Evolent Health, Inc. (EVH) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: EVHAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

EVH AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Evolent Health, Inc. (EVH) provides clinical and administrative solutions to healthcare payers and providers across the United States. In the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2026, the company generated $2.10B in revenue with a profit margin of -24.1%. Its shares trade at $4.57, representing a market capitalization of $516.7M alongside net debt of $854.7M.

Market cap
$516.7M
Revenue (TTM)
$2.10B
P/E
—
fwd 8.6x
1Y return
-41.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$5.75
25.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 46.9% year-over-year for the period ending June 30, 2026.
  • Analyst consensus projects fiscal year 2026 EPS of $0.20, representing estimated year-over-year earnings growth of 122.1%.
  • The mean analyst price target of $5.75 implies 25.8% upside compared to the last close of $4.57.

Bear case

  • Evolent Health reported a net loss of -$534.5M in FY2025 alongside a negative net margin of -28.5%.
  • Total debt stands at $970.4M against $115.7M in cash, contributing to a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.53.
  • The company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.

What Evolent Health does

Headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, Evolent Health, Inc. operates through its subsidiary, Evolent Health LLC, providing clinical and administrative solutions to payers and providers across the United States. The company is organized into two core segments: Evolent Health Services and Clinical Solutions. Evolent Health Services delivers an integrated platform for health plan management and population health, utilizing its proprietary Identifi technology system to aggregate data, manage care workflows, and engage patients. The Clinical Solutions segment provides specialty care management services that assist healthcare stakeholders in transitioning to value-based care models, with a particular focus on specialty areas such as oncology and cardiology.

Growth and profitability

Evolent Health achieved a 5-year revenue CAGR of 15.2% from FY2020 to FY2025. Annual revenue expanded from $908.0M in FY2021 to $1.35B in FY2022, $1.96B in FY2023, and peaked at $2.55B in FY2024 before contracting 26.6% to $1.88B in FY2025. Net income was -$37.6M in FY2021, -$19.2M in FY2022, -$113.0M in FY2023, -$61.6M in FY2024, and -$534.5M in FY2025, which yielded a net margin of -28.5%. Gross margin stood at 15.1% in FY2025 compared to 27.6% in FY2021. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue growth reached 46.9% year-over-year, while trailing twelve months revenue totaled $2.10B with an operating margin of -1.3%.

EVH income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Evolent Health held $115.7M in cash and short-term investments against $970.4M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $854.7M. The company reported total assets of $1.97B and shareholders' equity of $383.2M, with a current ratio of 1.24 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.53. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $38.8M and free cash flow was $4.8M. Cash deployment in FY2025 included $34.1M for capital expenditures, $40.0M for share buybacks, and $11.1M in dividends paid.

EVH balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $4.57 per share, Evolent Health has a market capitalization of $516.7M and an enterprise value of $1.26B. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 8.6x, compared to the median of its US-listed Healthcare peers of 17.3x. Its price-to-sales multiple is 0.2x versus the peer median of 4.1x, while its EV/EBITDA of 185.4x is above the peer median of 12.0x. Over the past year, EVH fell 41.4%, trailing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock declined 84.7% while the S&P 500 rose 83.0%.

EVH key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 7 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 3 Hold ratings, with 0 Sell or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $5.75 represents 25.8% upside from the last close of $4.57. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.64B and EPS of $0.20, which represents EPS growth of 122.1%. Over the last 4 quarters, Evolent Health recorded 1 EPS beat. The next earnings date is November 5, 2026.

EVH forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A debt-to-equity ratio of 2.53 and net debt of $854.7M could pressure financial stability if free cash flow remains constrained.
  • Trailing twelve months profitability remains negative with a profit margin of -24.1% and a return on equity of -67.0%.
  • Gross margin compressed from 27.6% in FY2021 to 15.1% in FY2025, signaling pressure on core unit economics.
  • The stock has shown multi-year weakness, falling 84.7% over the past 5 years.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this EVH AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Evolent Health, Inc. (EVH). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: EVH income statement, EVH balance sheet, EVH key metrics, EVH analyst forecast, EVH chart. See the EVH stock overview for the latest quote and news.

EVH AI stock analysis FAQ

What is Evolent Health's current debt level?

As of June 30, 2026, Evolent Health held $970.4M in total debt and $115.7M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $854.7M and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.53.

When is Evolent Health's next earnings report?

Evolent Health is scheduled to report its next quarterly financial results on November 5, 2026.

What is the consensus analyst target price for EVH?

The mean analyst price target for EVH is $5.75, which represents an implied upside of 25.8% relative to its last closing price of $4.57.

What are analysts forecasting for EVH's FY2026 performance?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $2.64B and EPS of $0.20, indicating projected EPS growth of 122.1%.

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