and performance
At a share price of $25.83, Gates Industrial has a market capitalization of $6.54B and an enterprise value of $8.21B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 18.3x and a forward P/E of 13.9x, compared to medians of 24.8x and 17.2x for its US-listed Industrials peers. Its EV/EBITDA is 12.0x versus 13.9x for the peer group, while its price-to-sales ratio is 1.9x against the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, the stock returned -0.2% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 6 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, and 4 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $33.25 represents an upside of 28.7% from the last close of $25.83. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $3.61B and EPS of $1.67, representing 10.1% earnings growth. For the following fiscal year, 12 analysts project revenue of $3.79B and EPS of $1.92. Gates Industrial beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for October 30, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- The company holds $2.36B in total debt on $3.52B of shareholders' equity, representing a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.67.
- The stock carries a beta of 1.28, indicating higher volatility than the overall equity market.
- Quarterly revenue growth of 6.6% as of June 30, 2026, remains below the US-listed Industrials peer median quarterly growth of 9.1%.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GTES AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GTES income statement, GTES balance sheet, GTES key metrics, GTES analyst forecast, GTES chart. See the GTES stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GTES AI stock analysis FAQ
What is Gates Industrial's core business?
Gates Industrial Corporation plc manufactures engineered power transmission systems, such as belts and pulleys, as well as fluid power solutions, including hydraulic hoses, tubing, and fittings for industrial and mobile applications.
How does Gates Industrial's valuation compare to industry peers?
At 18.3x trailing earnings and 13.9x forward earnings, Gates Industrial trades at a discount to the US-listed Industrials medians of 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively.
What are analysts forecasting for Gates Industrial's earnings?
Analysts estimate EPS of $1.67 on revenue of $3.61B for FY2026, followed by EPS of $1.92 on revenue of $3.79B for the next fiscal year.
What is the company's balance sheet position?
As of June 30, 2026, Gates Industrial held $823.5M in cash and short-term investments, $2.36B in total debt, and a current ratio of 3.24.