Cummins Inc. (CMI) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: CMIAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CMI AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Cummins Inc. designs, manufactures, distributes, and services engines, powertrain solutions, and power generation systems globally. In FY2025, the company delivered $33.67B in revenue and $2.84B in net income, while its trailing twelve months revenue reached $34.71B. Operating cash flow stood at $3.62B in FY2025, supporting capital investments and steady dividend payouts.

Market cap
$73.15B
Revenue (TTM)
$34.71B
P/E
27.2x
fwd 15.4x
1Y return
27.5%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$716.66
34.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Cummins generated a 5-year revenue CAGR of 11.2% through FY2025, highlighting consistent long-term top-line expansion.
  • Analyst consensus projects current fiscal year EPS to increase 38.8% to $28.45 on $37.67B in revenue.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 15.4x, sitting below the S&P 500 Industrials peer median of 20.7x.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue contracted 1.3% in FY2025 to $33.67B from $34.10B in FY2024.
  • Net income dropped from $3.95B in FY2024 to $2.84B in FY2025.
  • Cummins exceeded consensus earnings expectations in only 2 of the trailing 4 quarters.

What Cummins does

Cummins Inc. is a global provider of power solutions operating through five segments: Engine, Distribution, Components, Power Systems, and New Power. The company manufactures diesel and natural gas engines for heavy and medium-duty trucks, buses, automotive, construction, and marine markets. In addition to engines, Cummins provides power generation systems, high-horsepower units, remanufactured parts, and aftermarket repair services. Its components business specializes in emission solutions, turbochargers, filtration systems, electronic control modules, and fuel systems. Cummins also develops electrified power systems, battery technologies, and hydrogen production solutions to serve original equipment manufacturers, distributors, dealers, and end-users worldwide.

Growth and profitability

Cummins increased revenue from $24.02B in FY2021 to $28.07B in FY2022 and $34.06B in FY2023, followed by $34.10B in FY2024 before revenue fell 1.3% to $33.67B in FY2025. Between FY2020 and FY2025, revenue grew at a 5-year CAGR of 11.2%. Gross margin improved from 23.7% in FY2021 to 25.3% in FY2025, with FY2025 operating margin reaching 12.0%. Net income finished at $2.84B in FY2025 with diluted EPS of $22.06, down from $3.95B and $20.76 in FY2024. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 9.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings increased 4.7%.

CMI income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Cummins held $3.92B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $8.29B, leaving net debt at $4.36B. Total assets were $35.63B and shareholders' equity was $12.85B, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64 and a current ratio of 1.73. During FY2025, the company generated $3.62B in operating cash flow, which funded $1.24B in capital expenditures and produced $2.39B in free cash flow. Cash outlays included $1.05B in dividends paid, while the 5-year share count fell 2.7%.

CMI balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Cummins closed at $531.33 on October 16, 2026, valuing the company at a trailing P/E of 27.2x and a forward P/E of 15.4x. These multiples compare to medians of 28.5x and 20.7x for its S&P 500 Industrials peers. The company's price-to-sales of 2.1x and EV-to-EBITDA of 14.5x also track below the peer group medians of 3.3x and 17.7x. Over the trailing 1-year period, Cummins shares gained 27.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%. Over 5 years, Cummins returned 150.1% versus 83.0% for the index.

CMI key metrics →

CMI dividend

Cummins has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years. The forward annual dividend is $8.80 per share, delivering a dividend yield of 1.66% with a payout ratio of 36.0%. Over the past 5 years, dividend growth annualized at 7.7%. Payments are made on a quarterly schedule, with the last ex-dividend date on November 20, 2026.

CMI dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 11 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 7 Hold ratings on Cummins, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $716.66, representing a 34.9% premium over the last close of $531.33. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $28.45 on revenue of $37.67B. Cummins beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 5, 2026.

CMI forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $4.36B as of June 30, 2026, requires ongoing cash generation to support $1.24B in annual capital expenditures.
  • Share price volatility is elevated, reflected by a beta of 1.24 and a 52-week trading range between $405.82 and $737.76.
  • Quarterly revenue growth of 9.4% in the latest quarter lagged behind the peer group median rate of 10.3%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CMI AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Cummins Inc. (CMI). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CMI income statement, CMI balance sheet, CMI key metrics, CMI analyst forecast, CMI chart. See the CMI stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CMI AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Cummins' dividend yield and distribution history?

Cummins pays an annualized forward dividend of $8.80 per share, representing a 1.66% yield and a 36.0% payout ratio. The company has paid dividends for 42 consecutive years with a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 7.7%.

What are analysts forecasting for Cummins' upcoming financial results?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts forecast EPS of $28.45 on revenue of $37.67B, representing 38.8% EPS growth. For the following fiscal year, estimates project EPS of $34.34 on revenue of $41.34B.

How do Cummins' valuation multiples compare to industry peers?

Cummins trades at a forward P/E of 15.4x and an EV-to-EBITDA of 14.5x, both lower than the median of its S&P 500 Industrials peers at 20.7x and 17.7x, respectively. Its price-to-sales multiple is 2.1x versus the peer median of 3.3x.

What does Cummins' balance sheet and liquidity profile look like?

As of June 30, 2026, Cummins maintained $3.92B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $8.29B, resulting in net debt of $4.36B. The company closed the quarter with a current ratio of 1.73 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64.

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