Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) AI Stock Analysis

NYSE: NEXAAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

NEXA AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) is a zinc mining and smelting company operating polymetallic mines in Peru and Brazil. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $3.46B in revenue with an operating margin of 19.8% and net income reaching $132.6M in FY2025. NEXA trades at a trailing P/E of 6.0x, well below the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers.

Market cap
$1.66B
Revenue (TTM)
$3.46B
P/E
6.0x
fwd 3.4x
1Y return
125.9%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$14.04
12.1% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue grew 28.2% and quarterly earnings surged 6235.0% in the period ending June 30, 2026.
  • Valuation multiples remain discounted, with a forward P/E of 3.4x and an EV/EBITDA of 2.6x versus peer medians of 13.4x and 10.5x.
  • Analyst consensus projects current fiscal year EPS to surge 230.6% to $2.81, followed by another 18.6% increase to $3.33 in the next fiscal year.

Bear case

  • Liquidity and leverage present pressure, reflected by a current ratio of 0.80 and total debt of $1.86B compared to $386.8M in cash.
  • Revenue growth is projected to slow, with consensus estimating next fiscal year revenue to decline 2.1% to $3.69B.
  • Earnings execution has been inconsistent, with Nexa beating EPS estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.

What Nexa Resources does

Headquartered in Luxembourg, Nexa Resources S.A. operates in the zinc mining and smelting sector. Its portfolio encompasses the extraction and production of zinc, silver, gold, copper cement, lead, sulfuric acid, sulfur dioxide, copper sulfate, and limestone deposits. Nexa owns and manages five underground polymetallic mines located in the Central Andes of Peru and the State of Minas Gerais in Brazil. It is also actively developing the Aripuana project in Mato Grosso, Brazil, to expand mineral resources and production. As a subsidiary of Votorantim S.A., the company was established in 1956 and rebranded as Nexa Resources S.A. in September 2017.

Growth and profitability

Nexa's revenue delivered a 5-year CAGR of 8.9% from FY2020 to FY2025. In FY2023, revenue fell 15.2% to $2.57B, yielding an operating margin of -5.9% and a net loss of $292.0M. Performance recovered in FY2024 with revenue expanding 7.5% to $2.77B, though net loss remained at $205.0M. By FY2025, revenue grew 8.2% to $2.99B, with gross margin at 17.9%, operating margin rising to 13.7%, and net income turning positive at $132.6M ($0.79 EPS). In the latest quarter ending June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 28.2% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings surged 6235.0%. Trailing twelve-month revenue reached $3.46B with an 8.0% profit margin and $2.09 EPS.

NEXA income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Nexa held $386.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $1.86B, leaving net debt at $1.47B. Shareholders' equity was $1.20B, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.54 and a current ratio of 0.80 out of $5.38B in total assets. During FY2025, the company generated $403.8M in operating cash flow and $52.0M in free cash flow. Capital allocation in FY2025 included capital expenditures of $351.9M, share buybacks of $13.4M, and dividend payments of $34.3M.

NEXA balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

Nexa trades at a trailing P/E of 6.0x and a forward P/E of 3.4x, compared to medians of 19.7x and 13.4x for its US-listed Basic Materials peers. The stock's price-to-sales ratio sits at 0.5x versus the peer median of 1.8x, and its EV/EBITDA multiple of 2.6x compares to the peer median of 10.5x. NEXA shares gained 125.9% over the past year and 42.9% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) 1-year return of 16.8%. Over a 5-year period, NEXA's return of 27.4% lagged the S&P 500 ETF's 83.0% return.

NEXA key metrics →

NEXA dividend

Nexa Resources pays an annual forward dividend of $0.13, showing a dividend yield of 0.00% and a payout ratio of 7.0%. The company has paid dividends for 2 consecutive years, while its 5-year annualized dividend growth declined 23.2%. Its last ex-dividend date was July 28, 2026.

NEXA dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage includes 1 Buy and 4 Hold ratings, with no Strong Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $14.04 suggests 12.1% upside from the October 16, 2026 close of $12.52. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, analysts anticipate EPS of $2.81 on revenue of $3.76B. Nexa has beaten EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings report is scheduled for October 29, 2026.

NEXA forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Balance sheet obligations remain elevated with net debt at $1.47B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.54.
  • Historical profitability shows volatility, as seen in the net losses of $292.0M in FY2023 and $205.0M in FY2024.
  • Shareholder distributions have been uneven, reflected by a 5-year annualized dividend growth rate of -23.2%.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this NEXA AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: NEXA income statement, NEXA balance sheet, NEXA key metrics, NEXA analyst forecast, NEXA chart. See the NEXA stock overview for the latest quote and news.

NEXA AI stock analysis FAQ

What was Nexa Resources' financial performance in FY2025?

In FY2025, Nexa generated $2.99B in revenue, up 8.2% year-over-year, and delivered net income of $132.6M with an EPS of $0.79.

Does Nexa Resources pay a dividend?

Yes, Nexa has an annual forward dividend of $0.13, reflecting a 7.0% payout ratio, with its last ex-dividend date on July 28, 2026.

What are analysts' price targets for NEXA stock?

Analysts have established a mean price target of $14.04, which represents a 12.1% premium over the closing price of $12.52 on October 16, 2026.

How does Nexa's valuation compare to its peers?

Nexa trades at an EV/EBITDA of 2.6x and a trailing P/E of 6.0x, both well below the US-listed Basic Materials peer medians of 10.5x and 19.7x, respectively.

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