VAALCO Energy, Inc. (EGY) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: EGYAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

EGY AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

VAALCO Energy, Inc. (EGY) is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company operating primarily in West Africa. Revenue fell 25.0% in FY2025 to $359.3M, resulting in a net loss of -$41.4M. Despite a trailing-twelve-month profit margin of -31.1%, the stock generated a 1-year return of 75.0% through October 16, 2026.

Market cap
$652.2M
Revenue (TTM)
$349.8M
P/E
—
fwd 8.3x
1Y return
75.0%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$10.20
64.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • The company delivered quarterly revenue growth of 39.5% and quarterly earnings growth of 389.6% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • EGY trades at a forward P/E of 8.3x, which is below the 12.7x median of its US-listed Energy peers.
  • All 4 analyst ratings are Strong Buy with a mean price target of $10.20, implying 64.5% upside above the $6.20 closing price.

Bear case

  • In FY2025, revenue contracted by 25.0% to $359.3M, leading to a net loss of -$41.4M.
  • Capital expenditures of $255.9M in FY2025 contributed to negative free cash flow of -$43.2M.
  • The company's current ratio stands at 0.44 as of June 30, 2026, indicating tight short-term liquidity.

What VAALCO Energy does

VAALCO Energy, Inc. is an independent energy company focused on the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas resources. Founded in 1985 and based in Houston, Texas, the company's primary asset is the Etame production sharing contract in the Etame Marin block offshore Gabon in West Africa. VAALCO also maintains interests in an undeveloped block located offshore Equatorial Guinea to expand its West African footprint. The company employs 281 people and concentrates on maximizing production from offshore reserves while pursuing new exploration ventures in the global energy market.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2024, VAALCO Energy grew revenue from $199.1M to $479.0M before revenue declined 25.0% to $359.3M in FY2025. Gross margin contracted from 48.6% in FY2021 to 22.9% in FY2025, while operating margin decreased from 39.7% to 13.0%. Net income moved from $81.8M in FY2021 to -$41.4M in FY2025, with EPS dropping from $1.58 to -$0.04. Over the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a CAGR of 35.9%. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $349.8M with an EPS of -$1.04, though quarterly revenue rose 39.5% year-over-year and quarterly earnings grew 389.6%.

EGY income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, VAALCO Energy held $30.4M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $65.5M, resulting in net debt of $35.1M. Shareholders' equity was $380.3M against total assets of $968.6M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17 and a current ratio of 0.44. In FY2025, the company generated operating cash flow of $212.7M while recording free cash flow of -$43.2M. Capital expenditures reached $255.9M, dividends paid totaled $26.5M, and share buybacks amounted to $709,000.

EGY balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a closing price of $6.20 on October 16, 2026, VAALCO Energy has a market cap of $652.2M and an enterprise value of $845.7M. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 8.3x, below the 12.7x median of its US-listed Energy peers. Its EV to EBITDA multiple of 50.5x sits well above the peer median of 8.0x, while its price-to-sales of 1.9x compares with the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, EGY gained 75.0%, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark return of 16.8%.

EGY key metrics →

EGY dividend

VAALCO Energy pays a forward annual dividend of $0.25, representing a dividend yield of 4.03%. The company pays dividends quarterly and has distributed them for 5 consecutive years, with its last ex-dividend date on August 21, 2026. The payout ratio stands at 92.6%.

EGY dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage on EGY includes 4 Strong Buy ratings, with 0 Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $10.20, representing an upside of 64.5% from the last close of $6.20 on October 16, 2026. Analysts project an EPS of -$0.50 and revenue of $446.6M for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. Over the last 4 quarters, EGY recorded 0 EPS beats. The company's next earnings date is scheduled for November 9, 2026.

EGY forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.44 as of June 30, 2026, highlights potential short-term working capital pressure.
  • The company failed to beat EPS estimates over the last 4 quarters, posting 0 beats.
  • Share count increased 77.4% over the past 5 years, highlighting equity dilution.
  • An EV to EBITDA multiple of 50.5x compares to the US-listed Energy peer median of 8.0x.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this EGY AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of VAALCO Energy, Inc. (EGY). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: EGY income statement, EGY balance sheet, EGY key metrics, EGY analyst forecast, EGY chart. See the EGY stock overview for the latest quote and news.

EGY AI stock analysis FAQ

Does VAALCO Energy pay a dividend?

Yes, VAALCO Energy pays a forward annual dividend of $0.25 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.03%. Dividends are distributed quarterly and have been paid for 5 consecutive years.

What is VAALCO Energy's debt profile?

As of June 30, 2026, VAALCO Energy reported total debt of $65.5M and cash and short-term investments of $30.4M, resulting in net debt of $35.1M. Its debt-to-equity ratio was 0.17.

What do analysts forecast for EGY's full-year earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate an EPS of -$0.50 and revenue of $446.6M, followed by an estimated EPS of $0.13 and revenue of $511.9M for the next fiscal year.

How has EGY stock performed compared to the S&P 500?

EGY returned 75.0% over the trailing 1-year period and 76.1% year-to-date through October 16, 2026, outperforming the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) 1-year return of 16.8%.

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