Gaia, Inc (GAIA) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: GAIAAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GAIA AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Gaia, Inc. (GAIA) operates a specialized digital video streaming service and online community focused on wellness and personal development. The company generated $99.0M in FY2025 revenue with an 87.1% gross margin, but posted a net income of -$4.5M. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 5.3% year-over-year while the stock has dropped 76.4% over the past year.

Market cap
$34.8M
Revenue (TTM)
$98.1M
P/E
—
fwd 138.9x
1Y return
-76.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$3.88
182.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Gaia maintains high gross margins of 87.1% as of FY2025, backed by an expanding proprietary library of around 10,000 titles.
  • Covering analysts unanimously hold 3 Strong Buy ratings with a mean price target of $3.88, representing 182.8% upside from the $1.37 share price.
  • Valuation multiples are low relative to the US-listed Communication Services peer median, with price-to-sales at 0.4x versus 0.8x and EV-to-EBITDA at 3.5x versus 10.0x.

Bear case

  • The business has generated negative net income in each year from FY2022 through FY2025, including a loss of -$4.5M in FY2025.
  • Short-term liquidity appears tight, evidenced by a current ratio of 0.41 and cash reserves of $5.3M against total debt of $14.4M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Top-line growth has reversed recently, with quarterly revenue falling 5.3% and quarterly earnings dropping 87.8% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026.

What Gaia does

Gaia, Inc. operates a digital video subscription service and online community serving members across the United States, Canada, Australia, and globally. Its content library includes around 10,000 titles in Spanish, German, and French, accessible via internet-connected devices. The service features specialized channels including Yoga, Transformation, Alternative Healing, and Seeking Truth, which hosts experts in alternative media. Originally founded in 1988 as Gaiam, Inc. and headquartered in Louisville, Colorado, the company produces and owns content while utilizing long-term licensing agreements, distributing programming through gaia.com and gaiamtv.com.

Growth and profitability

Gaia grew annual revenue from $79.6M in FY2021 to $99.0M in FY2025, recording a 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.2%. Gross margins remained elevated, reaching 87.1% in FY2025 compared to 86.8% in FY2021. However, profitability has contracted, with operating margin falling from 2.5% in FY2021 to -5.2% in FY2025, and annual net income declining from $3.7M to -$4.5M. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $98.1M with an operating margin of -13.8% and an EPS of -$0.24. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 5.3% and quarterly earnings dropped 87.8% year-over-year.

GAIA income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Gaia held $5.3M in cash and short-term investments against $14.4M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $9.1M. Shareholders' equity totaled $84.3M, reflecting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 and a current ratio of 0.41. In FY2025, operating cash flow stood at $5.7M while capital expenditures were $6.1M, generating free cash flow of -$377,000. The company's share count increased 25.4% over five years.

GAIA balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Gaia trades at a market capitalization of $34.8M and an enterprise value of $40.8M. Its price-to-sales ratio of 0.4x and EV-to-EBITDA of 3.5x sit below the median of its US-listed Communication Services peers, which trade at 0.8x and 10.0x, respectively. The company's forward P/E stands at 138.9x compared to the peer median of 14.1x. Over the past year, the stock fell 76.4% compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 (SPY), while its 5-year return of -85.5% compares to 83.0% for the index.

GAIA key metrics →

What analysts expect

Gaia has 3 Strong Buy ratings and zero Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $3.88, representing a 182.8% premium to the last closing price of $1.37. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts forecast revenue of $91.2M and an EPS of -$0.42. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 2, 2026.

GAIA forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Free cash flow turned negative at -$377,000 in FY2025, which could drain liquidity if capital expenditures remain near $6.1M.
  • A current ratio of 0.41 indicates potential working capital challenges with short-term liabilities outpacing current assets.
  • Shareholder equity faces dilution risk, with the company's share count expanding by 25.4% over five years.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GAIA AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Gaia, Inc (GAIA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GAIA income statement, GAIA balance sheet, GAIA key metrics, GAIA analyst forecast, GAIA chart. See the GAIA stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GAIA AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Gaia pay a dividend?

Gaia does not pay a dividend on its common stock.

What is the consensus analyst price target for GAIA?

The mean analyst price target is $3.88, which represents an upside of 182.8% from the closing price of $1.37 on October 16, 2026.

What are Gaia's revenue and earnings expectations for FY2026?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $91.2M and an EPS of -$0.42, reflecting an expected earnings decline of 77.8%.

How much debt and cash does Gaia have?

As of June 30, 2026, Gaia held $5.3M in cash and short-term investments and $14.4M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $9.1M.

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