CaliberCos Inc. (CWD) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: CWDAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CWD AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

CaliberCos Inc. (CWD) is an asset management firm specializing in middle-market real estate, with a market capitalization of $4.3M. The company reported trailing twelve-month revenue of $16.3M alongside a net profit margin of -117.3%. As of June 30, 2026, its balance sheet carries $130.8M in total debt against $1.4M in cash and short-term investments.

Market cap
$4.3M
Revenue (TTM)
$16.3M
P/E
—
fwd 14.9x
1Y return
-88.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$7.00
1607.3% vs last close

Bull case

  • Analysts maintain a mean price target of $7.00, which is 1607.3% above the October 16, 2026 closing price of $0.41.
  • The stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.3x, below the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers of 3.2x.
  • The business generated positive operating and free cash flow of $555,000 in FY2024.

Bear case

  • Annual revenue fell 60.7% in FY2025 to $20.1M, and the 5-year revenue CAGR from FY2020 to FY2025 is -11.9%.
  • Total debt reached $130.8M against $1.4M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • The balance sheet shows negative shareholders' equity of -$1.4M and a current ratio of 0.04 as of June 30, 2026.

What CaliberCos does

CaliberCos Inc., based in Scottsdale, Arizona, operates as a real estate investment and asset management firm focusing on middle-market assets. Established in 2009, the firm creates, manages, and services proprietary products such as middle-market investment funds, private syndications, and direct investments via an in-house asset services group. Its investment focus spans commercial real estate, qualified opportunity zones, private equity, and debt facilities. CaliberCos serves accredited investors, high net worth individuals, family offices, and smaller institutions with tailored alternative investment offerings.

Growth and profitability

Revenue grew from $56.0M in FY2021 to $84.0M in FY2022 and peaked at $90.9M in FY2023. It subsequently declined 43.8% to $51.1M in FY2024 and dropped another 60.7% to $20.1M in FY2025, contributing to a 5-year revenue CAGR of -11.9% between FY2020 and FY2025. Operating margins worsened from -10.1% in FY2022 to -66.5% in FY2025. Net income was $2.0M in FY2022 before shifting to -$12.7M in FY2023, -$19.8M in FY2024, and -$21.8M in FY2025. For the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, revenue fell 17.3% year-over-year, with trailing twelve-month EPS at -$1.96 and an operating margin of -99.0%.

CWD income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, CaliberCos held $1.4M in cash and short-term investments and $130.8M in total debt, bringing net debt to $129.4M. Total assets stood at $177.7M, while shareholders' equity was -$1.4M, indicating negative equity. The company reported a current ratio of 0.04. Free cash flow was -$12.1M in FY2025, compared to $555,000 in FY2024, while its share count declined 58.6% over a five-year period.

CWD balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

CaliberCos trades at a forward P/E of 14.9x, compared to 10.8x for the median of its US-listed Financial Services peers. Its price-to-sales ratio is 0.3x, below the peer median of 3.2x, while enterprise value to revenue is 7.9x. The stock closed at $0.41 on October 16, 2026, down 66.9% year-to-date and down 88.7% over the past year. Over that same one-year span, the S&P 500 (SPY) returned 16.8%. The company has an enterprise value of $128.6M and trades 55.3% below its 200-day moving average.

CWD key metrics →

What analysts expect

Analysts have established a mean price target of $7.00 for CaliberCos, representing a 1607.3% premium over its last close of $0.41. The consensus revenue estimate for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, is $0. CaliberCos posted 0 EPS beats over the last 4 quarters. The next earnings release is scheduled for November 12, 2026.

CWD forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Net debt of $129.4M significantly exceeds the company's market capitalization of $4.3M as of October 16, 2026.
  • A current ratio of 0.04 as of June 30, 2026, indicates acute short-term working capital constraints.
  • The trailing twelve-month profit margin is -117.3% following net losses of -$21.8M in FY2025.
  • The company recorded 0 EPS beats over the trailing four quarters heading into its November 12, 2026 earnings date.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CWD AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of CaliberCos Inc. (CWD). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CWD income statement, CWD balance sheet, CWD key metrics, CWD analyst forecast, CWD chart. See the CWD stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CWD AI stock analysis FAQ

What is CaliberCos Inc.'s stock ticker and exchange?

CaliberCos trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol CWD.

Does CaliberCos pay a dividend?

CaliberCos does not pay a dividend based on current reported figures.

When does CaliberCos report earnings next?

The company's next earnings report is scheduled for November 12, 2026.

How much debt does CaliberCos have?

As of June 30, 2026, CaliberCos held $130.8M in total debt and $129.4M in net debt, with $1.4M in cash and short-term investments.

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