Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GRNTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GRNT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT) operates as a non-operated oil and gas exploration and production company with assets across several major U.S. basins. Trailing twelve months revenue reached $472.5M, but net profit margin fell to -5.8% with an EPS of -$0.22. The company maintains an 8.07% dividend yield and trades at a forward P/E of 8.2x.

Market cap
$718.9M
Revenue (TTM)
$472.5M
P/E
—
fwd 8.2x
1Y return
13.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$7.80
43.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue increased 18.5% in FY2025 to $450.3M and quarterly revenue grew 37.3% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 8.2x and an EV/EBITDA of 4.6x, both lower than the US-listed Energy peer medians of 12.7x and 8.0x.
  • Wall Street analysts have a mean price target of $7.80, representing 43.1% upside over the last closing price of $5.45.

Bear case

  • Trailing twelve months net margin is -5.8% with an EPS of -$0.22.
  • Free cash flow remained negative at -$122.8M in FY2025 due to capital expenditures of $419.3M.
  • The stock has declined 24.9% over the past five years, lagging the S&P 500 return of 83.0%.

What Granite Ridge Resources does

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. operates as a non-operated oil and gas exploration and production company, focusing on investing in a diverse portfolio of production assets and high-quality acreage across multiple prolific U.S. basins. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the firm partners with operators in the Permian Basin and four other prominent basins across the United States. This collaborative approach allows Granite Ridge Resources to leverage partner expertise and operational capabilities while participating in oil and gas development and production. The firm prioritizes securing top-tier acreage, optimizing production activities, and mitigating risk across multiple basins.

Growth and profitability

Granite Ridge Resources generated revenue of $450.3M in FY2025, an 18.5% increase following declines of 20.8% in FY2023 and 3.6% in FY2024. Operating margin stood at 20.2% in FY2025, compared to 60.7% in FY2022 and 15.6% in FY2024. FY2025 net income was $24.4M, translating to EPS of $0.43 and a net margin of 5.4%. For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, revenue totaled $472.5M with an operating margin of 36.4%, but a net profit margin of -5.8% and EPS of -$0.22. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 37.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 19.7%.

GRNT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Granite Ridge Resources held $44.1M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $462.1M, resulting in net debt of $418.0M. Shareholders' equity was $562.4M, supported by total assets of $1.24B. The debt-to-equity ratio was 0.82 and the current ratio was 1.02. In FY2025, the company generated $296.4M in operating cash flow but recorded free cash flow of -$122.8M after capital expenditures of $419.3M. Cash allocation in FY2025 also included $57.7M in dividends paid and $16,000 in share buybacks.

GRNT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $5.45 per share, Granite Ridge Resources has a market capitalization of $718.9M and an enterprise value of $1.01B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 8.2x, below the 12.7x median of its US-listed Energy peers. Its EV/EBITDA multiple is 4.6x compared to the peer median of 8.0x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 1.5x against the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, GRNT gained 13.1%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock dropped 24.9% while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.

GRNT key metrics →

GRNT dividend

Granite Ridge Resources pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $0.44 per share, representing a dividend yield of 8.07%. The payout ratio is 2.1%, and the company has paid dividends for 5 consecutive years. Its most recent ex-dividend date was August 28, 2026.

GRNT dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy and 2 Hold ratings, with no Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $7.80, which sits 43.1% above the last close of $5.45. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $593.3M and EPS of $0.46. For the next fiscal year, 4 analysts estimate revenue of $612.0M and EPS of $0.83. The company has beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters. The next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

GRNT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Total debt reached $462.1M as of June 30, 2026, leaving net debt at $418.0M with $44.1M in cash.
  • The company has beat EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.
  • Short interest represents 9.8% of the float, reflecting market skepticism.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GRNT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Granite Ridge Resources, Inc (GRNT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GRNT income statement, GRNT balance sheet, GRNT key metrics, GRNT analyst forecast, GRNT chart. See the GRNT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GRNT AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Granite Ridge Resources' dividend yield?

The stock offers an annual forward dividend of $0.44, which equals an 8.07% dividend yield. The company pays dividends quarterly and has paid them for 5 consecutive years.

When does Granite Ridge Resources report earnings next?

The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 5, 2026.

How does GRNT compare to energy sector valuation multiples?

GRNT trades at a forward P/E of 8.2x and an EV/EBITDA of 4.6x, compared to medians of 12.7x and 8.0x for its US-listed Energy peers.

What is the consensus analyst target for GRNT stock?

Analysts hold a mean price target of $7.80, which is 43.1% above the last close of $5.45. Ratings consist of 3 Strong Buy and 2 Hold recommendations.

More Energy AI stock analysis