Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) AI Stock Analysis
FDUS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchFidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) is a business development company targeting middle-market companies across the United States. Revenue reached $170.4M over the trailing twelve months with an operating margin of 68.3%, alongside an 11.27% forward dividend yield.
- Market cap
- $754.8M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $170.4M
- P/E
- 9.1x fwd 10.5x
- 1Y return
- 7.4% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $21.50 13.3% vs last close
Bull case
- Revenue grew 40.1% in FY2025 to reach $159.2M, reflecting a 5-year revenue CAGR of 31.8% from FY2020 through FY2025.
- The stock offers an 11.27% dividend yield based on an annual forward payout of $2.14 per share and 16 consecutive years of payments.
- FDUS trades at a trailing P/E of 9.1x, which is lower than the median of 12.1x for its US-listed Financial Services peers.
Bear case
- Quarterly earnings fell 26.9% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Free cash flow dropped to -$147.0M in FY2025, alongside an elevated dividend payout ratio of 96.7%.
- Analysts project an EPS contraction of 7.4% for the next fiscal year, decreasing from $2.13 to $1.97.
What Fidus Investment does
Fidus Investment Corporation operates as a business development company specializing in middle-market investments to foster company growth and expansion. The firm participates in leveraged buyouts, refinancings, strategic acquisitions, and recapitalizations. It targets diverse sectors including aerospace and defense, business services, consumer products and services, healthcare, industrial products, information technology services, niche manufacturing, transportation and logistics, and value-added distribution. Fidus typically invests $5 million to $15 million per transaction into US-based companies generating annual revenues between $10 million and $150 million and EBITDA between $3 million and $20 million, utilizing senior secured debt, unitranche loans, subordinated loans, preferred equity, and warrants.
Growth and profitability
Revenue increased from $71.6M in FY2022 to $108.6M in FY2023, $113.7M in FY2024, and $159.2M in FY2025, delivering a 5-year revenue CAGR of 31.8% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual net income grew from $35.8M in FY2022 to $82.4M in FY2025, while EPS shifted from $1.87 to $2.13. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $170.4M with a profit margin of 45.4% and an operating margin of 68.3%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 8.8% year-over-year, while earnings declined 26.9%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, the company held $182.9M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $288.1M, resulting in net debt of $105.1M. Shareholders' equity was $738.5M, total assets were $1.50B, the current ratio stood at 220.58, and the debt-to-equity ratio was 0.39. In FY2025, operating cash flow and free cash flow were both -$147.0M, compared to $62.4M in FY2024. Dividends paid totaled $75.5M in FY2025, while the share count rose 55.3% over five years.
Valuation and performance
At a last close of $18.98 on October 16, 2026, FDUS has a market capitalization of $754.8M and an enterprise value of $1.41B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 9.1x and a forward P/E of 10.5x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively, for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 4.4x versus the peer median of 3.2x, while EV/EBITDA is 10.9x versus 11.7x. Over the past year, FDUS generated a return of 7.4% compared to 16.8% for the S&P 500 (SPY), while its 5-year return of 94.7% outperformed the S&P 500's 83.0%.
FDUS dividend
FDUS pays a quarterly dividend, supported by 16 consecutive years of payments. The annual forward dividend is $2.14 per share, translating to a dividend yield of 11.27% based on the October 16, 2026 share price. Its dividend payout ratio stands at 96.7%, and annualized dividend growth over the past five years is 10.1%. The last ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.
What analysts expect
Wall Street coverage includes 3 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, and 1 Hold ratings, with zero Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target is $21.50, representing a 13.3% premium over the last close of $18.98. Analysts estimate FY2026 revenue of $180.7M and EPS of $2.13. For FY2027, 5 analysts project revenue of $184.3M and EPS of $1.97, an earnings decline of 7.4%. FDUS beat EPS estimates in 2 of the past 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is November 5, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- Operating cash flow volatility is notable, shifting from $62.4M in FY2024 to -$147.0M in FY2025.
- A high dividend payout ratio of 96.7% leaves minimal margin for error if net earnings soften.
- Dilution risk remains relevant, as common share count expanded by 55.3% over the trailing 5-year period.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this FDUS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: FDUS income statement, FDUS balance sheet, FDUS key metrics, FDUS analyst forecast, FDUS chart. See the FDUS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
FDUS AI stock analysis FAQ
What is FDUS's current dividend yield?
FDUS offers an annual forward dividend of $2.14 per share, which corresponds to an 11.27% dividend yield as of October 16, 2026.
How does FDUS's valuation compare to sector peers?
FDUS trades at a trailing P/E of 9.1x and forward P/E of 10.5x, compared to the median US-listed Financial Services peers at 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. However, its price-to-sales ratio of 4.4x is higher than the peer median of 3.2x.
What are analysts forecasting for FDUS's earnings?
Analysts forecast EPS of $2.13 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, followed by a 7.4% decline to $1.97 in the subsequent fiscal year.
When does FDUS report its next financial results?
Fidus Investment Corporation is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 5, 2026.