Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) AI Stock Analysis
CTOS AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCustom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS) provides specialized equipment rentals, new equipment sales, and aftermarket parts and services across North America. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $2.04B with an operating margin of 9.3%. As of June 30, 2026, the company holds $10.3M in cash and short-term investments against $2.43B in total debt.
- Market cap
- $2.07B
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.04B
- P/E
- 100.9x fwd 32.8x
- 1Y return
- 41.7% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $13.33 46.8% vs last close
Bull case
- Analyst sentiment is positive with 5 Strong Buy ratings and a mean price target of $13.33, implying 46.8% upside from the last close of $9.08.
- Revenue expansion remains steady, showing a 5-year CAGR of 45.1% and a 10.2% year-over-year increase in the quarter ended June 30, 2026.
- Operating cash flow increased significantly to $349.4M in FY2025, up from $44.7M in FY2024.
Bear case
- Total debt stood at $2.43B as of June 30, 2026, against $10.3M in cash and short-term investments.
- Free cash flow remained negative at -$107.6M in FY2025 and -$353.6M in FY2024.
- The trailing P/E ratio of 100.9x represents a substantial premium to the US-listed Industrials peer median of 24.8x.
What Custom Truck One Source does
Custom Truck One Source, Inc. specializes in offering specialized equipment rental services to industries across North America, including electric utility transmission and distribution, telecommunications, rail, and other infrastructure-related sectors. It operates through three segments: Equipment Rental Solutions, Truck and Equipment Sales, and Aftermarket Parts and Services. Equipment Rental Solutions owns and leases specialty equipment such as truck-mounted aerial lifts, cranes, service trucks, dump trucks, trailers, and digger derricks. Truck and Equipment Sales sells new customized equipment to meet specific customer requirements. Aftermarket Parts and Services provides maintenance, repair services, and specialized aftermarket parts.
Growth and profitability
Revenue grew from $1.17B in FY2021 to $1.94B in FY2025, generating a 5-year revenue CAGR of 45.1%. Annual revenue growth reached 34.8% in FY2022 and 18.6% in FY2023, before revenue fell 3.4% in FY2024 to $1.80B and rebounded 7.9% in FY2025. Operating margin was 7.3% in FY2025, compared to 9.9% in FY2023. Net income totaled -$31.1M in FY2025 and -$28.7M in FY2024. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue was $2.04B with a profit margin of 1.1%. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 10.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings fell 26.5%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Custom Truck One Source held $10.3M in cash and short-term investments and $2.43B in total debt, resulting in net debt of $2.42B. Shareholders' equity was $816.0M, with a current ratio of 1.34 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.97. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $349.4M, while free cash flow was -$107.6M following $457.0M in capital expenditures. Cash use also included $32.6M directed toward share buybacks.
Valuation and performance
Custom Truck One Source trades at a trailing P/E of 100.9x and a forward P/E of 32.8x, compared to the median of its US-listed Industrials peers of 24.8x and 17.2x, respectively. Its enterprise value of $4.70B produces an EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 10.7x, below the peer median of 13.9x. The stock has a price-to-sales multiple of 1.0x versus the peer median of 1.5x. Over the past year, CTOS returned 41.7%, outpacing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%, while its 5-year return of 8.4% trails the index return of 83.0%.
What analysts expect
Analyst coverage consists of 5 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, 1 Hold rating, and no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The mean price target is $13.33, compared to the last close of $9.08, representing 46.8% potential upside. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $2.12B and EPS of $0.13, reflecting expected EPS growth of 1162.1%. The company has exceeded EPS estimates in each of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings date is October 26, 2026.
Key risks and what to watch
- A debt-to-equity ratio of 2.97 leaves the balance sheet leveraged and exposed to borrowing costs.
- Annual capital expenditures reached $457.0M in FY2025, continuing to pressure free cash flow generation.
- Quarterly earnings declined 26.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CTOS AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CTOS income statement, CTOS balance sheet, CTOS key metrics, CTOS analyst forecast, CTOS chart. See the CTOS stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CTOS AI stock analysis FAQ
What does Custom Truck One Source do?
Custom Truck One Source provides specialty equipment rental, custom truck sales, and aftermarket parts and maintenance services across North America.
What is CTOS's valuation compared to peers?
CTOS trades at a trailing P/E of 100.9x and EV-to-EBITDA of 10.7x, compared to the US-listed Industrials peer medians of 24.8x and 13.9x, respectively.
How much debt does Custom Truck One Source have?
As of June 30, 2026, Custom Truck One Source had $2.43B in total debt and $10.3M in cash, resulting in net debt of $2.42B.
When is the next earnings announcement for CTOS?
The company's next earnings report is scheduled for October 26, 2026.