ECARX Holdings, Inc. (ECX) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: ECXAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

ECX AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

ECARX Holdings, Inc. develops hardware and software solutions for connected, automated, and electrified mobility. The company generated $881.3M in trailing twelve-month revenue, with quarterly sales rising 47.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026. However, it faces operational losses, carrying net debt of $498.0M and negative shareholders' equity of -$264.9M.

Market cap
$333.8M
Revenue (TTM)
$881.3M
P/E
—
1Y return
-62.4%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$3.05
259.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 47.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026.
  • Net losses narrowed substantially from -$947.1M in FY2024 to -$66.0M in FY2025.
  • Analysts maintain 4 Strong Buy ratings with a mean price target of $3.05, representing 259.1% upside from $0.85.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue fell 84.9% to $847.9M in FY2025, contributing to a 5-year revenue CAGR of -17.7%.
  • Shareholders' equity was negative at -$264.9M as of June 30, 2026, alongside a weak current ratio of 0.72.
  • Free cash flow remained negative at -$106.6M in FY2025 while the 5-year share count increased 892.8%.

What ECARX does

ECARX Holdings, Inc. is at the forefront of advancing connected, automated, and electrified mobility through innovative hardware and software solutions. Established in 2017 and headquartered in Shanghai, China, the company specializes in developing cutting-edge products essential for modern automotive technology. Its offerings span a range of crucial components, including infotainment head units, digital cockpits, vehicle chipsets, and comprehensive operating systems and software stacks. These solutions are designed to enhance functionality, connectivity, and user experience across vehicles. The company also emphasizes software development and system integration supporting intelligent navigation and personalized user interfaces.

Growth and profitability

ECARX experienced significant top-line shifts over recent years. Revenue rose from $436.0M in FY2021 to $3.56B in FY2022, reaching $4.70B in FY2023 and $5.63B in FY2024. In FY2025, revenue dropped 84.9% to $847.9M, leaving the 5-year revenue CAGR at -17.7%. Operating margin improved from -45.7% in FY2022 and -15.9% in FY2024 to -5.9% in FY2025, while net losses narrowed to -$66.0M from -$947.1M in FY2024. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $881.3M with an operating margin of -2.8% and an EPS of -$0.06. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 47.5% year-over-year.

ECX income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, ECARX held $203.0M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $700.9M, yielding net debt of $498.0M. The current ratio stood at 0.72, and shareholders' equity was -$264.9M with total assets of $986.3M. In FY2025, operating cash flow was -$94.4M and free cash flow was -$106.6M. Capital expenditures used $12.2M, while share buybacks totaled $29.0M. Additionally, the company's share count expanded 892.8% over five years.

Valuation and performance

ECARX trades at a price-to-sales multiple of 0.4x, which is lower than the 0.7x median of its US-listed Consumer Cyclical peers. Its enterprise value stands at $934.9M, resulting in an EV-to-sales multiple of 1.1x and an EV-to-EBITDA multiple of 75.5x, well above the peer median of 11.1x. Over the past year, the stock declined 62.4%, compared to a 16.8% gain for the S&P 500 benchmark. Over five years, the stock dropped 91.3% while the S&P 500 gained 83.0%.

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy ratings, with 0 Buy, 0 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $3.05 represents a 259.1% upside compared to the last close of $0.85 on October 16, 2026. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.09B and an EPS of -$0.01. For the following fiscal year, 1 analyst projects revenue of $1.30B and EPS of $0.07. Over the last 4 quarters, the company delivered 1 EPS beat, and its next earnings date is November 2, 2026.

ECX forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The company carried net debt of $498.0M with only $203.0M in cash against $700.9M in total debt as of June 30, 2026.
  • Short-term liquidity appears tight with a current ratio of 0.72.
  • The company posted trailing twelve-month profit margins of -2.2% and EPS of -$0.06.
  • The stock has beaten analyst EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this ECX AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of ECARX Holdings, Inc. (ECX). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: ECX income statement, ECX analyst forecast, ECX chart. See the ECX stock overview for the latest quote and news.

ECX AI stock analysis FAQ

What products does ECARX Holdings develop?

ECARX develops automotive hardware and software solutions, including infotainment head units, digital cockpits, vehicle chipsets, operating systems, and integrated software stacks.

Does ECARX Holdings pay a dividend?

No, ECARX Holdings does not pay a dividend.

What is the consensus analyst target for ECX stock?

Analysts have a mean price target of $3.05 for ECX, which is 259.1% above its last close of $0.85.

When is the next earnings report for ECARX Holdings?

The next earnings date for ECARX Holdings is scheduled for November 2, 2026.

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