Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) AI Stock Analysis
GTE AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGran Tierra Energy Inc. is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company operating in Colombia and Ecuador. Over the trailing twelve months, the company recorded $638.4M in revenue and an operating margin of 37.6%, though net losses resulted in an EPS of -$7.22. Balance sheet leverage remains elevated, with net debt standing at $496.0M against shareholders' equity of $132.2M.
- Market cap
- $385.6M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $638.4M
- P/E
- — fwd 14.7x
- 1Y return
- 176.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $6.49 -40.4% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue expanded 25.3% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, reaching $638.4M on a trailing twelve-month basis.
- Trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at 37.6%, higher than the US-listed Energy peer median of 28.5%.
- GTE produced $313.2M in operating cash flow and $32.9M in free cash flow during FY2025.
Bear case
- The balance sheet carries $622.7M in total debt against $126.7M in cash, leading to a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.71 and a current ratio of 0.48.
- The consensus analyst mean price target of $6.49 implies a 40.4% decline from the last closing price of $10.90.
- Net margins remained deeply negative in FY2025 at -32.4%, yielding a net loss of -$193.1M and an EPS of -$5.47.
What Gran Tierra Energy does
Gran Tierra Energy Inc., along with its subsidiaries, focuses on the exploration and production of oil and gas assets primarily situated in Colombia and Ecuador. The company's strategic operations are geared towards maximizing the potential of its extensive resource base across these regions. As of December 31, 2021, Gran Tierra Energy Inc. boasted substantial total proved undeveloped reserves amounting to 24.8 million barrels of oil equivalent in Colombia alone. Established in 2003 and headquartered in Calgary, Canada, the company employs 406 people and drives its business forward through resource management, technological innovation, and sustainable practices.
Growth and profitability
Revenue contracted 4.0% in FY2025 to $596.7M, marking three consecutive years of revenue declines following $711.4M in FY2022. FY2025 operating margin turned negative to -1.8%, while net income declined to -$193.1M, representing an EPS of -$5.47. Operating cash flow improved to $313.2M in FY2025, supporting free cash flow of $32.9M. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 25.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 81.2%. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $638.4M with a profit margin of -40.0% and an operating margin of 37.6%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Gran Tierra Energy held $126.7M in cash and short-term investments against $622.7M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $496.0M. The company's debt-to-equity ratio was 4.71, with shareholders' equity of $132.2M and a current ratio of 0.48. In FY2025, operating cash flow funded capital expenditures of $280.3M and share buybacks of $3.5M. The company's total share count has decreased 4.5% over the past 5 years.
Valuation and performance
Gran Tierra Energy carries a market capitalization of $385.6M and an enterprise value of $848.7M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 14.7x, compared to 12.7x for the median of its US-listed Energy peers. Its EV/EBITDA of 12.8x also exceeds the peer group median of 8.0x, while its price-to-sales of 0.6x sits below the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, GTE gained 176.6%, outperforming the S&P 500's return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, GTE returned 24.3% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy ratings and 2 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $6.49, which sits 40.4% below the October 16, 2026 closing price of $10.90. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus expectations project revenue of $702.3M and an EPS of -$1.21. For the next fiscal year, 1 analyst projects revenue of $130.9M and an EPS of $0.19. Gran Tierra Energy has beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for October 29, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Liquidity pressure remains elevated given a current ratio of 0.48 and net debt totaling $496.0M as of June 30, 2026.
- Revenue growth for the next fiscal year is estimated to decline 81.4% to $130.9M based on current analyst projections.
- The company's earnings track record shows EPS beats in only 1 of the last 4 quarters alongside an 81.2% year-over-year drop in latest quarter earnings.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GTE AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GTE income statement, GTE balance sheet, GTE key metrics, GTE analyst forecast, GTE chart. See the GTE stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GTE AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Gran Tierra Energy pay a dividend?
Gran Tierra Energy does not currently pay a dividend. The company directed cash flows into $280.3M of capital expenditures and $3.5M of share repurchases in FY2025.
What is Gran Tierra Energy's debt profile?
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $622.7M in total debt and $126.7M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $496.0M. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 4.71.
What do analysts expect for GTE's upcoming earnings?
For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project an EPS of -$1.21 and revenue of $702.3M. The company's next earnings report is set for October 29, 2026.
How has GTE stock performed compared to the broader market?
Over the past 1 year, GTE gained 176.6%, well above the S&P 500's return of 16.8%. However, over a 5-year horizon, GTE's 24.3% return trails the S&P 500's 83.0% return.