FirstCash Holdings, Inc (FCFS) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: FCFSAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

FCFS AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

FirstCash Holdings, Inc. operates retail pawn stores and point-of-sale payment solutions across the US and Latin America. The company expanded revenue from $1.70B in FY2021 to $3.66B in FY2025, reaching $4.12B over the trailing twelve months. Shares have returned 37.0% over the past year, supported by quarterly earnings growth of 58.2% as of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$9.34B
Revenue (TTM)
$4.12B
P/E
24.5x
fwd 17.2x
1Y return
37.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$253.00
17.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 29.4% year-over-year while quarterly earnings expanded 58.2% in the period ended June 30, 2026.
  • Free cash flow reached $531.0M in FY2025, supporting a modest 16.7% dividend payout ratio and $115.8M in share buybacks.
  • All 4 covering analysts rate the company a Strong Buy, with a mean price target of $253.00 compared to the recent close of $215.26.

Bear case

  • The company carries $2.70B in total debt against $172.3M in cash, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.16.
  • FCFS trades at a forward P/E of 17.2x, representing a premium over the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 10.8x.
  • Operating margin of 15.5% trails the US-listed Financial Services peer median of 37.7%.

What FirstCash does

Established in 1988 and headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, FirstCash Holdings, Inc. operates retail pawn stores across the United States, Mexico, and parts of Latin America. The company provides loans secured by personal property such as jewelry, electronics, tools, appliances, sporting goods, and musical instruments. It also retails merchandise obtained through forfeitures and direct customer sales. In addition to pawn operations, FirstCash offers retail point-of-sale payment solutions focused on lease-to-own products and financing options across brick-and-mortar stores and e-commerce platforms.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, annual revenue climbed from $1.70B to $3.66B, generating a 5-year revenue CAGR of 17.5%. Operating margin expanded from 11.6% in FY2021 to 15.4% in FY2025, while annual net income increased from $124.9M to $330.4M, lifting diluted EPS from $3.92 to $8.76. In the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $4.12B with a net profit margin of 9.4% and an operating margin of 15.5%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue increased 29.4% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings rose 58.2%.

FCFS income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, FirstCash held $172.3M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $2.70B, resulting in net debt of $2.53B. The current ratio was 4.89 and the debt-to-equity ratio stood at 1.16 against $2.32B in shareholders' equity. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $585.9M and free cash flow was $531.0M. Capital expenditures totaled $54.9M, while capital return included $115.8M in share buybacks and $70.9M in dividends paid, contributing to an 8.7% reduction in share count over 5 years.

FCFS balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

FCFS trades at a trailing P/E of 24.5x and a forward P/E of 17.2x, compared to medians of 12.1x and 10.8x for its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its EV/EBITDA multiple stands at 11.0x, slightly below the peer median of 11.7x, while its price-to-sales ratio of 2.3x sits below the peer median of 3.2x. Over the past 12 months, the stock gained 37.0%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, FCFS returned 165.1% compared to 83.0% for the S&P 500.

FCFS key metrics →

FCFS dividend

FirstCash pays a quarterly dividend totaling $1.68 annually, representing a dividend yield of 0.78% and a payout ratio of 16.7%. The company has paid dividends for 11 consecutive years, delivering a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 8.2%. Its last ex-dividend date was August 14, 2026.

FCFS dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street sentiment is unanimous, with 4 Strong Buy ratings and no Buy, Hold, or Sell ratings. The mean price target of $253.00 implies upside of 17.5% above the October 16, 2026 close of $215.26. Analysts project FY2026 revenue of $4.38B and EPS of $11.20, followed by FY2027 revenue of $4.73B and EPS of $12.95. FirstCash beat earnings estimates in all of the last 4 quarters, with the next release set for October 22, 2026.

FCFS forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $2.53B leaves the balance sheet reliant on steady operational cash generation.
  • Short interest accounts for 6.5% of the float, reflecting some negative market positioning.
  • Operating margin of 15.5% remains well below the US-listed Financial Services median of 37.7%, highlighting exposure to retail and store-level operating costs.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this FCFS AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of FirstCash Holdings, Inc (FCFS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: FCFS income statement, FCFS balance sheet, FCFS key metrics, FCFS analyst forecast, FCFS chart. See the FCFS stock overview for the latest quote and news.

FCFS AI stock analysis FAQ

What is FirstCash's core business model?

FirstCash operates pawn stores that provide collateralized personal property loans and retail pre-owned merchandise in the US and Latin America. It also provides retail point-of-sale payment solutions and lease-to-own financing across brick-and-mortar and e-commerce platforms.

Does FirstCash pay a dividend?

Yes, FirstCash pays a quarterly dividend of $1.68 per share annually, yielding 0.78% with a payout ratio of 16.7%. The company has maintained consecutive dividend payments for 11 years.

How does FirstCash's valuation compare to its sector peers?

At 24.5x trailing earnings and 17.2x forward earnings, FirstCash trades above the US-listed Financial Services peer medians of 12.1x and 10.8x, respectively. However, its EV/EBITDA of 11.0x is slightly below the peer median of 11.7x.

When does FirstCash report its next financial results?

FirstCash is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 22, 2026. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $11.20 and revenue of $4.38B.

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