Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: DUOLAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

DUOL AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) operates a digital language-learning platform offering courses in over 40 languages. In FY2025, revenue reached $1.04B with net income of $414.1M and free cash flow of $369.7M. As of June 30, 2026, the company held a net cash position of $1.23B.

Market cap
$6.61B
Revenue (TTM)
$1.15B
P/E
16.8x
fwd 19.0x
1Y return
-57.1%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$135.12
-4.7% vs last close

Bull case

  • Revenue demonstrated sustained expansion, reaching $1.04B in FY2025 after a 5-year CAGR of 45.0%.
  • Cash generation remains high, with FY2025 free cash flow reaching $369.7M on operating cash flow of $387.8M.
  • The balance sheet is well-capitalized with $1.23B in net cash and a current ratio of 2.72 as of June 30, 2026.

Bear case

  • The stock has dropped 57.1% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
  • Quarterly earnings fell 27.5% year-over-year for the period ended June 30, 2026, and full-year FY2026 EPS is projected to decline 43.8% to $6.61.
  • Short interest represents 20.4% of the float, reflecting elevated market skepticism.

What Duolingo does

Duolingo, Inc. is a developer of a language-learning platform accessible via its mobile application and website, serving users across the United States and China. Founded in 2011 and headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, the company provides courses in over 40 languages, ranging from Spanish, English, and French to Japanese, German, and Italian. Its offerings include a digital language proficiency assessment exam that allows learners to evaluate their language skills objectively. Duolingo focuses on leveraging technology and pedagogical methods to provide accessible, engaging, and personalized educational experiences for millions of users worldwide.

Growth and profitability

Revenue expanded at a 5-year CAGR of 45.0% from FY2020 to FY2025, rising from $250.8M in FY2021 to $1.04B in FY2025. Annual profitability turned positive in FY2023 with net income of $16.1M, expanding to $88.6M in FY2024 and $414.1M in FY2025, when operating margin reached 13.6%. Free cash flow reached $369.7M in FY2025 alongside R&D expenses of $303.0M. Over the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $1.15B with an operating margin of 11.7% and EPS of $8.42. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 18.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 27.5%.

DUOL income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Duolingo held $1.31B in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $86.1M, yielding a net cash position of $1.23B. Total assets stood at $2.07B against shareholders' equity of $1.41B, with a current ratio of 2.72 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $387.8M and capital expenditures were $18.1M, while share count grew 30.7% over 5 years.

DUOL balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At a share price of $141.76, Duolingo holds a market capitalization of $6.61B and an enterprise value of $5.60B. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 16.8x, compared to the median of 28.1x for its US-listed Technology peers. Its forward P/E stands at 19.0x versus the peer median of 18.8x, while its price-to-sales of 5.8x exceeds the peer median of 2.8x, and its EV-to-EBITDA is 32.4x against the peer median of 16.6x. Over the 1-year period, the stock declined 57.1%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) gained 16.8%.

DUOL key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analysts hold 4 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 16 Hold, 1 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings on DUOL. The mean price target is $135.12, representing a 4.7% decrease from the last close of $141.76. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts estimate revenue of $1.21B and EPS of $6.61. For the following fiscal year, 7 analysts project revenue of $1.37B and EPS of $7.64. The company has beaten EPS expectations in each of the last 4 quarters, with its next earnings date scheduled for November 3, 2026.

DUOL forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Quarterly earnings contracted 27.5% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
  • Analyst consensus projects a 43.8% decrease in EPS for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
  • Shareholder dilution has occurred, with the share count increasing 30.7% over a 5-year span.
  • Short percent of float is elevated at 20.4%, pointing to significant short positioning.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this DUOL AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: DUOL income statement, DUOL balance sheet, DUOL key metrics, DUOL analyst forecast, DUOL chart. See the DUOL stock overview for the latest quote and news.

DUOL AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Duolingo pay a dividend?

No, Duolingo does not currently pay a dividend.

What is Duolingo's net cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, Duolingo held $1.31B in cash and short-term investments and $86.1M in total debt, resulting in a net cash balance of $1.23B.

What are analysts forecasting for Duolingo's earnings?

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project EPS of $6.61, representing an expected 43.8% decline. For the next fiscal year, analysts anticipate EPS to rebound 15.5% to $7.64 on $1.37B in revenue.

How did Duolingo perform in its most recent fiscal year?

In FY2025, Duolingo generated $1.04B in revenue, up 38.7% year-over-year, alongside net income of $414.1M and free cash flow of $369.7M.

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