Greif, Inc. (GEF) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: GEFAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GEF AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Greif, Inc. (GEF) is an industrial packaging producer offering drum containers, paper packaging, and land management services. While revenue fell from $6.35B in FY2022 to $4.29B in FY2025, the latest quarter ending April 30, 2026, rebounded with 3.5% revenue growth and 43.4% earnings growth. The company maintains an enterprise value of $5.38B and has paid dividends for 38 consecutive years with a 2.87% forward yield.

Market cap
$4.67B
Revenue (TTM)
$4.30B
P/E
37.2x
fwd 9.3x
1Y return
43.3%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$88.00
7.2% vs last close

Bull case

  • Greif achieved a 43.4% year-over-year increase in quarterly earnings in the period ending April 30, 2026.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 9.3x, sitting well below the peer median of 14.1x.
  • The company offers a 2.87% dividend yield backed by a 38-year track record of consecutive dividend payments.

Bear case

  • Greif generated free cash flow of -$85.2M in FY2025, down from $169.5M in FY2024.
  • Revenue contracted at an annualized 5-year CAGR of -1.0% between FY2020 and FY2025.
  • The company holds $1.23B in total debt and $945.1M in net debt as of April 30, 2026.

What Greif does

Greif, Inc. provides industrial packaging products and services through three segments: Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packaging & Services, and Land Management. The Global Industrial Packaging unit manufactures steel, fiber, and plastic drums, intermediate bulk containers, and closure systems, alongside container life cycle management and logistics. The Paper Packaging & Services unit produces containerboards, corrugated sheets, corrugated containers, and recycled fiber used across food, automotive, and packaging markets. The Land Management segment oversees timberland harvesting, regeneration, and property sales, owning approximately 175,000 acres in the southeastern United States as of October 31, 2022.

Growth and profitability

Greif saw revenue expand to $6.35B in FY2022 before contracting 17.8% in FY2023 and 17.0% in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue dipped 1.0% to $4.29B, capping a 5-year revenue CAGR of -1.0% from FY2020. Gross margin stood at 22.2% in FY2025, while operating margin compressed to 6.9% from 11.6% in FY2023. FY2025 net income reached $840.0M, or $2.71 per share, bolstered by a 19.6% net margin. In the latest quarter ending April 30, 2026, revenue increased 3.5% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings grew 43.4%.

GEF income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of April 30, 2026, Greif held $288.5M in cash and short-term investments against $1.23B in total debt, leaving net debt at $945.1M. The company reported shareholders' equity of $3.00B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41, with a current ratio of 1.29. In FY2025, operating cash flow dropped to $58.6M and free cash flow turned to -$85.2M. Capital expenditures totaled $143.8M, while capital returns included $101.1M in dividends paid and $8.1M in share buybacks.

GEF balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Greif trades at a trailing P/E of 37.2x, above the 18.0x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers, but its forward P/E of 9.3x sits below the peer median of 14.1x. The company's EV/EBITDA of 8.6x is lower than the peer median of 11.1x, while its price-to-sales multiple of 1.1x compares to the peer median of 0.7x. Over the past year, Greif returned 43.3%, outperforming the S&P 500's 16.8% return. Over five years, its 50.1% gain trailed the S&P 500's 83.0% return.

GEF key metrics →

GEF dividend

Greif pays an annual forward dividend of $2.36 per share, representing a 2.87% dividend yield and a payout ratio of 49.2%. Dividends are distributed quarterly and have been paid for 38 consecutive years. The dividend has achieved a 5-year annualized growth rate of 4.6%, with the last ex-dividend date recorded on September 17, 2026.

GEF dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 Strong Buy, 4 Holds, and 1 Sell. The mean price target is $88.00, implying a 7.2% premium over the last close of $82.12. For the current fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $4.33B and EPS of $4.33, indicating 116.8% EPS growth. Greif beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings report is scheduled for November 3, 2026.

GEF forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating margins compressed from 11.6% in FY2023 to 6.9% in FY2025.
  • Free cash flow swung from $435.9M in FY2023 to -$85.2M in FY2025, which could pressure capital allocation.
  • A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41 and total debt of $1.23B expose the business to ongoing debt service requirements.
  • Share count expanded by 18.3% over the past 5 years, diluting existing equity holders.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GEF AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Greif, Inc. (GEF). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GEF income statement, GEF balance sheet, GEF key metrics, GEF analyst forecast, GEF chart. See the GEF stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GEF AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Greif pay a dividend?

Yes, Greif pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $2.36 per share, yielding 2.87%. The company has paid dividends for 38 consecutive years with a payout ratio of 49.2%.

What is Greif's current valuation multiple?

Greif trades at a trailing P/E of 37.2x and a forward P/E of 9.3x, compared to the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer medians of 18.0x and 14.1x, respectively. Its enterprise value stands at $5.38B with an EV/EBITDA of 8.6x.

What are Greif's recent financial growth trends?

While revenue fell 1.0% in FY2025 to $4.29B, Greif showed recovery in the quarter ending April 30, 2026, delivering 3.5% revenue growth and 43.4% quarterly earnings growth.

When is Greif's next earnings report?

Greif's next earnings release is scheduled for November 3, 2026. Analysts expect full-year EPS of $4.33 on revenue of $4.33B for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026.

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