GrowGeneration Corp. (GRWG) AI Stock Analysis
GRWG AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchGrowGeneration Corp. (GRWG) is a specialty retailer of hydroponic and organic gardening supplies. While annual revenue contracted from $422.5M in FY2021 to $161.7M in FY2025, the company reported quarterly revenue growth of 5.5% year-over-year as of June 30, 2026. The company maintains a net cash position of $14.9M alongside an unprofitable trailing twelve months operating margin of -4.9%.
- Market cap
- $84.3M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $166.7M
- P/E
- — fwd 42.7x
- 1Y return
- -12.3% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $2.50 74.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Quarterly revenue grew 5.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, signaling stabilization after consecutive annual declines.
- The balance sheet maintains net cash of $14.9M and a current ratio of 3.89 as of June 30, 2026.
- The analyst mean price target of $2.50 implies upside of 74.8% from the closing price of $1.43.
Bear case
- Annual revenue has declined for four consecutive fiscal years, falling from $422.5M in FY2021 to $161.7M in FY2025.
- The company continues to produce negative cash flows, reporting free cash flow of -$10.0M and operating cash flow of -$9.4M in FY2025.
- Profitability remains negative with a trailing twelve months profit margin of -10.1% and a return on equity of -17.1%.
What GrowGeneration does
GrowGeneration Corp., operating through its subsidiaries, is a specialty retailer focused on hydroponic and organic gardening products in the United States. It distributes essentials for indoor and outdoor cultivation, including nutrients, growing media, advanced lighting systems, environmental controls, vertical benching solutions, and gardening accessories. The company primarily serves commercial and urban growers cultivating organics, greens, and plant-based medicines. As of November 22, 2022, GrowGeneration operated 60 retail stores across states including California, Colorado, and Michigan, alongside its online superstore, growgeneration.com.
Growth and profitability
GrowGeneration has experienced multi-year revenue contraction, with sales dropping from $422.5M in FY2021 to $278.2M in FY2022, $225.9M in FY2023, $188.9M in FY2024, and $161.7M in FY2025. Gross margin contracted to 19.8% in FY2025, down from 28.0% in FY2021. Operating results have remained negative since FY2022, generating a net loss of -$24.0M in FY2025. Over the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue posted a CAGR of -3.5%. For the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $166.7M with a profit margin of -10.1%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 5.5% year-over-year and earnings grew 14.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, GrowGeneration held $41.0M in cash and short-term investments against $26.1M in total debt, resulting in net cash of $14.9M. Shareholders' equity was $90.0M, supporting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29 and a current ratio of 3.89. In FY2025, the company generated operating cash flow of -$9.4M and free cash flow of -$10.0M. Capital expenditures were $536,000, and share buybacks totaled $220,000 during FY2025.
Valuation and performance
GrowGeneration carries a market capitalization of $84.3M and an enterprise value of $79.6M. The stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.5x and an EV-to-revenue ratio of 0.5x, compared to a median price-to-sales of 0.7x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its forward P/E of 42.7x stands above the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median forward P/E of 14.1x. Over the past year, GRWG delivered a return of -12.3%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of -93.5% lagged the index's 83.0% gain.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 2 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Hold, and 0 Sell ratings. The mean price target is $2.50, representing a 74.8% premium to the last close of $1.43. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts project an EPS of -$0.14 on revenue of $165.9M. For the following fiscal year, 2 analysts project an EPS of -$0.04 and revenue of $174.8M. GrowGeneration beat EPS estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Gross margins narrowed from 28.0% in FY2021 to 19.8% in FY2025, which limits operational leverage.
- High volatility is indicated by a beta of 2.53, alongside a 5-year stock decline of -93.5%.
- Consensus estimates project continued losses, with an estimated EPS of -$0.14 for FY2026 and -$0.04 for the next fiscal year.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this GRWG AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of GrowGeneration Corp. (GRWG). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: GRWG income statement, GRWG balance sheet, GRWG key metrics, GRWG analyst forecast, GRWG chart. See the GRWG stock overview for the latest quote and news.
GRWG AI stock analysis FAQ
What is GrowGeneration's ticker and exchange?
GrowGeneration Corp. trades on the NASDAQ exchange under the ticker symbol GRWG.
Does GrowGeneration pay a dividend?
No, GrowGeneration does not pay a dividend.
What is GrowGeneration's financial position regarding debt?
As of June 30, 2026, GrowGeneration held $41.0M in cash and short-term investments against $26.1M in total debt, leaving it with $14.9M in net cash.
When is GrowGeneration's next earnings report?
GrowGeneration's next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026.