Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: GSMAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

GSM AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) is a London-based producer of silicon metal, specialty alloys, and silicone chemicals. The company faced revenue contraction in FY2025, falling 18.8% to $1.34B with a net loss of -$170.7M. However, its forward P/E of 6.0x sits below peer medians, and analysts project a return to profitability with FY2026 EPS of $0.11.

Market cap
$753.0M
Revenue (TTM)
$1.37B
P/E
—
fwd 6.0x
1Y return
-21.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$6.00
48.9% vs last close

Bull case

  • Analysts maintain a mean price target of $6.00, which is 48.9% above the last closing price of $4.03.
  • Forward valuation multiples remain low, with a forward P/E of 6.0x and an EV/EBITDA of 3.5x compared to US-listed Basic Materials peer medians of 13.4x and 10.5x.
  • Consensus estimates forecast an EPS rebound from -$0.36 in FY2025 to $0.11 in FY2026 and $0.41 in the next fiscal year.

Bear case

  • Revenue fell 18.8% in FY2025 to $1.34B, pushing net income down to -$170.7M and free cash flow to -$19.2M.
  • The latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, saw quarterly earnings decline 52.4% year-over-year alongside a 2.1% revenue decline.
  • Over the trailing twelve months, Ferroglobe generated a return on equity of -6.0% and an EPS of -$0.22.

What Ferroglobe does

Ferroglobe PLC operates globally within the silicon and specialty metals industry, serving sectors such as construction, healthcare, electronics, and automotive. It provides silicone chemicals for applications ranging from personal care items to electronics, alongside silicon metal for primary and secondary aluminum manufacturing. For the steel industry, Ferroglobe supplies metallurgical products including silicomanganese, ferromanganese, ferrosilicon, calcium silicon, and nodularizers. To support its production supply chain, the company operates quartz and low-ash metallurgical coal mines in multiple countries, and holds interests in a hydroelectric power plant in France.

Growth and profitability

Revenue over the 5-year period from FY2020 to FY2025 expanded at a CAGR of 3.1%. After peaking at $2.60B in FY2022, revenue declined to $1.65B in FY2023, $1.64B in FY2024, and $1.34B in FY2025. In FY2025, gross margin contracted to 3.4%, operating margin fell to -14.9%, and net income dropped to -$170.7M. For the trailing twelve months ended June 30, 2026, revenue stood at $1.37B with a net profit margin of -3.0% and an EPS of -$0.22. In the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue fell 2.1% year-over-year, and earnings declined 52.4%.

GSM income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Ferroglobe held $93.2M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $223.8M, resulting in net debt of $130.6M. Shareholders' equity was $717.9M, supporting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.31 and a current ratio of 1.29. In FY2025, operating cash flow was $42.5M, while capital expenditures reached $61.7M, generating free cash flow of -$19.2M. Cash allocation in FY2025 included $4.7M in share buybacks and $10.5M in dividends paid.

GSM balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

At $4.03 per share, Ferroglobe has a market cap of $753.0M and an enterprise value of $913.7M. It trades at a forward P/E of 6.0x, a price-to-sales of 0.5x, and an EV/EBITDA of 3.5x. These multiples compare to the median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers of 13.4x forward P/E, 1.8x price-to-sales, and 10.5x EV/EBITDA. Over the past year, GSM stock returned -21.7% compared to a 16.8% return for the S&P 500 (SPY), while its 5-year return stands at -45.6% versus 83.0% for the index.

GSM key metrics →

GSM dividend

Ferroglobe pays a quarterly dividend with an annual forward payout of $0.06 per share, representing a dividend yield of 1.46%. The company has paid dividends for 3 consecutive years and maintains a payout ratio of 41.5%. Its most recent ex-dividend date occurred on September 22, 2026.

GSM dividend history →

What analysts expect

Wall Street coverage consists of 2 analysts, with 1 Strong Buy and 1 Hold rating. The mean price target is $6.00, representing 48.9% upside compared to the last close of $4.03. For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $1.51B and an EPS of $0.11. For the following fiscal year, analysts expect revenue of $1.82B and an EPS of $0.41. The company beat EPS estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters, with next earnings scheduled for November 4, 2026.

GSM forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • Operating profitability has been volatile, declining from an operating margin of 25.4% in FY2022 to -14.9% in FY2025.
  • Free cash flow turned negative at -$19.2M in FY2025 as capital expenditures of $61.7M exceeded operating cash flow of $42.5M.
  • Earnings reliability is low, with the company beating EPS expectations in only 1 of the last 4 quarters.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this GSM AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Ferroglobe PLC (GSM). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: GSM income statement, GSM balance sheet, GSM key metrics, GSM analyst forecast, GSM chart. See the GSM stock overview for the latest quote and news.

GSM AI stock analysis FAQ

What products does Ferroglobe PLC produce?

Ferroglobe supplies silicon metal, silicone chemicals, and manganese- and silicon-based ferroalloys like silicomanganese, ferromanganese, and ferrosilicon. It also operates quartz and metallurgical coal mines and holds interests in a hydroelectric plant in France.

Does Ferroglobe pay a dividend?

Yes, Ferroglobe offers an annual forward dividend of $0.06 per share, which equates to a dividend yield of 1.46%. The dividend is distributed quarterly.

What is Ferroglobe's debt position?

As of June 30, 2026, Ferroglobe held $93.2M in cash against $223.8M in total debt, leaving net debt at $130.6M. Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.31.

When is Ferroglobe's next earnings report?

Ferroglobe is scheduled to report quarterly results on November 4, 2026.

More Basic Materials AI stock analysis