Diageo plc (DEO) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: DEOAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

DEO AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Diageo plc (DEO) is a global producer and marketer of alcoholic beverages across spirits, beer, and cider categories. In FY2026, the company generated $19.60B in revenue with an operating margin of 28.4%, while net income reached $1.73B. TTM revenue growth declined 1.7% year-over-year, and net debt stood at $20.18B at the close of June 30, 2026.

Market cap
$52.89B
Revenue (TTM)
$19.64B
P/E
30.5x
fwd 13.0x
1Y return
1.2%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$106.29
11.8% vs last close

Bull case

  • Diageo demonstrated resilient profitability with an FY2026 operating margin of 28.4% and an operating cash flow of $4.38B.
  • The stock trades at a forward P/E of 13.0x, which is lower than the US-listed Consumer Defensive peer median of 14.3x.
  • Shareholder distributions are backed by 36 consecutive years of dividend payments and a 5-year share count reduction of 4.9%.

Bear case

  • Net income dropped from $3.87B in FY2024 to $1.73B in FY2026, driving the net margin down to 8.8%.
  • Total debt remains elevated at $22.20B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.04 as of June 30, 2026.
  • The company failed to beat EPS estimates across any of the last 4 quarters, while quarterly revenue fell 1.7% year-over-year.

What Diageo does

Established in 1886 and based in London, Diageo plc is a global producer, marketer, and distributor of alcoholic beverages. The company manages an extensive portfolio covering scotch whisky, gin, vodka, rum, tequila, liqueurs, beer, cider, and non-alcoholic alternatives. Key global labels include Johnnie Walker, Guinness, Tanqueray, Baileys, Smirnoff, Captain Morgan, Crown Royal, Don Julio, Ciroc, Buchanan's, Casamigos, J&B, and Ketel One. Diageo operates across diverse geographies, including North America, Europe, Turkey, Africa, Latin America, the Caribbean, and the Asia Pacific, distributing drinks worldwide through its broad market network.

Growth and profitability

Over a five-year period from FY2021 to FY2026, Diageo posted a revenue compound annual growth rate of 9.0%. Annual revenue moved from $16.96B in FY2022 to a peak of $20.27B in FY2024, before falling to $20.25B in FY2025 and $19.60B in FY2026, a decline of 3.2%. Net income decreased from $3.87B in FY2024 to $2.35B in FY2025 and $1.73B in FY2026, with net margin declining from 19.1% to 8.8%. Operating margin was 28.4% in FY2026 compared to 21.4% in FY2025. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 1.7% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings grew 2.9%.

DEO income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Diageo held $2.02B in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $22.20B, yielding net debt of $20.18B. The company reported a current ratio of 1.60 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.04 against shareholders' equity of $10.87B. In FY2026, operating cash flow stood at $4.38B and free cash flow reached $3.19B. Capital expenditures totaled $1.19B, dividends paid were $1.84B, and share count fell 4.9% over five years.

DEO balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Diageo trades at a trailing price-to-earnings multiple of 30.5x, above the 18.6x median of its US-listed Consumer Defensive peers. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13.0x sits below the peer median of 14.3x. The company's enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 11.2x, compared to the peer median of 11.7x, while price-to-sales is 2.7x versus 0.7x for peers. Over the trailing 12 months, DEO shares rose 1.2% while the S&P 500 returned 16.8%. Over five years, the stock fell 45.2% against an 83.0% gain for the benchmark.

DEO key metrics →

DEO dividend

Diageo offers a forward annual dividend of $2.00, representing a dividend yield of 2.10% with a semiannual distribution schedule. The payout ratio stands at 106.5%. The company has paid consecutive dividends for 36 years, generating a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of 2.6%. The last ex-dividend date was October 16, 2026.

DEO dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 4 Strong Buy ratings, 1 Buy, 2 Holds, 0 Sells, and 1 Strong Sell. The mean price target is $106.29, which is 11.8% above the October 16, 2026 close of $95.11. For the current fiscal year ending June 30, 2027, analysts estimate EPS of $6.71 and revenue of $19.15B. Diageo registered 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters.

DEO forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • The dividend payout ratio stands at 106.5%, exceeding annual earnings as net income decreased to $1.73B in FY2026.
  • Diageo carries $20.18B in net debt against $2.02B in cash and short-term investments.
  • Revenue contracted 3.2% in FY2026 to $19.60B, extending the top-line decline from $20.27B in FY2024.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this DEO AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Diageo plc (DEO). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: DEO income statement, DEO balance sheet, DEO key metrics, DEO analyst forecast, DEO chart. See the DEO stock overview for the latest quote and news.

DEO AI stock analysis FAQ

What was Diageo's revenue and net income in FY2026?

For the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026, Diageo reported revenue of $19.60B and net income of $1.73B.

Does Diageo pay a dividend?

Yes, Diageo pays a semiannual dividend with a forward annual payout of $2.00 per share, yielding 2.10% with a 36-year payment track record.

What is Diageo's debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Diageo held $2.02B in cash and short-term investments and $22.20B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $20.18B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.04.

What are analysts' price targets for DEO stock?

Analysts have a mean price target of $106.29, representing an 11.8% upside relative to the closing price of $95.11 on October 16, 2026.

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