Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR) AI Stock Analysis
FTDR AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchFrontdoor, Inc. provides home service plans and on-demand maintenance solutions across the United States. In FY2025, revenue increased 13.6% to $2.09B, with free cash flow expanding to $389.0M. The stock closed at $79.00 with a trailing P/E of 20.8x and trailing twelve month operating margins of 28.2%.
- Market cap
- $5.44B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.15B
- P/E
- 20.8x fwd 14.5x
- 1Y return
- 22.0% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $95.40 20.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow generation expanded from $102.0M in FY2022 to $389.0M in FY2025.
- Trailing twelve month operating margin reached 28.2%, well above the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 8.8%.
- Frontdoor beat EPS estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters, with analysts projecting FY2026 EPS growth of 14.5%.
Bear case
- Total debt was $1.18B as of June 30, 2026, contributing to an elevated debt-to-equity ratio of 4.14.
- The stock trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 2.5x, compared to the US-listed Consumer Cyclical peer median of 0.7x.
- Short interest represents 7.2% of the float, indicating a notable level of bearish sentiment.
What Frontdoor does
Frontdoor, Inc., based in Memphis, Tennessee, provides home service plans covering the repair or replacement of major components across more than 20 home systems and appliances. Its plans protect electrical, plumbing, and HVAC systems, along with household appliances, electronics, pools, spas, and pumps. Through its ProConnect segment, Frontdoor offers on-demand home maintenance services by connecting customers with qualified professionals. In addition, the company utilizes Streem, an acquired platform leveraging augmented reality, computer vision, and machine learning, to allow service professionals to diagnose breakdowns accurately and streamline repairs.
Growth and profitability
Between FY2021 and FY2025, Frontdoor grew revenue at a 5-year CAGR of 7.3%, moving from $1.60B in FY2021 to $2.09B in FY2025. Annual net income expanded from $128.0M in FY2021 to $255.0M in FY2025, after dipping to $71.0M in FY2022. Gross margin improved from 46.8% in FY2021 to 51.0% in FY2025, while operating margin rose from 15.0% to 19.4% over the same timeframe. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 4.5% year-over-year, and quarterly earnings rose 18.9% year-over-year. Trailing twelve month revenue stood at $2.15B with a profit margin of 12.8%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Frontdoor held $627.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.18B, resulting in net debt of $549.0M. Shareholders' equity was $284.0M, and the current ratio stood at 1.59, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.14. In FY2025, the company generated $415.0M in operating cash flow and $389.0M in free cash flow. Capital expenditures totaled $26.0M, while $283.0M was directed toward share buybacks. The company reduced its share count by 16.0% over five years.
Valuation and performance
Frontdoor closed at $79.00 with a trailing P/E of 20.8x, compared to the median of 18.0x for its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its forward P/E of 14.5x sits slightly above the peer median of 14.1x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 2.5x trades above the peer median of 0.7x. The company's EV/EBITDA multiple is 10.7x, below the peer median of 11.1x. Over the past year, Frontdoor delivered a return of 22.0%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year span, its return of 85.0% surpassed the index return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy and 3 Hold ratings. The mean price target of $95.40 represents a 20.8% premium over the last close of $79.00. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $2.20B and EPS of $4.68, reflecting 14.5% earnings growth. For FY2027, 5 analysts project revenue of $2.32B and EPS of $5.13. Frontdoor beat EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings report scheduled for November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Net debt of $549.0M relative to shareholders' equity of $284.0M leaves the company with significant balance sheet leverage.
- A beta of 1.53 indicates Frontdoor's shares exhibit higher price volatility than the broader equity market.
- Quarterly revenue growth slowed to 4.5% year-over-year in the period ended June 30, 2026, compared to 13.6% growth in FY2025.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this FTDR AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: FTDR income statement, FTDR balance sheet, FTDR key metrics, FTDR analyst forecast, FTDR chart. See the FTDR stock overview for the latest quote and news.
FTDR AI stock analysis FAQ
Does Frontdoor pay a dividend?
No, Frontdoor does not pay a dividend. In FY2025, the company deployed $283.0M toward share repurchases.
What is Frontdoor's revenue growth track record?
Revenue expanded 13.6% to $2.09B in FY2025, achieving a 5-year CAGR of 7.3% from FY2020. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue rose 4.5% year-over-year.
What are analysts forecasting for FTDR?
Analysts estimate FY2026 revenue of $2.20B and EPS of $4.68, followed by FY2027 revenue of $2.32B and EPS of $5.13. The average analyst price target is $95.40, which is 20.8% above the last close of $79.00.
How leveraged is Frontdoor's balance sheet?
As of June 30, 2026, Frontdoor had $627.0M in cash and short-term investments against $1.18B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $549.0M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.14.