Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT) AI Stock Analysis

NASDAQ: CLMTAI research summary: business, growth, valuation, analysts, bull and bear case.

CLMT AI stock analysis summary

AI Research

Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT) is an Indianapolis-based manufacturer and marketer of specialty branded products and renewable fuels. Over the trailing twelve months, the company generated $4.59B in revenue with a profit margin of -3.0%. While the partnership experienced strong 1-year share price appreciation of 204.7%, its balance sheet carries $2.26B in total debt and negative shareholders' equity of -$1.14B.

Market cap
$5.08B
Revenue (TTM)
$4.59B
P/E
—
fwd 49.0x
1Y return
204.7%
S&P 500 16.8%
Avg. target
$53.40
-7.5% vs last close

Bull case

  • Quarterly revenue expanded by 40.8% year-over-year in the quarter ended June 30, 2026, alongside quarterly earnings growth of 561.7%.
  • The stock delivered a 1-year return of 204.7%, outperforming the S&P 500 return of 16.8%.
  • Free cash flow rebounded to $56.6M in FY2025 after operating cash flow reached $108.9M.

Bear case

  • The balance sheet reflects negative shareholders' equity of -$1.14B and total debt of $2.26B as of June 30, 2026.
  • The partnership trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 88.7x, well above the US-listed Basic Materials peer median of 10.5x.
  • Analysts forecast an EPS of -$2.68 for the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, representing an EPS decline of 466.5%.

What Calumet does

Headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. manufactures, formulates, and markets specialty branded products across consumer-facing and industrial markets. The company operates through three key divisions: Specialty Products and Solutions, Montana/Renewables, and Performance Brands. Its Specialty Products and Solutions segment produces solvents, waxes, customized lubricating oils, white oils, petrolatums, gels, esters, and specialty chemicals. The Montana/Renewables segment processes renewable feedstocks to produce sustainable fuels, such as renewable hydrogen, renewable natural gas, renewable propane, renewable naphtha, renewable kerosene/aviation fuel, and renewable diesel, while also refining Canadian crude oil into conventional gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and asphalt.

Growth and profitability

Between FY2021 and FY2025, Calumet Specialty Products Partners achieved a 5-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 12.8%. Revenue increased from $3.15B in FY2021 to $4.69B in FY2022, before moderating to $4.18B in FY2023, $4.19B in FY2024, and $4.14B in FY2025. Profitability has fluctuated, with net income moving from -$254.9M in FY2021 to $48.1M in FY2023, and reaching -$33.8M in FY2025 alongside a gross margin of 5.9% and an operating margin of 1.3%. For the latest quarter ended June 30, 2026, quarterly revenue grew 40.8% year-over-year, while quarterly earnings growth increased 561.7% year-over-year. TTM revenue stood at $4.59B with an operating margin of -4.6%.

CLMT income statement →

Balance sheet and cash flow

As of June 30, 2026, Calumet held $109.8M in cash and short-term investments against total debt of $2.26B, resulting in net debt of $2.15B. The balance sheet shows total assets of $2.80B, a current ratio of 0.84, and negative shareholders' equity of -$1.14B. For FY2025, operating cash flow turned positive at $108.9M, supporting free cash flow of $56.6M after capital expenditures of $52.3M. Over the past five years, the company's share count increased by 10.8%.

CLMT balance sheet →

Valuation and performance

CLMT trades at an enterprise value of $6.93B and a market cap of $5.08B. Its forward P/E of 49.0x sits well above the 13.4x median of its US-listed Basic Materials peers. The partnership's EV/EBITDA multiple is 88.7x compared to the sector peer median of 10.5x, while its price-to-sales of 1.1x is below the peer median of 1.8x. Over the past year, CLMT shares gained 204.7%, significantly outpacing the S&P 500 (SPY) return of 16.8%. Over five years, the stock returned 449.5% versus 83.0% for the S&P 500.

CLMT key metrics →

What analysts expect

Wall Street analyst coverage consists of 2 Strong Buy ratings and 4 Hold ratings, with no Buy, Sell, or Strong Sell recommendations. The mean price target of $53.40 sits 7.5% below the last closing price of $57.75. For the current fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, consensus estimates project revenue of $4.93B and an EPS of -$2.68. Calumet beat EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, and its next earnings release is scheduled for November 6, 2026.

CLMT forecast and price target →

Key risks and what to watch

  • A current ratio of 0.84 indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assets as of June 30, 2026.
  • Net debt of $2.15B significantly exceeds cash and short-term investments of $109.8M.
  • Trailing twelve months operating margin stands at -4.6%, lagging the peer median operating margin of 18.5%.
  • The mean analyst price target of $53.40 implies a 7.5% discount to the recent share price of $57.75.

AI-generated research summary. Written with AI from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 and checked so every figure matches that data. For information only, not investment advice. Disclaimer

About this CLMT AI stock analysis

This page is an AI-written research summary of Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. (CLMT). The text was generated on October 30, 2026 from Quotelinks data as of October 16, 2026 (company profile, annual results, latest balance sheet, valuation, price performance and analyst estimates). An automatic check rejects any draft that contains a figure not found in that data. It is not investment advice; verify figures on the linked tabs before making decisions.

Related: CLMT income statement, CLMT balance sheet, CLMT key metrics, CLMT analyst forecast, CLMT chart. See the CLMT stock overview for the latest quote and news.

CLMT AI stock analysis FAQ

Does Calumet Specialty Products Partners pay a dividend?

Calumet Specialty Products Partners does not currently report a dividend payment.

What is CLMT's net debt and cash position?

As of June 30, 2026, Calumet held $109.8M in cash and short-term investments alongside total debt of $2.26B, resulting in net debt of $2.15B.

When does Calumet report its next earnings?

Calumet is scheduled to report its next earnings on November 6, 2026.

What is the consensus analyst price target for CLMT?

The mean analyst price target is $53.40, which is 7.5% below the stock's last closing price of $57.75 on October 16, 2026.

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