Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP) AI Stock Analysis
CMP AI stock analysis summary
AI ResearchCompass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP) produces essential minerals through its Salt and Plant Nutrition segments. The company generated $1.29B in revenue over the trailing twelve months, but net income has fluctuated, recording -$79.8M in FY2025 alongside $128.0M in free cash flow. CMP carries $728.1M in total debt against $56.3M in cash and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
- Market cap
- $934.5M
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.29B
- P/E
- 53.0x fwd 14.8x
- 1Y return
- 21.6% S&P 500 16.8%
- Avg. target
- $29.50 32.5% vs last close
Bull case
- Free cash flow rebounded significantly to $128.0M in FY2025, up from -$99.8M in FY2024.
- Analysts project EPS of $0.89 for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, reflecting estimated year-over-year growth of 286.3%.
- The stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 7.9x and a price-to-sales ratio of 0.7x, both well below the US-listed Basic Materials peer medians of 10.5x and 1.8x.
Bear case
- The company carries total debt of $728.1M against only $56.3M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.76.
- In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly earnings fell 91.7% year-over-year while quarterly revenue rose just 0.3%.
- Compass Minerals reported net losses in three of the past four fiscal years, including -$79.8M in FY2025.
What Compass Minerals International does
Compass Minerals International, Inc. produces and distributes essential minerals primarily in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through two segments: Salt and Plant Nutrition. The Salt segment produces sodium chloride and magnesium chloride, offering rock salt, evaporated salt, brine, and flake magnesium chloride for road deicing, water treatment, industrial processes, and animal and human nutrition. It also processes potassium chloride and calcium chloride. The Plant Nutrition segment manufactures sulfate of potash specialty fertilizers under the Protassium+ brand for agricultural crops and turf products for golf courses and ornamental spaces, distributing through retailers and distributors.
Growth and profitability
Over five fiscal years from FY2020 to FY2025, revenue achieved a CAGR of 4.4%. Revenue rose from $836.2M in FY2021 to $1.25B in FY2022, before declining 3.3% in FY2023 to $1.20B and falling 7.2% in FY2024 to $1.12B. In FY2025, revenue rebounded 11.3% to $1.24B, while operating margin was 2.0% and net income was -$79.8M, compared to net income of $10.5M in FY2023 and -$206.1M in FY2024. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $1.29B with an operating margin of 5.1% and a profit margin of 1.4%. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 0.3% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings declined 91.7%.
Balance sheet and cash flow
As of June 30, 2026, Compass Minerals held $56.3M in cash and short-term investments against $728.1M in total debt, resulting in net debt of $671.8M. Shareholders' equity stood at $263.5M, yielding a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.76, while total assets were $1.35B and the current ratio was 2.01. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $197.7M, supporting capital expenditures of $69.7M and free cash flow of $128.0M. Cash used for share buybacks totaled $1.4M in FY2025, while share count expanded 23.9% over five years.
Valuation and performance
CMP closed at $22.26 on October 16, 2026, representing a market capitalization of $934.5M and an enterprise value of $1.69B. Compass Minerals trades at a trailing P/E of 53.0x and a forward P/E of 14.8x, compared to medians of 19.7x and 13.4x for its US-listed Basic Materials peers. Its EV/EBITDA multiple is 7.9x versus the peer median of 10.5x, and its price-to-sales ratio is 0.7x against the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, the stock gained 21.6%, exceeding the 16.8% return of the S&P 500, but its 5-year return of -68.8% lagged the S&P 500's 83.0% gain.
What analysts expect
Among four covering analysts, Compass Minerals has 2 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Buy ratings, 1 Hold rating, and 1 Sell rating. The mean price target of $29.50 represents an upside of 32.5% from the last close of $22.26. For the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, analysts estimate EPS of $0.89, representing growth of 286.3%, on revenue of $1.29B. For the next fiscal year, consensus estimates anticipate EPS of $1.26 and revenue of $1.33B. The company beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters.
Key risks and what to watch
- A high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.76 and net debt of $671.8M leave the balance sheet sensitive to interest costs and operational downturns.
- Operating margins have shown substantial volatility, shifting from -10.5% in FY2024 to 2.0% in FY2025 and 5.1% over the trailing twelve months.
- Long-term shareholder value has deteriorated, with the stock delivering a 5-year return of -68.8% alongside a 23.9% dilution in share count over five years.
- The stock trades 14.2% below its 200-day average and has a beta of 1.26, indicating elevated price volatility.
AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer
About this CMP AI stock analysis
This page is an AI-written research summary of Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.
Related: CMP income statement, CMP balance sheet, CMP key metrics, CMP analyst forecast, CMP chart. See the CMP stock overview for the latest quote and news.
CMP AI stock analysis FAQ
What are Compass Minerals' core products and end markets?
Compass Minerals produces rock salt, evaporated salt, and magnesium chloride for highway deicing, water treatment, and nutrition in its Salt segment. In its Plant Nutrition segment, it produces Protassium+ sulfate of potash specialty fertilizers and turf products for agricultural and ornamental applications.
What is Compass Minerals' debt situation?
As of June 30, 2026, Compass Minerals held $728.1M in total debt and $56.3M in cash and short-term investments, resulting in net debt of $671.8M. Its debt-to-equity ratio is 2.76, while its current ratio is 2.01.
How has CMP performed relative to the broader market?
Over the past year, CMP gained 21.6%, outperforming the S&P 500's return of 16.8%. However, over a 5-year period, CMP generated a return of -68.8%, compared to an 83.0% gain for the S&P 500.
What do Wall Street analysts forecast for CMP's earnings?
Analysts estimate EPS of $0.89 for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, representing 286.3% growth, followed by $1.26 for the next fiscal year. The mean price target is $29.50, which is 32.5% above the last closing price of $22.26.