Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) AI Stock Analysis

Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol both in the United States and internationally across three core segments: Ethanol Production, Agribusiness and Energy Services, and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment manufactures and sells ethanol, industrial-grade alcohol, distiller grains, ultra-high protein, and corn oil. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment manages grain procurement, handling, drying, and storage, while marketing commodities including ethanol, distiller grains, corn oil, grain, and natural gas. The Partnership segment provides fuel storage and transportation services to facilitate logistics for ethanol and related energy products.

Between FY2021 and FY2025, Green Plains' revenue rose from $2.83B in FY2021 to a peak of $3.66B in FY2022 before decreasing to $2.09B in FY2025, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 1.7%. Gross margin fell from 6.3% in FY2021 to 1.8% in FY2025, and net income remained negative across all five fiscal years, including -$121.3M in FY2025. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $1.83B with a net profit margin of 6.8% and EPS of $1.61. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 19.3% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings dropped 75.5% year-over-year.

As of June 30, 2026, Green Plains held $185.4M in cash and short-term investments compared to total debt of $548.6M, leaving net debt at $363.2M. Total assets reached $1.66B, backed by shareholders' equity of $869.9M, a current ratio of 1.99, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63. In FY2025, the company generated $101.6M in operating cash flow, which funded $37.2M in capital expenditures, $30.0M in share buybacks, and $721,000 in dividends paid. Over the past five years, the company's share count increased 60.0%.

Green Plains has a market capitalization of $1.01B and an enterprise value of $1.41B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 9.0x and a forward P/E of 9.1x, below the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers of 19.7x trailing and 13.4x forward. Its EV/EBITDA multiple stands at 5.9x versus the peer median of 10.5x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 0.6x compared to 1.8x for peers. Over the past year, GPRE generated a return of 27.8%, outpacing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, but its 5-year return of -58.2% lagged the index's 83.0% gain.

Wall Street analyst coverage includes 3 Strong Buy ratings and 3 Hold ratings. The mean price target is $18.83, which is 30.2% above the last close of $14.47. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $1.91B and EPS of $2.14, representing expected EPS growth of 195.0%. For the following fiscal year, 5 analysts project revenue of $2.01B and EPS of $1.69. Green Plains beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 4, 2026.

This page is an AI-written research summary of Green Plains Inc. (GPRE). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GPRE income statement, GPRE balance sheet, GPRE key metrics, GPRE analyst forecast, GPRE chart. See the GPRE stock overview for the latest quote and news.